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Northumberland County, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
51st of 133highest risk in Virginia
$8Mexpected losses a year
23federal declarations
1 in 16homes with flood insurance
Photo: CC0

Northumberland County, Virginia has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 60% of US counties. It ranks 51st of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are hurricanes, inland flooding and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $8.5 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $715 per resident. Since 1969 it has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (16 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). About 1 in 16 homes here carry federal flood insurance (517 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $6.9 million on 385 claims here, including $3.7 million for floods in 2006.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Northumberland County

Hurricane

Moderate
$3.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 6 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$1.6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 3 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
HurricaneModerate86.9
$3M
Inland floodingVery Low19.7
$2M
Strong windHigh85.6
$1M
DroughtModerate87.4
$938K
Coastal floodingModerate68.4
$668K
TornadoLow27.2
$286K
Cold waveLow28.6
$262K
Heat waveVery Low31.4
$99K
EarthquakeVery Low38.9
$97K
Ice stormLow43.5
$43K
LightningVery Low12.5
$29K
HailVery Low12.6
$28K
Winter weatherVery Low21.8
$13K
WildfireVery Low19.6
$5K
LandslideVery Low35.3
$316

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Northumberland County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane13
Snowstorm3
Flood2
Severe Storm2
Freezing1
Severe Ice Storm1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
May 10, 2021Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Dec 18, 2018Tropical Storm MichaelMajor disaster
Oct 15, 2018Hurricane FlorenceMajor disaster
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Nov 26, 2012Hurricane SandyMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Sep 3, 2011Hurricane IreneMajor disaster
Aug 26, 2011Hurricane IreneEmergency
Sep 22, 2006Tropical Depression Ernesto, Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 23
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Feb 28, 2000Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Sep 18, 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disaster
Sep 16, 1999Hurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsEmergency
Sep 6, 1996Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Mar 10, 1994Severe Ice Storms, FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency
Nov 9, 1985Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 26, 1977Ice ConditionsMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster
Aug 23, 1969Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1969

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 187 storm reports in Northumberland County since 1969, with 0 deaths and 11 injuries and about $2.3 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF2 tornado on May 3, 2021 near Luttrellville.

11tornadoes
13hail reports, largest 1.75 inches
104damaging thunderstorm winds
20floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 3, 2021EF2Luttrellville0 / 0
May 2, 1989F2–0 / 0
Aug 4, 2020EF1Fleeton0 / 0
Apr 3, 2024EF1Luttrellville0 / 0
Jul 12, 1996F1Edwardsville9 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Aug 4, 2020TornadoFleeton$626K
May 3, 2021TornadoLuttrellville$500K
Apr 3, 2024TornadoLuttrellville$294K
Jul 12, 1996TornadoEdwardsville$250K
Sep 10, 1997TornadoWicomico Church$150K
Jul 20, 2024Flash FloodRehoboth Church$60K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 18, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1856, 5 hurricanes and 32 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Northumberland County, 16 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with top winds near 100 mph about 53 miles away.

5hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
32tropical storms
2021most recent: Elsa

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 23, 1878UnnamedCategory 2, 100 mph53 mi
Aug 13, 1955ConnieCategory 1, 80 mph61 mi
Aug 23, 1933UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph62 mi
Oct 10, 1894UnnamedCategory 1, 75 mph62 mi
Aug 28, 2011IreneCategory 1, 75 mph65 mi
Sep 16, 1999FloydTropical storm, 70 mph54 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Jul 9, 2021ElsaTropical storm, 60 mph61 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph55 mi
Aug 28, 2011IreneCategory 1, 75 mph65 mi
Sep 6, 2008HannaTropical storm, 50 mph41 mi
Aug 30, 2004GastonTropical storm, 40 mph47 mi
Sep 16, 1999FloydTropical storm, 70 mph54 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Northumberland County

Check your address flood zone ›
6.2%of homes have federal flood insurance (517 policies)
47.4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$6.9 millionpaid on 385 flood claims since 1978
2006costliest year, with $3.7 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Northumberland County

$346,800median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1989median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
35%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
8.4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 9,044 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
St. Mary's County, MDVery Low16
Accomack CountyModerate18
Somerset County, MDLow12
Westmoreland CountyVery Low23
Lancaster CountyVery Low23
Richmond CountyVery Low22

Common questions about Northumberland County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Northumberland County?

Hurricane has the highest expected yearly losses in Northumberland County, about $3.3 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $1.6 million.

How many federal disasters has Northumberland County had?

Northumberland County has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1969, including 16 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Northumberland County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 51st highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Northumberland County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 16 homes in Northumberland County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Northumberland County had?

NOAA records list 11 tornadoes in Northumberland County since 1950. The strongest was an EF2 tornado on May 3, 2021 near Luttrellville. The weather service has also logged 13 hail reports and 20 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Northumberland County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 5 hurricanes and 32 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Northumberland County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with winds near 100 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.