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Hillsborough County, Florida

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively High overall risk
6th of 67highest risk in Florida
$495Mexpected losses a year
45federal declarations
1 in 8homes with flood insurance
Photo: Trevorrrrvalent, CC BY 4.0

Hillsborough County, Florida has a relatively high overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 99% of US counties. It ranks 6th of 67 counties in Florida. The costliest hazards here are hurricanes, inland flooding and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $495 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $339 per resident. Since 1968 it has been included in 45 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (26 major disasters). The most recent was in October 2024 (Hurricane Milton). About 1 in 8 homes here carry federal flood insurance (54,179 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $1.2 billion on 18,556 claims here, including $1.1 billion for floods in 2024.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Hillsborough County

Hurricane

Very High
$178 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 4 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$146 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Tornado

Very High
$76.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
HurricaneVery High99.3
$178M
Inland floodingHigh97.8
$146M
TornadoVery High99.7
$77M
Cold waveVery High99.5
$54M
Heat waveHigh97.0
$9M
LightningVery High99.7
$8M
Coastal floodingHigh92.4
$8M
HailHigh97.8
$6M
WildfireModerate95.7
$4M
Strong windModerate82.1
$1M
DroughtModerate83.0
$1M
EarthquakeLow68.5
$735K
LandslideLow64.4
$4K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Hillsborough County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane21
Severe Storm7
Fire5
Tropical Storm5
Freezing4
Coastal Storm1

Most recent

Oct 11, 2024Hurricane MiltonMajor disaster
Oct 7, 2024Hurricane MiltonEmergency
Sep 28, 2024Hurricane HeleneMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2024Tropical Storm HeleneEmergency
Aug 10, 2024Hurricane DebbyMajor disaster
Aug 3, 2024Tropical Storm DebbyEmergency
Aug 31, 2023Hurricane IdaliaMajor disaster
Aug 28, 2023Tropical Storm IdaliaEmergency
Dec 13, 2022Hurricane NicoleMajor disaster
Nov 8, 2022Tropical Storm NicoleEmergency
Show all 45
Sep 29, 2022Hurricane IanMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2022Tropical Storm IanEmergency
Jul 4, 2021Tropical Storm ElsaEmergency
Nov 11, 2020Hurricane EtaEmergency
Aug 30, 2019Hurricane DorianEmergency
Oct 9, 2018Hurricane MichaelEmergency
Sep 10, 2017Hurricane IrmaMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2017Hurricane IrmaEmergency
Sep 28, 2016Hurricane HermineMajor disaster
Jul 3, 2012Tropical Storm DebbyMajor disaster
Aug 21, 2008Tropical Storm FayEmergency
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 26, 2004Hurricane JeanneMajor disaster
Sep 4, 2004Hurricane FrancesMajor disaster
Aug 13, 2004Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane CharleyMajor disaster
Mar 18, 2001Fl - Lakeland Complex FireFire management
Feb 5, 2001Severe FreezeMajor disaster
May 20, 2000Lakeland District FireFire management
Oct 15, 1999Tropical Storm Irene - FloridaEmergency
Apr 27, 1999Fl-Fires 04/15/99Emergency
Apr 21, 1999Fl-Fires 04/13/99Fire management
Sep 25, 1998Hurricane GrorgesEmergency
Jun 18, 1998Extreme Fire HazardMajor disaster
Jan 6, 1998Severe Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 15, 1996Tropical Storm JosephineMajor disaster
Mar 13, 1993Tornadoes, Flooding, High Winds & Tides, FreezingMajor disaster
Oct 8, 1992Severe Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 15, 1990Severe FreezeMajor disaster
Sep 12, 1985Hurricane ElenaMajor disaster
Mar 18, 1985Severe FreezeMajor disaster
Sep 29, 1979Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
May 15, 1979Severe Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 31, 1977Severe Winter WeatherMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster
Nov 7, 1968Hurricane GladysMajor disaster

Florida also had 39 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1951

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 1,165 storm reports in Hillsborough County since 1951, with 17 deaths and 237 injuries and about $83.9 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on December 7, 1996 near Tampa.

149tornadoes
287hail reports, largest 3 inches
483damaging thunderstorm winds
85floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Dec 7, 1996F2Tampa0 / 1
Oct 31, 1973F2–8 / 0
Feb 19, 1963F2–0 / 0
Mar 31, 1972F2–4 / 0
Jan 8, 1978F2–2 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
May 4, 1996HailTampa$15M
Sep 26, 1997Flash FloodPlant City$5M
Mar 13, 1993Thunderstorm WindTampa$5M
Aug 1, 2015FloodOld Port Tampa Ports Site$5M
Oct 31, 1973Tornado–$3M
Feb 19, 1974Tornado–$3M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 10, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1852, 26 hurricanes and 35 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Hillsborough County, 21 of them since 1950. The strongest was Hurricane Charley (2004), with top winds near 135 mph about 59 miles away.

26hurricanes
5major hurricanes (Category 3+)
35tropical storms
2024most recent: Milton

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 13, 2004CharleyCategory 4, 135 mph59 mi
Sep 3, 1935UnnamedCategory 4, 130 mph61 mi
Oct 9, 2024MiltonCategory 3, 125 mph62 mi
Oct 25, 1921UnnamedCategory 3, 115 mph64 mi
Sep 28, 2022IanCategory 3, 115 mph63 mi
Sep 5, 1950EasyCategory 2, 110 mph61 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 9, 2024MiltonCategory 3, 125 mph62 mi
Nov 10, 2022NicoleTropical storm, 65 mph61 mi
Sep 28, 2022IanCategory 3, 115 mph63 mi
Sep 11, 2017IrmaCategory 1, 85 mph54 mi
Jul 31, 2017EmilyTropical storm, 60 mph33 mi
Jun 2, 2007BarryTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Hillsborough County

Check your address flood zone ›
12.1%of homes have federal flood insurance (54,179 policies)
61.4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$1.2 billionpaid on 18,556 flood claims since 1978
2024costliest year, with $1.1 billion paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Hillsborough County

$371,500median home value (Florida $359,000, US $332,700)
1991median year homes were built (Florida 1988, US 1980)
30%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
6.5%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 630,692 housing units.

Compare in Florida

All 67 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Miami-Dade CountyVery HighInland flooding
Broward CountyHighInland flooding
Palm Beach CountyHighHurricane
Hillsborough CountyHighHurricane
Orange CountyHighInland flooding
Duval CountyHighInland flooding
Pinellas CountyHighHurricane
Lee CountyHighHurricane

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Pinellas CountyHigh43
Polk CountyHigh40
Pasco CountyHigh42
Manatee CountyHigh48
Hardee CountyLow34

Common questions about Hillsborough County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Hillsborough County?

Hurricane has the highest expected yearly losses in Hillsborough County, about $178 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $146 million.

How many federal disasters has Hillsborough County had?

Hillsborough County has been included in 45 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1968, including 26 major disasters. The most recent was Hurricane Milton in October 2024.

Is Hillsborough County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively High, 6th highest of 67 in Florida. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Hillsborough County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 8 homes in Hillsborough County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Hillsborough County had?

NOAA records list 149 tornadoes in Hillsborough County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on December 7, 1996 near Tampa. The weather service has also logged 287 hail reports and 85 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Hillsborough County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 26 hurricanes and 35 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Hillsborough County, including 5 major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger). The strongest was Hurricane Charley (2004), with winds near 135 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.