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Bay County, Florida

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
22nd of 67highest risk in Florida
$158Mexpected losses a year
49federal declarations
1 in 6homes with flood insurance
Photo: CC0

Bay County, Florida has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 94% of US counties. It ranks 22nd of 67 counties in Florida. The costliest hazards here are hurricanes, inland flooding and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $158 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $903 per resident. Since 1975 it has been included in 49 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (31 major disasters). The most recent was in October 2026 (Hurricane Isaias). About 1 in 6 homes here carry federal flood insurance (13,382 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $337 million on 9,005 claims here, including $140 million for floods in 1995.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Bay County

Hurricane

Very High
$118 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 4 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$16.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$11 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
HurricaneVery High98.7
$118M
Inland floodingModerate74.7
$17M
TornadoHigh94.1
$11M
Cold waveModerate79.3
$4M
LightningVery High97.8
$3M
Heat waveModerate84.3
$2M
Coastal floodingModerate77.2
$2M
Strong windModerate67.1
$937K
EarthquakeVery Low54.9
$378K
WildfireLow75.7
$294K
HailVery Low20.4
$76K
Winter weatherLow32.6
$35K
DroughtVery Low17.1
$2K
LandslideVery Low33.4
$423

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Bay County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane27
Severe Storm8
Fire5
Tropical Storm5
Flood4

Most recent

Oct 27, 2026Hurricane IsaiasMajor disaster
Oct 9, 2026Hurricane IsaiasEmergency
Sep 28, 2024Hurricane HeleneMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2024Tropical Storm HeleneEmergency
Aug 10, 2024Hurricane DebbyMajor disaster
Aug 3, 2024Tropical Storm DebbyEmergency
Aug 31, 2023Hurricane IdaliaMajor disaster
Aug 28, 2023Tropical Storm IdaliaEmergency
Sep 29, 2022Hurricane IanMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2022Tropical Storm IanEmergency
Show all 49
Mar 6, 2022Chipola Fire ComplexFire management
Mar 4, 20221707 Adkins Ave FireFire management
Aug 16, 2021Tropical Storm FredEmergency
Sep 23, 2020Hurricane SallyMajor disaster
Sep 15, 2020Hurricane SallyEmergency
Aug 30, 2019Hurricane DorianEmergency
Oct 11, 2018Hurricane MichaelMajor disaster
Oct 9, 2018Hurricane MichaelEmergency
Sep 10, 2017Hurricane IrmaMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2017Hurricane IrmaEmergency
May 6, 2014Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 2, 2013Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 18, 2012Hurricane IsaacMajor disaster
Apr 21, 2009Severe Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Oct 27, 2008Hurricane GustavMajor disaster
Aug 21, 2008Tropical Storm FayEmergency
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Aug 28, 2005Hurricane KatrinaMajor disaster
Jul 10, 2005Hurricane DennisMajor disaster
Sep 16, 2004Hurricane IvanMajor disaster
Sep 4, 2004Hurricane FrancesMajor disaster
Aug 13, 2004Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane CharleyMajor disaster
Jun 17, 2001Tropical Storm AllisonMajor disaster
Oct 3, 2000Tropical Storm HeleneMajor disaster
Apr 27, 1999Fl-Fires 04/15/99Emergency
Apr 17, 1999Fl-Fires 04/13/99Fire management
Sep 28, 1998Hurricane GeorgesMajor disaster
Sep 25, 1998Hurricane GrorgesEmergency
Sep 4, 1998Hurricane EarlMajor disaster
Jun 18, 1998Extreme Fire HazardMajor disaster
Jan 6, 1998Severe Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 4, 1995Hurricane OpalMajor disaster
Aug 10, 1995Hurricane ErinMajor disaster
Jul 10, 1994Severe Storms and Flooding (Tropical Storm Alberto)Major disaster
Jul 8, 1994Tropical Storm AlbertoEmergency
Apr 3, 1990Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 13, 1979Hurricane FredericMajor disaster
Sep 26, 1975High Winds, Heavy Rains & FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 22, 1975FloodingMajor disaster

Florida also had 39 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1952

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 666 storm reports in Bay County since 1952, with 21 deaths and 140 injuries and about $77.7 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on December 10, 1967.

92tornadoes
68hail reports, largest 3 inches
275damaging thunderstorm winds
175floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Dec 10, 1967F3–50 / 1
Jan 9, 2024EF3Biltmore Beach0 / 0
Jan 12, 1975F2–3 / 1
Jan 9, 2024EF2Lynn Haven2 / 0
Jan 2, 1999F2Panama City Beach7 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jan 9, 2024TornadoBiltmore Beach$15M
Sep 15, 2004TornadoPanama City$5M
May 8, 2006Thunderstorm WindCountywide$5M
May 2, 2014FloodHollywood Beach$5M
Jan 9, 2024TornadoLynn Haven$5M
Jan 2, 1999TornadoPanama City Beach$4M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 30, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1851, 30 hurricanes and 35 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Bay County, 25 of them since 1950. The strongest was Hurricane Michael (2018), with top winds near 160 mph about 11 miles away.

30hurricanes
8major hurricanes (Category 3+)
35tropical storms
2021most recent: Mindy

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 10, 2018MichaelCategory 5, 160 mph11 mi
Sep 1, 1985ElenaCategory 3, 125 mph64 mi
Sep 23, 1975EloiseCategory 3, 125 mph47 mi
Sep 20, 1926UnnamedCategory 3, 125 mph62 mi
Oct 8, 1894UnnamedCategory 3, 120 mph56 mi
Oct 2, 1877UnnamedCategory 3, 115 mph51 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 9, 2021MindyTropical storm, 60 mph41 mi
Aug 16, 2021FredTropical storm, 65 mph46 mi
Oct 10, 2018MichaelCategory 5, 160 mph11 mi
May 28, 2018AlbertoTropical storm, 55 mph61 mi
Aug 16, 2009ClaudetteTropical storm, 55 mph58 mi
Aug 23, 2008FayTropical storm, 50 mph64 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Bay County

Check your address flood zone ›
17.9%of homes have federal flood insurance (13,382 policies)
67.5%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$337 millionpaid on 9,005 flood claims since 1978
1995costliest year, with $140 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Bay County

$310,500median home value (Florida $359,000, US $332,700)
1993median year homes were built (Florida 1988, US 1980)
24%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
10%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 108,362 housing units.

Compare in Florida

All 67 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Miami-Dade CountyVery HighInland flooding
Broward CountyHighInland flooding
Palm Beach CountyHighHurricane
Hillsborough CountyHighHurricane
Orange CountyHighInland flooding
Duval CountyHighInland flooding
Pinellas CountyHighHurricane
Lee CountyHighHurricane

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Walton CountyModerate42
Jackson CountyLow34
Washington CountyLow40
Gulf CountyLow47
Calhoun CountyLow43

Cities in Bay County

Common questions about Bay County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Bay County?

Hurricane has the highest expected yearly losses in Bay County, about $118 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $16.8 million.

How many federal disasters has Bay County had?

Bay County has been included in 49 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1975, including 31 major disasters. The most recent was Hurricane Isaias in October 2026.

Is Bay County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 22nd highest of 67 in Florida. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Bay County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 6 homes in Bay County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Bay County had?

NOAA records list 92 tornadoes in Bay County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on December 10, 1967. The weather service has also logged 68 hail reports and 175 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Bay County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 30 hurricanes and 35 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Bay County, including 8 major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger). The strongest was Hurricane Michael (2018), with winds near 160 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.