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Orange County, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
68th of 133highest risk in Virginia
$11Mexpected losses a year
20federal declarations
1 in 200homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Orange County, Virginia has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 74% of US counties. It ranks 68th of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and drought. FEMA estimates about $11 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $307 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (14 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (69 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $279,000 on 20 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Orange County

$5.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 10 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.

Drought

Moderate
$1.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 4 times a year.
  • Check local water restrictions.
  • Choose drought-tolerant plants.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow35.6
$5M
HurricaneLow76.9
$2M
DroughtModerate82.1
$1M
EarthquakeLow61.9
$661K
Strong windLow46.2
$636K
TornadoVery Low25.4
$482K
Heat waveLow42.7
$337K
HailLow37.9
$215K
LightningLow40.0
$207K
Cold waveVery Low8.9
$81K
Winter weatherLow27.6
$34K
Ice stormVery Low22.2
$26K
WildfireVery Low30.6
$19K
LandslideVery Low33.6
$527

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Orange County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm6
Hurricane5
Snowstorm4
Flood2
Drought1
Earthquake1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Mar 11, 2022Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Jul 27, 2012Severe Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Nov 4, 2011EarthquakeMajor disaster
Apr 27, 2010Severe Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disaster
Feb 16, 2010Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Show all 20
Mar 27, 2003Severe Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and MudslideMajor disaster
Feb 28, 2000Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Sep 6, 1996Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Jul 1, 1995Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 11, 1994Severe Winter Ice StormMajor disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency
Jul 23, 1977DroughtEmergency
Oct 10, 1972Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1965

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 487 storm reports in Orange County since 1965, with 0 deaths and 4 injuries and about $4.9 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on October 18, 1990.

14tornadoes
53hail reports, largest 2 inches
284damaging thunderstorm winds
127floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Oct 18, 1990F3–1 / 0
Aug 17, 1965F2–0 / 0
Sep 17, 2004F2Rhoadesville0 / 0
Sep 17, 2004F1Lahore0 / 0
Jul 21, 1995F1Gordonsville0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Oct 18, 1990Tornado–$3M
Sep 6, 1996Flash FloodCountywide$580K
Aug 17, 1965Tornado–$250K
Jun 6, 2002Thunderstorm WindFlatrun$200K
Sep 17, 2004TornadoLahore$150K
Sep 18, 2003Flash FloodCountywide$100K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Mar 16, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1876, 2 hurricanes and 11 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Orange County, 4 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with top winds near 95 mph about 53 miles away.

2hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
11tropical storms
2003most recent: Isabel

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 23, 1878UnnamedCategory 2, 95 mph53 mi
Oct 13, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph56 mi
Sep 17, 1876UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph48 mi
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 70 mph63 mi
Aug 23, 1933UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph59 mi
Aug 29, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 65 mph44 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 70 mph63 mi
Sep 6, 1979DavidTropical storm, 45 mph63 mi
Aug 18, 1955DianeTropical storm, 55 mph62 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 55 mph59 mi
Aug 29, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph60 mi
Aug 2, 1944UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph64 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Orange County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.5%of homes have federal flood insurance (69 policies)
54.3%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$279,047paid on 20 flood claims since 1978
2025costliest year, with $151,099 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Orange County

$364,200median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1993median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
33%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
3.7%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 16,131 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Spotsylvania CountyLow17
Albemarle CountyLow23
Culpeper CountyLow21
Louisa CountyVery Low23
Greene CountyVery Low24
Madison CountyVery Low22

Common questions about Orange County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Orange County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Orange County, about $5.4 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $1.7 million.

How many federal disasters has Orange County had?

Orange County has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 14 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Orange County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 68th highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Orange County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 200 homes in Orange County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Orange County had?

NOAA records list 14 tornadoes in Orange County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on October 18, 1990. The weather service has also logged 53 hail reports and 127 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Orange County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 2 hurricanes and 11 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Orange County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with winds near 95 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.