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Page County, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
54th of 133highest risk in Virginia
$10Mexpected losses a year
22federal declarations
1 in 111homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Page County, Virginia has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 62% of US counties. It ranks 54th of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $9.6 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $404 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (14 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (103 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $3.6 million on 188 claims here, including $2.8 million for floods in 1996.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Page County

$6.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 15 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.

Strong wind

Moderate
$557,621 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 4 times a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow56.6
$7M
HurricaneLow77.0
$1M
Strong windModerate58.1
$558K
DroughtModerate65.1
$318K
Cold waveLow28.7
$313K
TornadoVery Low18.9
$174K
EarthquakeVery Low43.1
$150K
Heat waveVery Low35.3
$146K
HailLow38.0
$135K
LightningLow36.4
$114K
WildfireVery Low53.3
$46K
Winter weatherLow31.7
$26K
Ice stormVery Low15.8
$8K
LandslideLow76.0
$8K
AvalancheVery Low62.4
$2K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Page County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Flood5
Snowstorm5
Hurricane5
Severe Storm3
Drought2
Fire1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 4, 2025Severe Winter Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Mar 7, 2016Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Jul 27, 2012Severe Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Apr 27, 2010Severe Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disaster
Feb 16, 2010Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Show all 22
Feb 28, 2002Va - Fultz Run Fire - 02-28-2002Fire management
Feb 28, 2000Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Sep 6, 1996Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disaster
Jan 27, 1996Flooding, High Winds, and Wind Driven RainMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency
May 19, 1992Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 9, 1985Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 23, 1977DroughtEmergency
Oct 15, 1976DroughtEmergency
Oct 10, 1972Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1969

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 303 storm reports in Page County since 1969 and about $8.6 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F1 tornado on September 27, 1993 near Stanley.

4tornadoes
43hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
174damaging thunderstorm winds
63floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Sep 27, 1993F1Stanley0 / 0
Jun 3, 2009EF1Stanley0 / 0
Jul 21, 2026EF0Panorama0 / 0
May 30, 2025EF0Kimball0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Sep 18, 2003Flash FloodCountywide$2M
Sep 6, 1996Flash FloodCountywide$2M
Jun 22, 2026Thunderstorm WindLeaksville$1M
Jan 19, 1996Flash FloodAll$700K
Sep 27, 1993TornadoStanley$500K
Jul 21, 2026TornadoPanorama$500K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1876, 1 hurricane and 8 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Page County, 4 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 80 mph about 41 miles away.

1hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
8tropical storms
2003most recent: Isabel

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 13, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph41 mi
Sep 18, 1876UnnamedTropical storm, 65 mph57 mi
Aug 29, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 65 mph53 mi
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 65 mph45 mi
Aug 29, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph59 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 55 mph56 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 65 mph45 mi
Sep 6, 1979DavidTropical storm, 45 mph50 mi
Aug 18, 1955DianeTropical storm, 50 mph59 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 55 mph56 mi
Aug 29, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph59 mi
Aug 4, 1915UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph63 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Page County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.9%of homes have federal flood insurance (103 policies)
23.7%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$3.6 millionpaid on 188 flood claims since 1978
1996costliest year, with $2.8 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Page County

$233,200median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1974median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
60%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
9.1%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 11,955 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Rockingham CountyLow19
Shenandoah CountyLow22
Warren CountyVery Low21
Greene CountyVery Low24
Madison CountyVery Low22
Rappahannock CountyVery Low23

Common questions about Page County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Page County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Page County, about $6.5 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $1 million.

How many federal disasters has Page County had?

Page County has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 14 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Page County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 54th highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Page County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 111 homes in Page County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Page County had?

NOAA records list 4 tornadoes in Page County since 1950. The strongest was an F1 tornado on September 27, 1993 near Stanley. The weather service has also logged 43 hail reports and 63 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Page County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 1 hurricane and 8 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Page County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 80 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.