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Sarasota County, Florida

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively High overall risk
10th of 67highest risk in Florida
$273Mexpected losses a year
46federal declarations
1 in 6homes with flood insurance
Photo: jonathansingel, CC BY 2.0

Sarasota County, Florida has a relatively high overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 98% of US counties. It ranks 10th of 67 counties in Florida. The costliest hazards here are hurricanes, inland flooding and coastal flooding. FEMA estimates about $273 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $629 per resident. Since 1968 it has been included in 46 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (28 major disasters). The most recent was in October 2024 (Hurricane Milton). About 1 in 6 homes here carry federal flood insurance (37,772 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $856 million on 14,415 claims here, including $746 million for floods in 2024.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Sarasota County

Hurricane

Very High
$180 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 4 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$67.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$7.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 4 times a year.
  • Learn your evacuation zone; it is set by surge risk, not by distance from the beach.
  • Ask about flood insurance even outside a mapped high-risk zone.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
HurricaneVery High99.5
$180M
Inland floodingHigh95.7
$67M
Coastal floodingHigh93.6
$7M
TornadoHigh92.5
$7M
LightningVery High99.6
$5M
Heat waveModerate89.8
$2M
WildfireModerate93.3
$2M
Strong windHigh87.4
$1M
Cold waveLow31.3
$351K
EarthquakeVery Low34.7
$85K
HailVery Low21.0
$59K
DroughtLow37.3
$41K
LandslideVery Low43.4
$658

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Sarasota County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane21
Severe Storm7
Fire5
Tropical Storm5
Freezing3
Coastal Storm2

Most recent

Oct 11, 2024Hurricane MiltonMajor disaster
Oct 7, 2024Hurricane MiltonEmergency
Sep 28, 2024Hurricane HeleneMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2024Tropical Storm HeleneEmergency
Aug 10, 2024Hurricane DebbyMajor disaster
Aug 3, 2024Tropical Storm DebbyEmergency
Aug 31, 2023Hurricane IdaliaMajor disaster
Aug 28, 2023Tropical Storm IdaliaEmergency
Dec 13, 2022Hurricane NicoleMajor disaster
Nov 8, 2022Tropical Storm NicoleEmergency
Show all 46
Sep 29, 2022Hurricane IanMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2022Tropical Storm IanEmergency
Jul 4, 2021Tropical Storm ElsaEmergency
Nov 11, 2020Hurricane EtaEmergency
Aug 30, 2019Hurricane DorianEmergency
Sep 10, 2017Hurricane IrmaMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2017Hurricane IrmaEmergency
Sep 28, 2016Hurricane HermineMajor disaster
Jul 3, 2012Tropical Storm DebbyMajor disaster
Aug 24, 2008Tropical Storm FayMajor disaster
Aug 21, 2008Tropical Storm FayEmergency
Oct 24, 2005Hurricane WilmaMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 26, 2004Hurricane JeanneMajor disaster
Sep 16, 2004Hurricane IvanMajor disaster
Sep 4, 2004Hurricane FrancesMajor disaster
Aug 13, 2004Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane CharleyMajor disaster
Jul 29, 2003Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 28, 2001Severe Storms, Tornadoes and Flooding Associated With Tropical Storm GabrielleMajor disaster
Apr 18, 2001Fl - Myakka Complex FireFire management
Feb 5, 2001Severe FreezeMajor disaster
May 16, 2000Flowers-Myakka Fire ComplexFire management
Oct 15, 1999Tropical Storm Irene - FloridaEmergency
Apr 27, 1999Fl-Fires 04/15/99Emergency
Apr 23, 1999Fl-Fires 04/13/99Fire management
Sep 25, 1998Hurricane GrorgesEmergency
Jun 18, 1998Extreme Fire HazardMajor disaster
Jan 6, 1998Severe Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 15, 1996Tropical Storm JosephineMajor disaster
Mar 13, 1993Tornadoes, Flooding, High Winds & Tides, FreezingMajor disaster
Aug 14, 1992Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 15, 1990Severe FreezeMajor disaster
Jul 7, 1982Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 31, 1977Severe Winter WeatherMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster
Nov 7, 1968Hurricane GladysMajor disaster

Florida also had 39 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1951

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 382 storm reports in Sarasota County since 1951, with 7 deaths and 137 injuries and about $65.9 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on March 17, 1985.

84tornadoes
48hail reports, largest 1.75 inches
149damaging thunderstorm winds
44floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Mar 17, 1985F3–45 / 2
Jan 17, 2016EF2Pine Shrs2 / 0
Nov 9, 1968F2–2 / 0
Feb 3, 1970F2–0 / 0
Dec 3, 1971F2–5 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Mar 17, 1985Tornado–$25M
Jan 17, 2016TornadoPine Shrs$12M
Jun 11, 2024FloodCoral Cove$10M
Aug 19, 1973Tornado–$3M
Nov 13, 1997Flash FloodSarasota$2M
Mar 16, 2022TornadoSarasota Beach$1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jun 21, 2025. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1852, 28 hurricanes and 40 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Sarasota County, 24 of them since 1950. The strongest was Hurricane Ian (2022), with top winds near 160 mph about 64 miles away.

28hurricanes
8major hurricanes (Category 3+)
40tropical storms
2024most recent: Milton

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 28, 2022IanCategory 5, 160 mph64 mi
Aug 13, 2004CharleyCategory 4, 150 mph45 mi
Sep 3, 1935UnnamedCategory 4, 150 mph59 mi
Oct 9, 2024MiltonCategory 3, 125 mph64 mi
Sep 19, 1926UnnamedCategory 3, 120 mph54 mi
Sep 10, 1960DonnaCategory 3, 115 mph64 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 9, 2024MiltonCategory 3, 125 mph64 mi
Sep 28, 2022IanCategory 5, 160 mph64 mi
Jul 6, 2021ElsaCategory 1, 75 mph64 mi
Sep 10, 2017IrmaCategory 2, 95 mph60 mi
Jul 31, 2017EmilyTropical storm, 60 mph25 mi
Jun 2, 2007BarryTropical storm, 45 mph50 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Sarasota County

Check your address flood zone ›
17.9%of homes have federal flood insurance (37,772 policies)
42.2%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$856 millionpaid on 14,415 flood claims since 1978
2024costliest year, with $746 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Sarasota County

$411,800median home value (Florida $359,000, US $332,700)
1988median year homes were built (Florida 1988, US 1980)
36%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
8.3%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 266,492 housing units.

Compare in Florida

All 67 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Miami-Dade CountyVery HighInland flooding
Broward CountyHighInland flooding
Palm Beach CountyHighHurricane
Hillsborough CountyHighHurricane
Orange CountyHighInland flooding
Duval CountyHighInland flooding
Pinellas CountyHighHurricane
Lee CountyHighHurricane

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Manatee CountyHigh48
Charlotte CountyHigh40
DeSoto CountyModerate36

Common questions about Sarasota County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Sarasota County?

Hurricane has the highest expected yearly losses in Sarasota County, about $180 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $67.2 million.

How many federal disasters has Sarasota County had?

Sarasota County has been included in 46 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1968, including 28 major disasters. The most recent was Hurricane Milton in October 2024.

Is Sarasota County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively High, 10th highest of 67 in Florida. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Sarasota County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 6 homes in Sarasota County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Sarasota County had?

NOAA records list 84 tornadoes in Sarasota County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on March 17, 1985. The weather service has also logged 48 hail reports and 44 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Sarasota County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 28 hurricanes and 40 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Sarasota County, including 8 major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger). The strongest was Hurricane Ian (2022), with winds near 160 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.