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Rutherford County, Tennessee

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
6th of 95highest risk in Tennessee
$135Mexpected losses a year
15federal declarations
1 in 91homes with flood insurance
Photo: SeeMidTN.com (aka Brent), CC BY 2.0

Rutherford County, Tennessee has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 92% of US counties. It ranks 6th of 95 counties in Tennessee. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, cold waves and earthquakes. FEMA estimates about $135 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $395 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 15 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (11 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2026 (severe winter storm). About 1 in 91 homes here carry federal flood insurance (1,067 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $7.0 million on 453 claims here, including $2.9 million for floods in 2010.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Rutherford County

$70.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$24.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.

Earthquake

Moderate
$16.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 305 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingHigh93.4
$71M
Cold waveHigh97.8
$25M
EarthquakeModerate94.8
$17M
TornadoHigh95.0
$15M
Heat waveModerate83.6
$2M
Strong windHigh84.8
$2M
LightningHigh90.5
$2M
Winter weatherVery High96.6
$1M
HailLow59.4
$460K
Ice stormModerate75.4
$365K
DroughtLow45.9
$134K
HurricaneVery Low52.7
$115K
WildfireVery Low43.4
$39K
LandslideVery Low15.9
$87

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Rutherford County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm8
Flood2
Winter Storm2
Tornado1
Snowstorm1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Feb 6, 2026Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 2, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
Apr 7, 2023Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesMajor disaster
May 4, 2010Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesMajor disaster
May 15, 2009Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
May 8, 2003Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 13, 2002Severe Storms and TornadosMajor disaster
Feb 28, 1994Severe Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 15
Mar 14, 1993Severe Snowfall, Winter StormEmergency
May 7, 1979Severe Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 22, 1975Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 4, 1974TornadoesMajor disaster
Mar 21, 1973Heavy Rains & FloodingMajor disaster

Tennessee also had 1 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1955

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 759 storm reports in Rutherford County since 1955, with 6 deaths and 134 injuries and about $140 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF4 tornado on April 10, 2009 near Allisona.

47tornadoes
194hail reports, largest 3 inches
423damaging thunderstorm winds
72floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 10, 2009EF4Allisona58 / 2
Jan 24, 1997F4Murfreesboro18 / 0
Apr 28, 2002F3Murfreesboro31 / 0
May 11, 2003F3Walterhill0 / 0
Apr 3, 1974F3–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 10, 2009TornadoAllisona$100M
Oct 18, 2011HailRucker$5M
Jan 24, 1997TornadoMurfreesboro$5M
Mar 28, 2009TornadoMurfreesboro$4M
May 1, 2010FloodLa Vergne$4M
Nov 6, 2018TornadoNewtown$3M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 8, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1892, 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Rutherford County, 2 of them since 1950. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with top winds near 45 mph about 55 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
3tropical storms
1979most recent: Frederic

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 13, 1979FredericTropical storm, 45 mph55 mi
Sep 13, 1892UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph35 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph37 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 13, 1979FredericTropical storm, 45 mph55 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph37 mi
Sep 13, 1892UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph35 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Rutherford County

Check your address flood zone ›
1.1%of homes have federal flood insurance (1,067 policies)
35.3%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$7 millionpaid on 453 flood claims since 1978
2010costliest year, with $2.9 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Rutherford County

$382,600median home value (Tennessee $286,700, US $332,700)
2001median year homes were built (Tennessee 1987, US 1980)
19%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
2.4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 138,929 housing units.

Compare in Tennessee

All 95 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Shelby CountyHighEarthquake
Davidson CountyHighInland flooding
Knox CountyModerateInland flooding
Hamilton CountyModerateInland flooding
Rutherford CountyModerateInland flooding
Williamson CountyModerateInland flooding
Montgomery CountyModerateInland flooding
Sumner CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Davidson CountyHigh25
Williamson CountyModerate14
Wilson CountyLow15
Coffee CountyLow19
Bedford CountyLow16
Marshall CountyLow15
Cannon CountyVery Low20

Common questions about Rutherford County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Rutherford County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Rutherford County, about $70.5 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Cold wave is second at $24.9 million.

How many federal disasters has Rutherford County had?

Rutherford County has been included in 15 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 11 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in February 2026.

Is Rutherford County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 6th highest of 95 in Tennessee. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Rutherford County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 91 homes in Rutherford County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Rutherford County had?

NOAA records list 47 tornadoes in Rutherford County since 1950. The strongest was an EF4 tornado on April 10, 2009 near Allisona. The weather service has also logged 194 hail reports and 72 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Rutherford County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Rutherford County. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with winds near 45 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.