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Dutchess County, New York

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
14th of 62highest risk in New York
$85Mexpected losses a year
23federal declarations
1 in 83homes with flood insurance
Photo: David Shankbone, CC BY 2.5

Dutchess County, New York has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 88% of US counties. It ranks 14th of 62 counties in New York. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $85 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $288 per resident. Since 1965 it has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (16 major disasters). The most recent was in July 2023 (severe storms and flooding). About 1 in 83 homes here carry federal flood insurance (1,124 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $14 million on 765 claims here, including $4.5 million for floods in 2011.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Dutchess County

$59.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Hurricane

Moderate
$10.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 10 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.

Cold wave

Moderate
$3.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate92.4
$60M
HurricaneModerate90.8
$10M
Cold waveModerate75.6
$3M
EarthquakeLow84.2
$3M
Strong windHigh90.0
$2M
TornadoLow63.3
$2M
Heat waveLow77.5
$2M
LightningHigh88.1
$1M
HailLow64.7
$522K
Ice stormModerate75.6
$347K
Winter weatherModerate76.4
$206K
DroughtLow44.5
$115K
LandslideModerate91.8
$85K
WildfireVery Low57.3
$84K
Coastal floodingLow46.8
$72K
AvalancheVery Low46.5
$471

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Dutchess County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane7
Severe Storm6
Snowstorm5
Flood3
Drought1
Fire1

Most recent

Jul 22, 2023Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2021Remnants of Hurricane IdaMajor disaster
Sep 2, 2021Remnants of Hurricane IdaEmergency
Aug 22, 2021Hurricane HenriEmergency
Jul 12, 2017Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Oct 28, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Aug 31, 2011Hurricane IreneMajor disaster
Feb 18, 2011Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Dec 18, 2008Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 24, 2007Severe Storms and Inland and Coastal FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 23
Sep 30, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Aug 3, 2004Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 27, 2003SnowEmergency
Sep 11, 2001Fires and ExplosionsMajor disaster
Jul 21, 2000Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 19, 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disaster
Jan 24, 1996Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 12, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Mar 17, 1993Severe BlizzardEmergency
Nov 10, 1987Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jul 20, 1973Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 13, 1971Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 18, 1965Water ShortageMajor disaster

New York also had 12 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 982 storm reports in Dutchess County since 1957, with 6 deaths and 13 injuries and about $23 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F1 tornado on July 31, 1992.

16tornadoes
161hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
698damaging thunderstorm winds
84floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Jul 31, 1992F1–0 / 0
Apr 21, 2021EF1Amenia0 / 0
May 31, 2002F1Whaley Lake0 / 0
Jul 21, 1988F1–0 / 0
Jun 16, 2002F1Pawling0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 16, 2007FloodHyde Park$6M
Aug 9, 2000Thunderstorm WindPoughkeepsie$3M
Jul 31, 1992Tornado–$3M
Aug 9, 2000Thunderstorm WindLa Grange$2M
Sep 16, 1999Flash FloodCountywide$900K
Jun 16, 2008HailHyde Park$588K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1861, 4 hurricanes and 17 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Dutchess County, 11 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1938, with top winds near 115 mph about 63 miles away.

4hurricanes
1major hurricanes (Category 3+)
17tropical storms
2020most recent: Isaias

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 21, 1938UnnamedCategory 3, 115 mph63 mi
Sep 27, 1985GloriaCategory 1, 85 mph59 mi
Aug 24, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 85 mph46 mi
Oct 23, 1878UnnamedCategory 1, 75 mph55 mi
Jul 13, 1996BerthaTropical storm, 70 mph64 mi
Aug 10, 1976BelleTropical storm, 70 mph59 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 60 mph58 mi
Aug 28, 2011IreneTropical storm, 60 mph58 mi
Sep 17, 1999FloydTropical storm, 60 mph58 mi
Jul 13, 1996BerthaTropical storm, 70 mph64 mi
Sep 27, 1985GloriaCategory 1, 85 mph59 mi
Aug 10, 1976BelleTropical storm, 70 mph59 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Dutchess County

Check your address flood zone ›
1.2%of homes have federal flood insurance (1,124 policies)
31.3%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$14 millionpaid on 765 flood claims since 1978
2011costliest year, with $4.5 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Dutchess County

$400,600median home value (New York $423,800, US $332,700)
1971median year homes were built (New York 1959, US 1980)
64%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
3.1%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 123,169 housing units.

Compare in New York

All 62 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Kings CountyHighInland flooding
Queens CountyHighInland flooding
New York CountyHighInland flooding
Suffolk CountyHighInland flooding
Bronx CountyHighInland flooding
Nassau CountyHighInland flooding
Westchester CountyHighInland flooding
Erie CountyHighInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Western Connecticut Planning Region, CTHigh33
Orange CountyModerate32
Ulster CountyModerate33
Berkshire County, MAModerate21
Northwest Hills Planning Region, CTLow33
Putnam CountyVery Low25
Columbia CountyLow23

Cities in Dutchess County

Common questions about Dutchess County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Dutchess County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Dutchess County, about $59.9 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $10.2 million.

How many federal disasters has Dutchess County had?

Dutchess County has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1965, including 16 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms and Flooding in July 2023.

Is Dutchess County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 14th highest of 62 in New York. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Dutchess County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 83 homes in Dutchess County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Dutchess County had?

NOAA records list 16 tornadoes in Dutchess County since 1950. The strongest was an F1 tornado on July 31, 1992. The weather service has also logged 161 hail reports and 84 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Dutchess County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 4 hurricanes and 17 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Dutchess County, including 1 major hurricane (Category 3 or stronger). The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1938, with winds near 115 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.