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Shenandoah County, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
24th of 133highest risk in Virginia
$19Mexpected losses a year
22federal declarations
1 in 200homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Shenandoah County, Virginia has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 60% of US counties. It ranks 24th of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $19 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $424 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (14 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (98 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $5.7 million on 205 claims here, including $4.6 million for floods in 1996.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Shenandoah County

$13.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 3 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 15 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.

Strong wind

Moderate
$1.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 5 times a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate73.9
$14M
HurricaneLow80.1
$2M
Strong windModerate77.5
$1M
TornadoLow27.3
$376K
Cold waveLow29.3
$350K
EarthquakeVery Low56.6
$345K
HailLow55.3
$286K
Heat waveLow46.4
$276K
DroughtLow59.3
$240K
LightningLow45.5
$177K
WildfireVery Low63.4
$95K
Winter weatherLow51.3
$59K
LandslideLow85.3
$28K
Ice stormVery Low19.0
$13K
AvalancheVery Low53.2
$651

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Shenandoah County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane6
Flood4
Snowstorm4
Severe Storm4
Drought2
Fire1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Mar 7, 2016Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Nov 26, 2012Hurricane SandyMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Jul 27, 2012Severe Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Apr 27, 2010Severe Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disaster
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Mar 27, 2003Severe Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and MudslideMajor disaster
Show all 22
May 5, 2002Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 20, 2001Va - Shenandoah Gap Fire Complex - 11/20/01Fire management
Feb 28, 2000Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Sep 6, 1996Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disaster
Jan 27, 1996Flooding, High Winds, and Wind Driven RainMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency
Nov 9, 1985Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 23, 1977DroughtEmergency
Oct 15, 1976DroughtEmergency
Oct 10, 1972Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1965

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 504 storm reports in Shenandoah County since 1965, with 1 death and 8 injuries and about $37 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on April 28, 2002 near Quicksburg.

6tornadoes
48hail reports, largest 2 inches
253damaging thunderstorm winds
178floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 28, 2002F2Quicksburg2 / 0
Apr 28, 2011EF2Hepners0 / 0
Jun 18, 1997F1Wheatfield0 / 0
Jul 21, 2026EF0Moores Store0 / 0
Apr 28, 2011EF0Capon Rd0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jan 19, 1996Flash FloodAll$27M
Sep 6, 1996Flash FloodCountywide$2M
Jul 13, 2015Flash FloodCalvary$2M
Apr 28, 2002TornadoQuicksburg$2M
Jul 21, 2026TornadoMoores Store$1M
Jun 22, 2001Flash FloodCountywide$600K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 21, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1876, 1 hurricane and 8 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Shenandoah County, 4 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 80 mph about 57 miles away.

1hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
8tropical storms
2003most recent: Isabel

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 13, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph57 mi
Sep 18, 1876UnnamedTropical storm, 65 mph63 mi
Aug 29, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 65 mph51 mi
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 65 mph62 mi
Aug 29, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph43 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 55 mph54 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 65 mph62 mi
Sep 6, 1979DavidTropical storm, 45 mph59 mi
Aug 18, 1955DianeTropical storm, 50 mph62 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 55 mph54 mi
Aug 29, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph43 mi
Aug 4, 1915UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Shenandoah County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.5%of homes have federal flood insurance (98 policies)
10.5%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$5.7 millionpaid on 205 flood claims since 1978
1996costliest year, with $4.6 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Shenandoah County

$294,900median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1983median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
46%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 21,395 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Frederick CountyLow17
Rockingham CountyLow19
Warren CountyVery Low21
Page CountyVery Low22
Hardy County, WVVery Low20

Common questions about Shenandoah County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Shenandoah County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Shenandoah County, about $13.7 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $1.7 million.

How many federal disasters has Shenandoah County had?

Shenandoah County has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 14 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Shenandoah County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 24th highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Shenandoah County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 200 homes in Shenandoah County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Shenandoah County had?

NOAA records list 6 tornadoes in Shenandoah County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on April 28, 2002 near Quicksburg. The weather service has also logged 48 hail reports and 178 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Shenandoah County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 1 hurricane and 8 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Shenandoah County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 80 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.