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Spotsylvania County, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
32nd of 133highest risk in Virginia
$25Mexpected losses a year
17federal declarations
1 in 125homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Spotsylvania County, Virginia has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 53% of US counties. It ranks 32nd of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, earthquakes and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $25 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $181 per resident. Since 1969 it has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (11 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (249 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $163,000 on 54 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Spotsylvania County

$15.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 435 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.

Strong wind

Moderate
$1.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 5 times a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow65.3
$16M
EarthquakeLow76.2
$2M
Strong windModerate76.4
$2M
Heat waveLow74.4
$2M
TornadoLow44.7
$2M
HurricaneLow72.2
$1M
LightningModerate77.1
$933K
HailLow53.1
$438K
DroughtLow46.1
$160K
Winter weatherLow56.5
$117K
Ice stormLow38.2
$70K
Cold waveVery Low6.6
$51K
WildfireVery Low17.4
$9K
LandslideVery Low37.6
$812
Coastal floodingVery Low17.6
$91

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Spotsylvania County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane5
Snowstorm5
Severe Storm3
Flood1
Drought1
Earthquake1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Mar 11, 2022Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Mar 7, 2016Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Nov 4, 2011EarthquakeMajor disaster
Apr 27, 2010Severe Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disaster
Feb 16, 2010Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Show all 17
Feb 28, 2000Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Apr 11, 1994Severe Winter Ice StormMajor disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency
Jul 23, 1977DroughtEmergency
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster
Aug 23, 1969Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1973

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 506 storm reports in Spotsylvania County since 1973, with 1 death and 17 injuries and about $4.6 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F1 tornado on July 24, 1999 near Wilderness Corner.

12tornadoes
78hail reports, largest 3 inches
341damaging thunderstorm winds
60floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Jul 24, 1999F1Wilderness Corner0 / 0
Oct 27, 1995F1Partlow0 / 0
Feb 17, 1998F1Snell0 / 0
Apr 19, 2013EF1Belmont0 / 0
Apr 9, 1999F1Paytes0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jul 29, 2023Thunderstorm WindBrockroad$1M
Jul 4, 2026Thunderstorm WindNew Post$500K
Jul 18, 2026Thunderstorm WindLewiston$500K
Aug 24, 2020Thunderstorm WindMassaponax$400K
Jul 24, 1999TornadoWilderness Corner$150K
Jun 6, 2002Thunderstorm WindWilderness Corner$125K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1876, 2 hurricanes and 14 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Spotsylvania County, 5 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with top winds near 95 mph about 35 miles away.

2hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
14tropical storms
2020most recent: Isaias

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 23, 1878UnnamedCategory 2, 95 mph35 mi
Oct 13, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph60 mi
Aug 23, 1933UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi
Sep 17, 1876UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph53 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph57 mi
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 70 mph63 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph57 mi
Sep 6, 2008HannaTropical storm, 50 mph64 mi
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 70 mph63 mi
Aug 18, 1955DianeTropical storm, 50 mph58 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 55 mph59 mi
Aug 29, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph51 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Spotsylvania County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.8%of homes have federal flood insurance (249 policies)
0%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$162,735paid on 54 flood claims since 1978
2006costliest year, with $25,807 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Spotsylvania County

$404,900median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1997median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
17%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
3.5%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 55,427 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Stafford CountyLow18
Hanover CountyLow20
Culpeper CountyLow21
Louisa CountyVery Low23
Orange CountyVery Low20
Caroline CountyVery Low22
Fredericksburg CityVery Low17

Common questions about Spotsylvania County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Spotsylvania County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Spotsylvania County, about $15.8 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Earthquake is second at $1.8 million.

How many federal disasters has Spotsylvania County had?

Spotsylvania County has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1969, including 11 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Spotsylvania County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 32nd highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Spotsylvania County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 125 homes in Spotsylvania County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Spotsylvania County had?

NOAA records list 12 tornadoes in Spotsylvania County since 1950. The strongest was an F1 tornado on July 24, 1999 near Wilderness Corner. The weather service has also logged 78 hail reports and 60 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Spotsylvania County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 2 hurricanes and 14 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Spotsylvania County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with winds near 95 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.