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James City County, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
31st of 133highest risk in Virginia
$22Mexpected losses a year
16federal declarations
1 in 36homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

James City County, Virginia has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 53% of US counties. It ranks 31st of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $22 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $284 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 16 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (10 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). About 1 in 36 homes here carry federal flood insurance (853 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $6.4 million on 370 claims here, including $3.6 million for floods in 2003.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in James City County

$11.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Hurricane

Moderate
$3.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 5 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$1.6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 10 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow60.8
$12M
HurricaneModerate82.1
$3M
TornadoLow51.1
$2M
DroughtModerate85.3
$2M
Heat waveLow61.6
$782K
Cold waveLow36.9
$733K
EarthquakeLow61.1
$608K
Strong windLow42.4
$559K
LightningModerate64.7
$512K
Coastal floodingLow53.2
$275K
Ice stormModerate67.3
$240K
HailVery Low32.6
$168K
Winter weatherLow60.6
$117K
WildfireVery Low46.4
$48K
LandslideVery Low53.2
$2K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included James City County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane9
Snowstorm2
Severe Storm2
Flood1
Freezing1
Winter Storm1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Dec 18, 2018Tropical Storm MichaelMajor disaster
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Sep 3, 2011Hurricane IreneMajor disaster
Aug 26, 2011Hurricane IreneEmergency
Sep 22, 2006Tropical Depression Ernesto, Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Feb 28, 2000Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Show all 16
Sep 18, 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disaster
Sep 6, 1996Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency
Jan 26, 1977Ice ConditionsMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 241 storm reports in James City County since 1957, with 1 death and 21 injuries and about $13.2 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF3 tornado on April 16, 2011 near Grove.

9tornadoes
20hail reports, largest 2 inches
106damaging thunderstorm winds
22floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 16, 2011EF3Grove0 / 0
Aug 6, 1993F1Newport News10 / 0
Aug 6, 1993F1Williamsburg To0 / 0
Oct 11, 2018EF1Norge0 / 0
Aug 4, 2020EF1Five Forks0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Aug 6, 1993TornadoNewport News$5M
Aug 6, 1993TornadoWilliamsburg To$5M
Jun 29, 2007Thunderstorm WindFive Forks$1M
Oct 7, 2006Flash FloodJamestown$850K
Jun 29, 2007HailGrove$250K
Apr 28, 2008TornadoJamestown$200K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1854, 6 hurricanes and 32 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of James City County, 16 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with top winds near 100 mph about 40 miles away.

6hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
32tropical storms
2021most recent: Elsa

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 23, 1878UnnamedCategory 2, 100 mph40 mi
Aug 13, 1955ConnieCategory 1, 80 mph52 mi
Aug 23, 1933UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph49 mi
Sep 16, 1999FloydCategory 1, 75 mph65 mi
Sep 17, 1876UnnamedCategory 1, 75 mph50 mi
Oct 10, 1894UnnamedCategory 1, 75 mph56 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Jul 9, 2021ElsaTropical storm, 55 mph51 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph44 mi
Sep 6, 2008HannaTropical storm, 50 mph52 mi
Aug 30, 2004GastonTropical storm, 40 mph13 mi
Sep 16, 1999FloydCategory 1, 75 mph65 mi
Jul 24, 1997DannyTropical storm, 50 mph61 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in James City County

Check your address flood zone ›
2.8%of homes have federal flood insurance (853 policies)
75.1%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$6.4 millionpaid on 370 flood claims since 1978
2003costliest year, with $3.6 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in James City County

$447,200median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1997median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
18%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
2.6%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 34,726 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Newport News CityLow19
York CountyLow17
Gloucester CountyVery Low16
Isle of Wight CountyVery Low18
New Kent CountyVery Low20
Williamsburg CityVery Low14
Charles City CountyVery Low17
King and Queen CountyVery Low23

Common questions about James City County

What is the biggest natural hazard in James City County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in James City County, about $11.7 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $3.3 million.

How many federal disasters has James City County had?

James City County has been included in 16 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 10 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is James City County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 31st highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in James City County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 36 homes in James City County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has James City County had?

NOAA records list 9 tornadoes in James City County since 1950. The strongest was an EF3 tornado on April 16, 2011 near Grove. The weather service has also logged 20 hail reports and 22 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit James City County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 6 hurricanes and 32 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of James City County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with winds near 100 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.