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Clay County, Arkansas

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
20th of 75highest risk in Arkansas
$21Mexpected losses a year
23federal declarations
1 in 83homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, CC0

Clay County, Arkansas has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 72% of US counties. It ranks 20th of 75 counties in Arkansas. The costliest hazards here are earthquakes, inland flooding and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $21 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $1,422 per resident. Since 1969 it has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (18 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). About 1 in 83 homes here carry federal flood insurance (112 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $4.1 million on 180 claims here, including $1.7 million for floods in 2017.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Clay County

Earthquake

Moderate
$7.6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 80 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
$3.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Cold wave

Moderate
$2.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
EarthquakeModerate93.9
$8M
Inland floodingLow40.0
$3M
Cold waveModerate81.1
$3M
DroughtHigh96.0
$2M
TornadoModerate71.1
$2M
Heat waveModerate82.8
$1M
Ice stormHigh93.6
$931K
LightningModerate80.2
$498K
Strong windLow51.7
$396K
Winter weatherModerate68.4
$84K
HailVery Low28.9
$77K
HurricaneVery Low49.8
$50K
WildfireVery Low6.1
$1K
LandslideVery Low51.4
$1K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Clay County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm13
Flood5
Severe Ice Storm2
Hurricane2
Winter Storm1

Most recent

Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
May 21, 2025Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 5, 2025Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
Aug 27, 2020Hurricane LauraEmergency
Jun 15, 2017Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 5, 2016Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 29, 2014Severe Storms,Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
May 2, 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Associated FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 4, 2010Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 6, 2009Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Show all 23
Jan 28, 2009Severe Winter StormEmergency
Oct 22, 2008Tropical Storm IkeMajor disaster
Mar 26, 2008Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 2, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Jan 6, 2003Severe Ice StormMajor disaster
Jan 24, 2002Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 23, 1999Ar Severe Weather 1-21-99Major disaster
Apr 14, 1997Flooding, Severe StormsMajor disaster
Mar 2, 1997Severe Storms and TornadoesMajor disaster
May 15, 1990Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 13, 1982Severe Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 27, 1973Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 15, 1969Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Arkansas also had 8 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 338 storm reports in Clay County since 1957, with 4 deaths and 1 injury and about $25.7 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on January 21, 1999 near Knobel.

27tornadoes
110hail reports, largest 4.5 inches
163damaging thunderstorm winds
34floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Jan 21, 1999F4Knobel0 / 0
Feb 24, 2018EF2Knobel0 / 1
May 16, 1990F2–1 / 1
Jan 21, 1999F2Datto0 / 0
Sep 1, 2012EF2Corning Muni Arpt0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jan 21, 1999TornadoDatto$8M
Sep 1, 2012TornadoCorning Muni Arpt$5M
May 1, 2011FloodPollard$1M
Apr 26, 2011FloodDatto$1M
May 1, 2011FloodDatto$1M
Jan 21, 1999TornadoKnobel$1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Apr 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1906, 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Clay County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1923, with top winds near 50 mph about 63 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
3tropical storms
1941most recent: unnamed storm

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 17, 1923UnnamedTropical storm, 50 mph63 mi
Sep 24, 1941UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph46 mi
Sep 28, 1906UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph54 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 24, 1941UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph46 mi
Oct 17, 1923UnnamedTropical storm, 50 mph63 mi
Sep 28, 1906UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph54 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Clay County

Check your address flood zone ›
1.2%of homes have federal flood insurance (112 policies)
7.8%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$4.1 millionpaid on 180 flood claims since 1978
2017costliest year, with $1.7 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Clay County

$94,600median home value (Arkansas $188,000, US $332,700)
1973median year homes were built (Arkansas 1987, US 1980)
66%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
12%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 7,492 housing units.

Compare in Arkansas

All 75 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Pulaski CountyHighInland flooding
Benton CountyModerateInland flooding
Washington CountyModerateHeat wave
Sebastian CountyModerateInland flooding
Faulkner CountyModerateTornado
Saline CountyLowInland flooding
Craighead CountyModerateEarthquake
Garland CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Greene CountyLow26
Butler County, MOModerate21
Dunklin County, MOLow20
Randolph CountyLow25
Ripley County, MOLow22

Common questions about Clay County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Clay County?

Earthquake has the highest expected yearly losses in Clay County, about $7.6 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $3.3 million.

How many federal disasters has Clay County had?

Clay County has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1969, including 18 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Clay County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 20th highest of 75 in Arkansas. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Clay County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 83 homes in Clay County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Clay County had?

NOAA records list 27 tornadoes in Clay County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on January 21, 1999 near Knobel. The weather service has also logged 110 hail reports and 34 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Clay County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Clay County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1923, with winds near 50 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.