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Fergus County, Montana

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
21st of 56highest risk in Montana
$14Mexpected losses a year
8federal declarations
1 in 250homes with flood insurance
Photo: Bold Frontiers, CC BY 2.0

Fergus County, Montana has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 55% of US counties. It ranks 21st of 56 counties in Montana. The costliest hazards here are cold waves, inland flooding and lightning. FEMA estimates about $14 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $1,198 per resident. Since 1975 it has been included in 8 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (7 major disasters). The most recent was in July 2024 (severe winter storm and flooding). Only 32 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $244,000 on 27 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Fergus County

$7.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 9 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
$4.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Lightning

Moderate
$460,755 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 29 times a year.
  • Go indoors when you hear thunder.
  • Use surge protectors for electronics.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Cold waveHigh91.8
$8M
Inland floodingLow36.5
$4M
LightningModerate69.0
$461K
Winter weatherHigh91.8
$442K
WildfireLow80.4
$404K
TornadoVery Low15.7
$149K
HailVery Low27.3
$102K
Heat waveVery Low20.3
$61K
Strong windVery Low8.6
$59K
EarthquakeVery Low25.9
$46K
DroughtLow31.8
$30K
LandslideLow71.2
$6K
Ice stormVery Low11.4
$6K
AvalancheVery Low25.0
$61

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Fergus County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Flood4
Severe Storm2
Fire1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Jul 18, 2024Severe Winter Storm and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 11, 2023FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 10, 2013FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 17, 2011Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 13, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Aug 30, 2000WildfiresMajor disaster
Mar 15, 1986Heavy Rains, Landslides & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 28, 1975Rains, Showmelt, Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Montana also had 36 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1956

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 529 storm reports in Fergus County since 1956, with 0 deaths and 3 injuries and about $6.6 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on August 14, 1999 near Lewistown.

27tornadoes
254hail reports, largest 4.5 inches
210damaging thunderstorm winds
17floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Aug 14, 1999F2Lewistown3 / 0
Jul 8, 2002F2Hilger0 / 0
Jun 8, 1976F2–0 / 0
Jun 25, 1996F2Denton0 / 0
Jul 20, 1964F2–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Aug 14, 1999TornadoLewistown$4M
Jun 22, 1994HailBig Sandy$550K
Jun 22, 1994Thunderstorm WindBig Sandy$550K
Jun 22, 1994Hail–$500K
May 25, 2023HailGrassrange Clark Arp$200K
Jun 7, 2023Flash FloodLewiston Muni A$200K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 25, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Fergus County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (32 policies)
12.7%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$243,625paid on 27 flood claims since 1978
2011costliest year, with $198,335 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Fergus County

$236,100median home value (Montana $375,800, US $332,700)
1966median year homes were built (Montana 1981, US 1980)
67%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
13.4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 6,012 housing units.

Compare in Montana

All 56 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Yellowstone CountyModerateInland flooding
Gallatin CountyModerateEarthquake
Missoula CountyLowInland flooding
Flathead CountyModerateInland flooding
Cascade CountyModerateInland flooding
Lewis and Clark CountyLowCold wave
Ravalli CountyLowWildfire
Silver Bow CountyVery LowCold wave

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Blaine CountyLow11
Chouteau CountyVery Low8
Musselshell CountyVery Low13
Phillips CountyVery Low8
Wheatland CountyVery Low8
Judith Basin CountyVery Low7
Golden Valley CountyVery Low8
Petroleum CountyVery Low10

Common questions about Fergus County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Fergus County?

Cold wave has the highest expected yearly losses in Fergus County, about $7.8 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $4.1 million.

How many federal disasters has Fergus County had?

Fergus County has been included in 8 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1975, including 7 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm and Flooding in July 2024.

Is Fergus County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 21st highest of 56 in Montana. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Fergus County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in Fergus County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Fergus County had?

NOAA records list 27 tornadoes in Fergus County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on August 14, 1999 near Lewistown. The weather service has also logged 254 hail reports and 17 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.