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Culpeper County, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
43rd of 133highest risk in Virginia
$15Mexpected losses a year
21federal declarations
1 in 500homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Culpeper County, Virginia has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 54% of US counties. It ranks 43rd of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, drought and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $15 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $284 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 21 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (15 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Only 40 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $720,000 on 43 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Culpeper County

$9.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 3 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Drought

Moderate
$1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 3 times a year.
  • Check local water restrictions.
  • Choose drought-tolerant plants.

Strong wind

Moderate
$741,519 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 6 times a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow62.0
$10M
DroughtModerate81.0
$1M
Strong windModerate59.8
$742K
HurricaneLow70.9
$657K
EarthquakeLow65.1
$622K
Heat waveLow60.3
$598K
TornadoLow31.3
$561K
LightningModerate72.2
$548K
HailLow43.5
$210K
Winter weatherLow40.9
$48K
Cold waveVery Low7.3
$44K
Ice stormLow29.9
$32K
WildfireVery Low35.5
$20K
LandslideVery Low41.5
$743

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Culpeper County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane6
Snowstorm5
Severe Storm5
Flood2
Drought1
Earthquake1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Mar 11, 2022Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Mar 7, 2016Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Nov 26, 2012Hurricane SandyMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Jul 27, 2012Severe Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Nov 4, 2011EarthquakeMajor disaster
Apr 27, 2010Severe Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disaster
Feb 16, 2010Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Show all 21
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Feb 28, 2000Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Sep 6, 1996Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Jul 1, 1995Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 11, 1994Severe Winter Ice StormMajor disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency
Jul 23, 1977DroughtEmergency
Oct 10, 1972Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1959

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 490 storm reports in Culpeper County since 1959, with 1 death and 14 injuries and about $7.8 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on September 24, 2001 near Rixeyville.

10tornadoes
53hail reports, largest 4.5 inches
264damaging thunderstorm winds
146floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Sep 24, 2001F4Rixeyville2 / 0
Oct 13, 1983F2–6 / 0
Sep 17, 2004F1Mitchells0 / 0
Sep 17, 2004F1Catalpa0 / 0
Sep 8, 2004F1Elkwood0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Oct 13, 1983Tornado–$3M
Sep 24, 2001TornadoRixeyville$2M
Sep 17, 2004TornadoMitchells$850K
Sep 6, 1996Flash FloodCountywide$440K
Jun 22, 2022Thunderstorm WindJeffersonton$250K
May 26, 2024TornadoCordova$250K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1876, 2 hurricanes and 10 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Culpeper County, 4 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with top winds near 95 mph about 60 miles away.

2hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
10tropical storms
2003most recent: Isabel

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 23, 1878UnnamedCategory 2, 95 mph60 mi
Oct 13, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph30 mi
Sep 17, 1876UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph57 mi
Aug 23, 1933UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 65 mph61 mi
Aug 29, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 65 mph58 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 65 mph61 mi
Sep 6, 1979DavidTropical storm, 45 mph57 mi
Aug 18, 1955DianeTropical storm, 50 mph53 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 55 mph63 mi
Aug 29, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph39 mi
Aug 2, 1944UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph63 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Culpeper County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.2%of homes have federal flood insurance (40 policies)
28.3%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$720,374paid on 43 flood claims since 1978
2011costliest year, with $173,002 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Culpeper County

$409,200median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1994median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
31%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
1.1%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 19,773 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Stafford CountyLow18
Spotsylvania CountyLow17
Fauquier CountyLow19
Orange CountyVery Low20
Madison CountyVery Low22
Rappahannock CountyVery Low23

Common questions about Culpeper County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Culpeper County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Culpeper County, about $9.8 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Drought is second at $1 million.

How many federal disasters has Culpeper County had?

Culpeper County has been included in 21 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 15 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Culpeper County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 43rd highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Culpeper County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 500 homes in Culpeper County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Culpeper County had?

NOAA records list 10 tornadoes in Culpeper County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on September 24, 2001 near Rixeyville. The weather service has also logged 53 hail reports and 146 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Culpeper County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 2 hurricanes and 10 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Culpeper County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with winds near 95 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.