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Jefferson County, Arkansas

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
10th of 75highest risk in Arkansas
$37Mexpected losses a year
23federal declarations
1 in 111homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Jefferson County, Arkansas has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 85% of US counties. It ranks 10th of 75 counties in Arkansas. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, earthquakes and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $37 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $554 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (17 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (273 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $14 million on 596 claims here, including $6.3 million for floods in 2019.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Jefferson County

$11.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Earthquake

Moderate
$11.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 250 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
$5.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate78.2
$12M
EarthquakeModerate95.6
$11M
TornadoHigh92.5
$6M
Heat waveModerate91.4
$2M
Strong windHigh95.8
$2M
Ice stormVery High97.4
$2M
LightningHigh86.4
$652K
HailModerate77.1
$498K
Cold waveLow42.8
$483K
HurricaneLow65.3
$236K
DroughtLow62.9
$224K
Winter weatherModerate78.2
$125K
WildfireVery Low57.6
$48K
LandslideVery Low46.7
$736

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Jefferson County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm9
Flood7
Severe Ice Storm2
Hurricane2
Winter Storm2
Tornado1

Most recent

Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 5, 2025Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
Apr 4, 2023Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Aug 27, 2020Hurricane LauraEmergency
Jul 10, 2020Severe Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Jun 8, 2019Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
May 30, 2019Severe Storms and FloodingEmergency
Feb 5, 2016Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 26, 2015Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
May 2, 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Associated FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 23
Feb 4, 2010Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 16, 2009Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 26, 2008Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 2, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Dec 29, 2000Severe Winter Ice StormMajor disaster
Dec 28, 2000Severe Winter Ice StormEmergency
Jan 23, 1999Ar Severe Weather 1-21-99Major disaster
Apr 14, 1997Flooding, Severe StormsMajor disaster
Mar 2, 1997Severe Storms and TornadoesMajor disaster
May 15, 1990Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 7, 1975Heavy Rains & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 8, 1974Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 27, 1973Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Arkansas also had 8 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1954

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 666 storm reports in Jefferson County since 1954, with 7 deaths and 37 injuries and about $28.5 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on May 14, 1983.

37tornadoes
198hail reports, largest 4.25 inches
330damaging thunderstorm winds
78floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 14, 1983F3–2 / 0
Dec 19, 1957F3–0 / 0
Apr 21, 1955F2–2 / 1
Jan 22, 2012EF2Sweden0 / 0
Feb 19, 1954F2–1 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
May 1, 2011FloodRedfield$9M
May 28, 2015FloodPine Bluff$5M
May 14, 1983Tornado–$3M
Jan 21, 1999TornadoWhitehall$2M
May 26, 2019FloodRob Roy$2M
Mar 21, 2008FloodWright$1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 8, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1865, 0 hurricanes and 9 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County, 2 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1909, with top winds near 60 mph about 60 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
9tropical storms
2020most recent: Laura

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 21, 1909UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph60 mi
Aug 27, 2020LauraTropical storm, 50 mph64 mi
Oct 16, 1923UnnamedTropical storm, 50 mph58 mi
Aug 23, 1879UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph63 mi
Sep 14, 1865UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi
Jul 7, 1891UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph65 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 27, 2020LauraTropical storm, 50 mph64 mi
Sep 11, 1965BetsyTropical storm, 40 mph61 mi
Sep 24, 1941UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph58 mi
Oct 16, 1923UnnamedTropical storm, 50 mph58 mi
Sep 21, 1909UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph60 mi
Sep 30, 1905UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph54 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Jefferson County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.9%of homes have federal flood insurance (273 policies)
11.7%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$14.4 millionpaid on 596 flood claims since 1978
2019costliest year, with $6.3 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Jefferson County

$113,400median home value (Arkansas $188,000, US $332,700)
1978median year homes were built (Arkansas 1987, US 1980)
55%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
12.5%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 30,679 housing units.

Compare in Arkansas

All 75 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Pulaski CountyHighInland flooding
Benton CountyModerateInland flooding
Washington CountyModerateHeat wave
Sebastian CountyModerateInland flooding
Faulkner CountyModerateTornado
Saline CountyLowInland flooding
Craighead CountyModerateEarthquake
Garland CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Pulaski CountyHigh31
Lonoke CountyLow27
Grant CountyVery Low17
Arkansas CountyLow18
Lincoln CountyVery Low22
Cleveland CountyVery Low19

Cities in Jefferson County

Common questions about Jefferson County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Jefferson County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Jefferson County, about $11.9 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Earthquake is second at $11.1 million.

How many federal disasters has Jefferson County had?

Jefferson County has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 17 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Jefferson County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 10th highest of 75 in Arkansas. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Jefferson County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 111 homes in Jefferson County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Jefferson County had?

NOAA records list 37 tornadoes in Jefferson County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on May 14, 1983. The weather service has also logged 198 hail reports and 78 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Jefferson County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 9 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1909, with winds near 60 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.