Orange County, Virginia
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Orange County, Virginia has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 74% of US counties. It ranks 68th of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and drought. FEMA estimates about $11 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $307 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (14 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (69 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $279,000 on 20 claims here.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Orange County
- Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
- Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
- Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
- Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
- Check local water restrictions.
- Choose drought-tolerant plants.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | 35.6 | $5M | ||
| Hurricane | 76.9 | $2M | ||
| Drought | 82.1 | $1M | ||
| Earthquake | 61.9 | $661K | ||
| Strong wind | 46.2 | $636K | ||
| Tornado | 25.4 | $482K | ||
| Heat wave | 42.7 | $337K | ||
| Hail | 37.9 | $215K | ||
| Lightning | 40.0 | $207K | ||
| Cold wave | 8.9 | $81K | ||
| Winter weather | 27.6 | $34K | ||
| Ice storm | 22.2 | $26K | ||
| Wildfire | 30.6 | $19K | ||
| Landslide | 33.6 | $527 |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Orange County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 20
Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1965
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 487 storm reports in Orange County since 1965, with 0 deaths and 4 injuries and about $4.9 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on October 18, 1990.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 1990 | F3 | – | 1 / 0 |
| Aug 17, 1965 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F2 | Rhoadesville | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 17, 2004 | F1 | Lahore | 0 / 0 |
| Jul 21, 1995 | F1 | Gordonsville | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 1990 | Tornado | – | $3M |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Flash Flood | Countywide | $580K |
| Aug 17, 1965 | Tornado | – | $250K |
| Jun 6, 2002 | Thunderstorm Wind | Flatrun | $200K |
| Sep 17, 2004 | Tornado | Lahore | $150K |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Flash Flood | Countywide | $100K |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Mar 16, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
Hurricane risk by county ›Since 1876, 2 hurricanes and 11 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Orange County, 4 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with top winds near 95 mph about 53 miles away.
Strongest storms nearby
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 1878 | Unnamed | Category 2, 95 mph | 53 mi |
| Oct 13, 1893 | Unnamed | Category 1, 80 mph | 56 mi |
| Sep 17, 1876 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 48 mi |
| Sep 19, 2003 | Isabel | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 63 mi |
| Aug 23, 1933 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 59 mi |
| Aug 29, 1893 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 65 mph | 44 mi |
Most recent storms
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2003 | Isabel | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 63 mi |
| Sep 6, 1979 | David | Tropical storm, 45 mph | 63 mi |
| Aug 18, 1955 | Diane | Tropical storm, 55 mph | 62 mi |
| Sep 1, 1952 | Able | Tropical storm, 55 mph | 59 mi |
| Aug 29, 1949 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 60 mph | 60 mi |
| Aug 2, 1944 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 64 mi |
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.
Flood insurance in Orange County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Orange County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 16,131 housing units.
Compare in Virginia
All 133 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| Fairfax County | Inland flooding | |
| Prince William County | Inland flooding | |
| Virginia Beach City | Hurricane | |
| Loudoun County | Inland flooding | |
| Chesterfield County | Inland flooding | |
| Henrico County | Inland flooding | |
| Chesapeake City | Inland flooding | |
| Arlington County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Spotsylvania County | 17 | |
| Albemarle County | 23 | |
| Culpeper County | 21 | |
| Louisa County | 23 | |
| Greene County | 24 | |
| Madison County | 22 |
Common questions about Orange County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Orange County?
Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Orange County, about $5.4 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $1.7 million.
How many federal disasters has Orange County had?
Orange County has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 14 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.
Is Orange County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Very Low, 68th highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Orange County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 200 homes in Orange County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Orange County had?
NOAA records list 14 tornadoes in Orange County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on October 18, 1990. The weather service has also logged 53 hail reports and 127 floods here.
How many hurricanes have hit Orange County?
NOAA's hurricane records show 2 hurricanes and 11 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Orange County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with winds near 95 mph.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.