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Patrick County, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
75th of 133highest risk in Virginia
$6Mexpected losses a year
17federal declarations
1 in 1000homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Patrick County, Virginia has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 79% of US counties. It ranks 75th of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, cold waves and drought. FEMA estimates about $6.4 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $365 per resident. Since 1976 it has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (10 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Only 12 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $1.1 million on 45 claims here, including $475,000 for floods in 1985.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Patrick County

$4.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$637,004 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
$278,896 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 10 times a year.
  • Check local water restrictions.
  • Choose drought-tolerant plants.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow42.3
$5M
Cold waveLow43.4
$637K
DroughtLow62.4
$279K
HurricaneLow64.2
$278K
TornadoVery Low21.3
$227K
Strong windLow21.5
$168K
EarthquakeVery Low37.5
$111K
HailVery Low19.1
$58K
Ice stormLow44.1
$55K
LightningVery Low18.3
$53K
Winter weatherVery Low23.3
$18K
Heat waveVery Low7.4
$9K
WildfireVery Low22.3
$8K
LandslideLow72.9
$7K
AvalancheLow69.6
$4K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Patrick County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane4
Snowstorm3
Severe Storm3
Flood2
Drought1
Fire1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Oct 1, 2024Tropical Storm HeleneMajor disaster
May 10, 2021Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Oct 15, 2018Hurricane FlorenceMajor disaster
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Mar 7, 2016Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Apr 15, 2006Bull Mountain FireFire management
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Oct 18, 2004Severe Storms and Flooding From the Remanants of Hurricane JeanneMajor disaster
Show all 17
Feb 28, 2000Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Apr 11, 1994Severe Winter Ice StormMajor disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency
May 19, 1992Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 29, 1979Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 15, 1976DroughtEmergency

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 421 storm reports in Patrick County since 1957, with 1 death and 0 injuries and about $8.3 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF1 tornado on February 24, 2016 near Ararat.

4tornadoes
125hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
190damaging thunderstorm winds
72floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Feb 24, 2016EF1Ararat0 / 0
Sep 29, 1999F1Ararat0 / 0
Sep 29, 1999F1Ararat0 / 0
Jul 7, 2005F1Ararat0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Sep 29, 2015Flash FloodMeadows of Dan$4M
Sep 29, 2015FloodVesta$1M
Sep 17, 2018Flash FloodKibler$466K
May 20, 2020Heavy RainWoolwine$464K
Jun 29, 2012Thunderstorm WindBuffalo Ridge$400K
Feb 24, 2016TornadoArarat$345K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jun 19, 2025. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1878, 0 hurricanes and 8 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Patrick County, 2 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1893, with top winds near 70 mph about 56 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
8tropical storms
1979most recent: David

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 28, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph56 mi
Sep 12, 1878UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph47 mi
Aug 28, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph50 mi
Sep 5, 1979DavidTropical storm, 50 mph62 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 50 mph54 mi
Aug 3, 1915UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph49 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 5, 1979DavidTropical storm, 50 mph62 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 50 mph54 mi
Aug 28, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph50 mi
Aug 3, 1915UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph49 mi
Aug 28, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph56 mi
Jun 22, 1886UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph64 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Patrick County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.1%of homes have federal flood insurance (12 policies)
4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$1.1 millionpaid on 45 flood claims since 1978
1985costliest year, with $475,215 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Patrick County

$153,400median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1980median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
50%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
26%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 10,023 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Surry County, NCLow18
Franklin CountyVery Low20
Henry CountyLow14
Stokes County, NCVery Low23
Carroll CountyLow15
Floyd CountyVery Low20

Common questions about Patrick County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Patrick County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Patrick County, about $4.5 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Cold wave is second at $637,004.

How many federal disasters has Patrick County had?

Patrick County has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1976, including 10 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Patrick County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 75th highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Patrick County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 1000 homes in Patrick County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Patrick County had?

NOAA records list 4 tornadoes in Patrick County since 1950. The strongest was an EF1 tornado on February 24, 2016 near Ararat. The weather service has also logged 125 hail reports and 72 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Patrick County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 8 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Patrick County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1893, with winds near 70 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.