Vance County, North Carolina
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Vance County, North Carolina has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 52% of US counties. It ranks 79th of 100 counties in North Carolina. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and hurricanes. FEMA estimates about $11 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $253 per resident. Since 1977 it has been included in 21 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (8 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Only 18 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $174,000 on 12 claims here.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Vance County
- Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
- Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
- Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
- Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
- Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
- Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | 55.2 | $5M | ||
| Tornado | 63.9 | $1M | ||
| Hurricane | 79.1 | $1M | ||
| Cold wave | 48.5 | $620K | ||
| Heat wave | 65.9 | $527K | ||
| Drought | 70.7 | $375K | ||
| Strong wind | 44.7 | $329K | ||
| Earthquake | 56.9 | $273K | ||
| Hail | 57.3 | $241K | ||
| Lightning | 54.2 | $189K | ||
| Winter weather | 82.9 | $168K | ||
| Ice storm | 52.4 | $66K | ||
| Wildfire | 17.4 | $4K | ||
| Landslide | 24.6 | $130 |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Vance County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 21
North Carolina also had 22 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1961
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 212 storm reports in Vance County since 1961, with 1 death and 1 injury and about $12.5 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on October 27, 1995 near Henderson.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 1995 | F2 | Henderson | 0 / 0 |
| Feb 24, 2016 | EF2 | Dexter | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 27, 2024 | EF1 | Dabney | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 8, 2024 | EF1 | Epsom | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 16, 1993 | F0 | Henderson | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 1995 | Tornado | Henderson | $10M |
| Apr 16, 1993 | Tornado | Henderson | $500K |
| Aug 15, 2002 | Lightning | Henderson | $500K |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Tornado | Dabney | $500K |
| May 9, 2003 | Tornado | Townsville | $400K |
| Feb 24, 2016 | Tornado | Dexter | $100K |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 10, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
Hurricane risk by county ›Since 1854, 4 hurricanes and 29 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Vance County, 12 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 90 mph about 52 miles away.
Strongest storms nearby
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 1893 | Unnamed | Category 1, 90 mph | 52 mi |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Isabel | Category 1, 85 mph | 65 mi |
| Sep 29, 1896 | Unnamed | Category 1, 80 mph | 64 mi |
| Sep 17, 1876 | Unnamed | Category 1, 80 mph | 62 mi |
| Oct 31, 1899 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 51 mi |
| Aug 4, 2020 | Isaias | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 52 mi |
Most recent storms
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2023 | Ophelia | Tropical storm, 50 mph | 57 mi |
| Jul 8, 2021 | Elsa | Tropical storm, 50 mph | 48 mi |
| Aug 4, 2020 | Isaias | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 52 mi |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Michael | Tropical storm, 55 mph | 56 mi |
| Sep 6, 2008 | Hanna | Tropical storm, 50 mph | 49 mi |
| Sep 18, 2003 | Isabel | Category 1, 85 mph | 65 mi |
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.
Flood insurance in Vance County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Vance County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 19,489 housing units.
Compare in North Carolina
All 100 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| Wake County | Inland flooding | |
| Mecklenburg County | Inland flooding | |
| Guilford County | Inland flooding | |
| Forsyth County | Inland flooding | |
| Cumberland County | Inland flooding | |
| Durham County | Inland flooding | |
| Buncombe County | Inland flooding | |
| Union County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Franklin County | 21 | |
| Granville County | 24 | |
| Mecklenburg County, VA | 18 | |
| Warren County | 22 |
Common questions about Vance County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Vance County?
Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Vance County, about $5.4 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $1.4 million.
How many federal disasters has Vance County had?
Vance County has been included in 21 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1977, including 8 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.
Is Vance County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 79th highest of 100 in North Carolina. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Vance County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 1000 homes in Vance County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Vance County had?
NOAA records list 8 tornadoes in Vance County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on October 27, 1995 near Henderson. The weather service has also logged 53 hail reports and 17 floods here.
How many hurricanes have hit Vance County?
NOAA's hurricane records show 4 hurricanes and 29 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Vance County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 90 mph.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.