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Clay County, Tennessee

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
86th of 95highest risk in Tennessee
$4Mexpected losses a year
20federal declarations
1 in 333homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Clay County, Tennessee has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 87% of US counties. It ranks 86th of 95 counties in Tennessee. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $4.3 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $566 per resident. Since 1969 it has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (16 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2026 (severe winter storm). Only 13 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $436,000 on 24 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Clay County

$2.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$613,128 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 6 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
$406,147 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingVery Low27.7
$2M
TornadoLow38.5
$613K
Cold waveLow35.0
$406K
Strong windLow37.2
$289K
HailLow46.9
$178K
EarthquakeVery Low44.2
$151K
LightningVery Low20.5
$54K
Heat waveVery Low17.2
$35K
Winter weatherLow36.7
$30K
Ice stormLow31.9
$28K
HurricaneVery Low35.4
$17K
DroughtVery Low26.3
$12K
LandslideVery Low61.4
$2K
WildfireVery Low4.1
$1K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Clay County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm9
Flood3
Tornado3
Winter Storm2
Snowstorm1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Feb 6, 2026Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 2, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
May 17, 2023Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoMajor disaster
May 8, 2021Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 17, 2019Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Apr 2, 2015Severe Winter Storm and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 15, 2010Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
May 4, 2010Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Aug 21, 2009Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 20
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Oct 7, 2004Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 5, 2002Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1998Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 7, 1997Heavy Rains, Tornadoes, Flooding, Hail, High WindsMajor disaster
Feb 28, 1994Severe Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 14, 1993Severe Snowfall, Winter StormEmergency
Mar 22, 1975Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 4, 1974TornadoesMajor disaster
Jul 11, 1969Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Tennessee also had 1 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1969

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 188 storm reports in Clay County since 1969, with 0 deaths and 3 injuries and about $2.3 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF1 tornado on December 11, 2021 near Hermitage Spgs.

3tornadoes
34hail reports, largest 2 inches
123damaging thunderstorm winds
24floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Dec 11, 2021EF1Hermitage Spgs0 / 0
Dec 9, 2023EF1Clementsville0 / 0
Jul 13, 2015EF0Pea Ridge Store0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jul 2, 2015Flash FloodHermitage Spgs$500K
Dec 11, 2021TornadoHermitage Spgs$500K
Mar 28, 2021Flash FloodCelina$239K
May 3, 2020Thunderstorm WindCelina$124K
Jul 19, 2010Flash FloodHermitage Spgs$51K
Apr 4, 2011Thunderstorm WindCelina$50K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Mar 11, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1957, 0 hurricanes and 2 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Clay County, 2 of them since 1950. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with top winds near 45 mph about 62 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
2tropical storms
1979most recent: Frederic

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 14, 1979FredericTropical storm, 45 mph62 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph35 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 14, 1979FredericTropical storm, 45 mph62 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph35 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Clay County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.3%of homes have federal flood insurance (13 policies)
5.7%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$435,695paid on 24 flood claims since 1978
2010costliest year, with $297,350 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Clay County

$136,400median home value (Tennessee $286,700, US $332,700)
1985median year homes were built (Tennessee 1987, US 1980)
40%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
29%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 4,005 housing units.

Compare in Tennessee

All 95 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Shelby CountyHighEarthquake
Davidson CountyHighInland flooding
Knox CountyModerateInland flooding
Hamilton CountyModerateInland flooding
Rutherford CountyModerateInland flooding
Williamson CountyModerateInland flooding
Montgomery CountyModerateInland flooding
Sumner CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Macon CountyVery Low19
Overton CountyVery Low19
Jackson CountyVery Low33
Monroe County, KYVery Low20
Clinton County, KYVery Low17
Cumberland County, KYVery Low22
Pickett CountyVery Low19

Common questions about Clay County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Clay County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Clay County, about $2.5 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $613,128.

How many federal disasters has Clay County had?

Clay County has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1969, including 16 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in February 2026.

Is Clay County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 86th highest of 95 in Tennessee. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Clay County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 333 homes in Clay County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Clay County had?

NOAA records list 3 tornadoes in Clay County since 1950. The strongest was an EF1 tornado on December 11, 2021 near Hermitage Spgs. The weather service has also logged 34 hail reports and 24 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Clay County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 2 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Clay County. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with winds near 45 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.