Shenandoah County, Virginia
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Shenandoah County, Virginia has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 60% of US counties. It ranks 24th of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $19 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $424 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (14 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (98 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $5.7 million on 205 claims here, including $4.6 million for floods in 1996.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Shenandoah County
- Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
- Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
- Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
- Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
- Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
- Have trees near the house checked.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | 73.9 | $14M | ||
| Hurricane | 80.1 | $2M | ||
| Strong wind | 77.5 | $1M | ||
| Tornado | 27.3 | $376K | ||
| Cold wave | 29.3 | $350K | ||
| Earthquake | 56.6 | $345K | ||
| Hail | 55.3 | $286K | ||
| Heat wave | 46.4 | $276K | ||
| Drought | 59.3 | $240K | ||
| Lightning | 45.5 | $177K | ||
| Wildfire | 63.4 | $95K | ||
| Winter weather | 51.3 | $59K | ||
| Landslide | 85.3 | $28K | ||
| Ice storm | 19.0 | $13K | ||
| Avalanche | 53.2 | $651 |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Shenandoah County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 22
Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1965
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 504 storm reports in Shenandoah County since 1965, with 1 death and 8 injuries and about $37 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on April 28, 2002 near Quicksburg.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2002 | F2 | Quicksburg | 2 / 0 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF2 | Hepners | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 18, 1997 | F1 | Wheatfield | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | EF0 | Moores Store | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 28, 2011 | EF0 | Capon Rd | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 1996 | Flash Flood | All | $27M |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Flash Flood | Countywide | $2M |
| Jul 13, 2015 | Flash Flood | Calvary | $2M |
| Apr 28, 2002 | Tornado | Quicksburg | $2M |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Tornado | Moores Store | $1M |
| Jun 22, 2001 | Flash Flood | Countywide | $600K |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 21, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
Hurricane risk by county ›Since 1876, 1 hurricane and 8 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Shenandoah County, 4 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 80 mph about 57 miles away.
Strongest storms nearby
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 1893 | Unnamed | Category 1, 80 mph | 57 mi |
| Sep 18, 1876 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 65 mph | 63 mi |
| Aug 29, 1893 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 65 mph | 51 mi |
| Sep 19, 2003 | Isabel | Tropical storm, 65 mph | 62 mi |
| Aug 29, 1949 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 60 mph | 43 mi |
| Sep 1, 1952 | Able | Tropical storm, 55 mph | 54 mi |
Most recent storms
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2003 | Isabel | Tropical storm, 65 mph | 62 mi |
| Sep 6, 1979 | David | Tropical storm, 45 mph | 59 mi |
| Aug 18, 1955 | Diane | Tropical storm, 50 mph | 62 mi |
| Sep 1, 1952 | Able | Tropical storm, 55 mph | 54 mi |
| Aug 29, 1949 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 60 mph | 43 mi |
| Aug 4, 1915 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 45 mph | 64 mi |
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.
Flood insurance in Shenandoah County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Shenandoah County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 21,395 housing units.
Compare in Virginia
All 133 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| Fairfax County | Inland flooding | |
| Prince William County | Inland flooding | |
| Virginia Beach City | Hurricane | |
| Loudoun County | Inland flooding | |
| Chesterfield County | Inland flooding | |
| Henrico County | Inland flooding | |
| Chesapeake City | Inland flooding | |
| Arlington County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Frederick County | 17 | |
| Rockingham County | 19 | |
| Warren County | 21 | |
| Page County | 22 | |
| Hardy County, WV | 20 |
Common questions about Shenandoah County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Shenandoah County?
Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Shenandoah County, about $13.7 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $1.7 million.
How many federal disasters has Shenandoah County had?
Shenandoah County has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 14 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.
Is Shenandoah County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 24th highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Shenandoah County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 200 homes in Shenandoah County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Shenandoah County had?
NOAA records list 6 tornadoes in Shenandoah County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on April 28, 2002 near Quicksburg. The weather service has also logged 48 hail reports and 178 floods here.
How many hurricanes have hit Shenandoah County?
NOAA's hurricane records show 1 hurricane and 8 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Shenandoah County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 80 mph.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.