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Orange County, New York

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
12th of 62highest risk in New York
$99Mexpected losses a year
32federal declarations
1 in 111homes with flood insurance
Photo: Tony Webster from Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States, CC BY 2.0

Orange County, New York has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 91% of US counties. It ranks 12th of 62 counties in New York. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $99 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $246 per resident. Since 1965 it has been included in 32 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (20 major disasters). The most recent was in November 2024 (Jennings Creek Fire). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (1,082 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $27 million on 2,032 claims here, including $13 million for floods in 2011.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Orange County

$63.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 3 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Hurricane

Moderate
$9.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 15 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$7.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingHigh93.4
$63M
HurricaneModerate90.8
$10M
Cold waveHigh89.7
$7M
TornadoModerate81.9
$5M
EarthquakeLow87.3
$4M
Strong windHigh95.5
$4M
Heat waveModerate87.3
$3M
LightningHigh87.9
$1M
DroughtModerate73.7
$710K
Winter weatherHigh93.7
$639K
Ice stormModerate76.8
$356K
HailLow35.9
$168K
LandslideModerate92.5
$89K
Coastal floodingLow47.6
$73K
WildfireVery Low51.2
$56K
AvalancheVery Low50.1
$618

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Orange County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane10
Severe Storm10
Flood4
Snowstorm4
Fire3
Drought1

Most recent

Nov 15, 2024Jennings Creek FireFire management
Jul 22, 2023Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2021Remnants of Hurricane IdaMajor disaster
Sep 2, 2021Remnants of Hurricane IdaEmergency
Aug 22, 2021Hurricane HenriEmergency
Oct 30, 2012Hurricane SandyMajor disaster
Oct 28, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Sep 13, 2011Remnants of Tropical Storm LeeMajor disaster
Aug 31, 2011Hurricane IreneMajor disaster
Aug 26, 2011Hurricane IreneEmergency
Show all 32
Apr 16, 2010Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 18, 2008Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 24, 2007Severe Storms and Inland and Coastal FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 1, 2006Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 30, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Apr 19, 2005Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 1, 2004Tropical Depression IvanMajor disaster
Oct 1, 2004Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 3, 2004Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 27, 2003SnowEmergency
Feb 25, 2003SnowstormsEmergency
Sep 11, 2001Fires and ExplosionsMajor disaster
Sep 19, 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disaster
Sep 18, 1999Hurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsEmergency
Aug 9, 1999West Point Fire ComplexFire management
Jan 24, 1996Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 12, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Mar 17, 1993Severe BlizzardEmergency
Apr 17, 1984Coastal Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster
Sep 13, 1971Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 18, 1965Water ShortageMajor disaster

New York also had 12 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1955

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 742 storm reports in Orange County since 1955, with 19 deaths and 57 injuries and about $55.1 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on July 14, 1988.

13tornadoes
87hail reports, largest 2 inches
443damaging thunderstorm winds
147floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Jul 14, 1988F3–1 / 0
Jul 29, 1971F2–0 / 0
Jun 16, 1974F2–0 / 0
Nov 16, 1989F1–18 / 9
Jul 29, 2011EF1Kipps0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Nov 16, 1989Tornado–$25M
Sep 1, 2021Flash FloodFt Montgomery$10M
Sep 8, 2011FloodOtisville$6M
Aug 30, 2004Flash FloodWest Portion$4M
Jul 14, 1988Tornado–$3M
Sep 16, 1999Flash FloodCountywide$2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 3, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1861, 2 hurricanes and 17 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Orange County, 10 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 85 mph about 53 miles away.

2hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
17tropical storms
2020most recent: Isaias

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 24, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 85 mph53 mi
Oct 23, 1878UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph57 mi
Jul 13, 1996BerthaTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi
Aug 10, 1976BelleTropical storm, 70 mph64 mi
Sep 29, 1874UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph51 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 65 mph54 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 65 mph54 mi
Jul 11, 2020FayTropical storm, 40 mph53 mi
Aug 28, 2011IreneTropical storm, 65 mph64 mi
Jul 13, 1996BerthaTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi
Aug 10, 1976BelleTropical storm, 70 mph64 mi
Aug 28, 1971DoriaTropical storm, 60 mph47 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Orange County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.9%of homes have federal flood insurance (1,082 policies)
31.4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$26.7 millionpaid on 2,032 flood claims since 1978
2011costliest year, with $13.4 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Orange County

$387,900median home value (New York $423,800, US $332,700)
1975median year homes were built (New York 1959, US 1980)
56%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
2%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 149,699 housing units.

Compare in New York

All 62 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Kings CountyHighInland flooding
Queens CountyHighInland flooding
New York CountyHighInland flooding
Suffolk CountyHighInland flooding
Bronx CountyHighInland flooding
Nassau CountyHighInland flooding
Westchester CountyHighInland flooding
Erie CountyHighInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Passaic County, NJHigh26
Rockland CountyModerate26
Dutchess CountyModerate23
Ulster CountyModerate33
Sussex County, NJLow25
Putnam CountyVery Low25
Sullivan CountyLow31
Pike County, PALow16

Common questions about Orange County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Orange County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Orange County, about $63.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $9.8 million.

How many federal disasters has Orange County had?

Orange County has been included in 32 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1965, including 20 major disasters. The most recent was Jennings Creek Fire in November 2024.

Is Orange County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 12th highest of 62 in New York. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Orange County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 111 homes in Orange County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Orange County had?

NOAA records list 13 tornadoes in Orange County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on July 14, 1988. The weather service has also logged 87 hail reports and 147 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Orange County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 2 hurricanes and 17 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Orange County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 85 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.