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Lincoln County, Tennessee

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
44th of 95highest risk in Tennessee
$16Mexpected losses a year
15federal declarations
1 in 500homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Lincoln County, Tennessee has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 59% of US counties. It ranks 44th of 95 counties in Tennessee. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $16 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $457 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 15 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (11 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2026 (severe winter storm). Only 39 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $659,000 on 49 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Lincoln County

$6.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Tornado

Moderate
$4.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.

Cold wave

Moderate
$1.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow57.0
$6M
TornadoModerate85.6
$4M
Cold waveModerate71.0
$2M
EarthquakeLow80.4
$1M
Strong windModerate79.2
$1M
DroughtModerate70.5
$419K
Heat waveLow50.0
$291K
LightningLow56.4
$230K
HailLow35.3
$116K
Ice stormLow59.8
$105K
HurricaneVery Low53.8
$85K
Winter weatherLow59.9
$71K
WildfireVery Low15.5
$4K
LandslideVery Low39.2
$487

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Lincoln County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm7
Flood3
Winter Storm2
Tornado1
Snowstorm1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Feb 6, 2026Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 2, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
Apr 17, 2019Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
May 9, 2011Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
May 1, 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Associated FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
May 8, 2003Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 5, 2002Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 15, 1999Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Show all 15
Feb 28, 1994Severe Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 14, 1993Severe Snowfall, Winter StormEmergency
Jan 4, 1991Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 4, 1974TornadoesMajor disaster
Mar 21, 1973Heavy Rains & FloodingMajor disaster

Tennessee also had 1 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1952

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 540 storm reports in Lincoln County since 1952, with 11 deaths and 256 injuries and about $7.9 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on April 3, 1974.

45tornadoes
69hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
354damaging thunderstorm winds
63floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 3, 1974F4–100 / 6
Feb 29, 1952F4–150 / 2
Apr 3, 1974F4–0 / 0
Apr 3, 1974F4–0 / 0
Apr 28, 2014EF3Lincoln0 / 2

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 3, 1974Tornado–$3M
Feb 29, 1952Tornado–$3M
Jul 14, 2012LightningBelleview$300K
Feb 13, 1952Tornado–$250K
May 27, 1973Tornado–$250K
Jan 24, 1997TornadoDellrose$250K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Apr 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1892, 0 hurricanes and 4 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Lincoln County, 2 of them since 1950. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with top winds near 50 mph about 64 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
4tropical storms
1979most recent: Frederic

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 13, 1979FredericTropical storm, 50 mph64 mi
Sep 13, 1892UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph31 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph62 mi
Jun 18, 1934UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph52 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 13, 1979FredericTropical storm, 50 mph64 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph62 mi
Jun 18, 1934UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph52 mi
Sep 13, 1892UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph31 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Lincoln County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.2%of homes have federal flood insurance (39 policies)
10.1%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$658,676paid on 49 flood claims since 1978
2019costliest year, with $214,823 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Lincoln County

$229,700median home value (Tennessee $286,700, US $332,700)
1985median year homes were built (Tennessee 1987, US 1980)
44%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
13.4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 16,291 housing units.

Compare in Tennessee

All 95 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Shelby CountyHighEarthquake
Davidson CountyHighInland flooding
Knox CountyModerateInland flooding
Hamilton CountyModerateInland flooding
Rutherford CountyModerateInland flooding
Williamson CountyModerateInland flooding
Montgomery CountyModerateInland flooding
Sumner CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Madison County, ALHigh19
Limestone County, ALLow20
Bedford CountyLow16
Franklin CountyLow13
Marshall CountyLow15
Giles CountyLow22
Moore CountyVery Low16

Common questions about Lincoln County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Lincoln County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Lincoln County, about $6.5 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $4.3 million.

How many federal disasters has Lincoln County had?

Lincoln County has been included in 15 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 11 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in February 2026.

Is Lincoln County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 44th highest of 95 in Tennessee. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Lincoln County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 500 homes in Lincoln County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Lincoln County had?

NOAA records list 45 tornadoes in Lincoln County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on April 3, 1974. The weather service has also logged 69 hail reports and 63 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Lincoln County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 4 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Lincoln County. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with winds near 50 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.