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Vance County, North Carolina

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
79th of 100highest risk in North Carolina
$11Mexpected losses a year
21federal declarations
1 in 1000homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Vance County, North Carolina has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 52% of US counties. It ranks 79th of 100 counties in North Carolina. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and hurricanes. FEMA estimates about $11 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $253 per resident. Since 1977 it has been included in 21 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (8 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Only 18 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $174,000 on 12 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Vance County

$5.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 3 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 9 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
$1.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 7 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow55.2
$5M
TornadoLow63.9
$1M
HurricaneLow79.1
$1M
Cold waveLow48.5
$620K
Heat waveLow65.9
$527K
DroughtModerate70.7
$375K
Strong windLow44.7
$329K
EarthquakeVery Low56.9
$273K
HailLow57.3
$241K
LightningLow54.2
$189K
Winter weatherModerate82.9
$168K
Ice stormLow52.4
$66K
WildfireVery Low17.4
$4K
LandslideVery Low24.6
$130

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Vance County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane12
Snowstorm3
Tropical Storm2
Drought1
Severe Storm1
Severe Ice Storm1

Most recent

Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Sep 26, 2024Hurricane HeleneEmergency
Aug 6, 2024Tropical Storm DebbyEmergency
Oct 1, 2022Hurricane IanEmergency
Aug 2, 2020Hurricane IsaiasEmergency
Sep 3, 2019Hurricane DorianEmergency
Jan 31, 2019Tropical Storm MichaelMajor disaster
Sep 10, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Oct 7, 2016Hurricane MatthewEmergency
Aug 31, 2011Hurricane IreneMajor disaster
Show all 21
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Dec 12, 2002Severe Ice StormMajor disaster
Jan 31, 2000Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Sep 16, 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disaster
Sep 15, 1999Hurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsEmergency
Sep 6, 1996Hurricane FranMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96Major disaster
Mar 17, 1993Severe Snowfall & Winter StormEmergency
Aug 11, 1977DroughtEmergency
Mar 2, 1977Drought & FreezingEmergency

North Carolina also had 22 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1961

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 212 storm reports in Vance County since 1961, with 1 death and 1 injury and about $12.5 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on October 27, 1995 near Henderson.

8tornadoes
53hail reports, largest 3 inches
126damaging thunderstorm winds
17floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Oct 27, 1995F2Henderson0 / 0
Feb 24, 2016EF2Dexter0 / 0
Sep 27, 2024EF1Dabney0 / 0
Aug 8, 2024EF1Epsom0 / 0
Apr 16, 1993F0Henderson0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Oct 27, 1995TornadoHenderson$10M
Apr 16, 1993TornadoHenderson$500K
Aug 15, 2002LightningHenderson$500K
Sep 27, 2024TornadoDabney$500K
May 9, 2003TornadoTownsville$400K
Feb 24, 2016TornadoDexter$100K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 10, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1854, 4 hurricanes and 29 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Vance County, 12 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 90 mph about 52 miles away.

4hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
29tropical storms
2023most recent: Ophelia

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 13, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 90 mph52 mi
Sep 18, 2003IsabelCategory 1, 85 mph65 mi
Sep 29, 1896UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph64 mi
Sep 17, 1876UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph62 mi
Oct 31, 1899UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph51 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph52 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 23, 2023OpheliaTropical storm, 50 mph57 mi
Jul 8, 2021ElsaTropical storm, 50 mph48 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph52 mi
Oct 11, 2018MichaelTropical storm, 55 mph56 mi
Sep 6, 2008HannaTropical storm, 50 mph49 mi
Sep 18, 2003IsabelCategory 1, 85 mph65 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Vance County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.1%of homes have federal flood insurance (18 policies)
17.4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$174,497paid on 12 flood claims since 1978
2005costliest year, with $96,295 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Vance County

$161,500median home value (North Carolina $288,900, US $332,700)
1982median year homes were built (North Carolina 1991, US 1980)
47%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
25.4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 19,489 housing units.

Compare in North Carolina

All 100 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Wake CountyHighInland flooding
Mecklenburg CountyHighInland flooding
Guilford CountyModerateInland flooding
Forsyth CountyModerateInland flooding
Cumberland CountyModerateInland flooding
Durham CountyModerateInland flooding
Buncombe CountyModerateInland flooding
Union CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Franklin CountyLow21
Granville CountyLow24
Mecklenburg County, VALow18
Warren CountyLow22

Common questions about Vance County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Vance County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Vance County, about $5.4 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $1.4 million.

How many federal disasters has Vance County had?

Vance County has been included in 21 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1977, including 8 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Vance County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 79th highest of 100 in North Carolina. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Vance County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 1000 homes in Vance County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Vance County had?

NOAA records list 8 tornadoes in Vance County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on October 27, 1995 near Henderson. The weather service has also logged 53 hail reports and 17 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Vance County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 4 hurricanes and 29 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Vance County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 90 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.