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Durham County, North Carolina

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
14th of 100highest risk in North Carolina
$91Mexpected losses a year
23federal declarations
1 in 77homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Durham County, North Carolina has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 90% of US counties. It ranks 14th of 100 counties in North Carolina. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and hurricanes. FEMA estimates about $91 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $280 per resident. Since 1977 it has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (10 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). About 1 in 77 homes here carry federal flood insurance (1,257 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $11 million on 443 claims here, including $5.0 million for floods in 2025.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Durham County

$57.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$10.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 8 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.

Hurricane

Moderate
$7.6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 7 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate92.4
$57M
TornadoHigh93.5
$11M
HurricaneModerate89.4
$8M
Heat waveModerate94.0
$5M
EarthquakeLow81.9
$2M
Strong windHigh88.1
$2M
HailModerate89.1
$2M
LightningHigh90.4
$1M
Cold waveLow55.2
$1M
Ice stormHigh82.4
$552K
Winter weatherModerate83.2
$270K
DroughtLow42.8
$97K
WildfireVery Low34.5
$21K
LandslideVery Low45.6
$1K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Durham County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane11
Snowstorm3
Severe Storm2
Tropical Storm2
Drought1
Tornado1

Most recent

Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Sep 11, 2025Tropical Depression ChantalMajor disaster
Sep 26, 2024Hurricane HeleneEmergency
Aug 6, 2024Tropical Storm DebbyEmergency
Oct 1, 2022Hurricane IanEmergency
Aug 2, 2020Hurricane IsaiasEmergency
Sep 3, 2019Hurricane DorianEmergency
Sep 14, 2018Hurricane FlorenceMajor disaster
Sep 10, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Oct 7, 2016Hurricane MatthewEmergency
Show all 23
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Dec 12, 2002Severe Ice StormMajor disaster
Jan 31, 2000Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Sep 16, 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disaster
Sep 15, 1999Hurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsEmergency
Mar 22, 1998Severe Storms Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 6, 1996Hurricane FranMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96Major disaster
Mar 17, 1993Severe Snowfall & Winter StormEmergency
May 17, 1989TornadoesMajor disaster
Aug 11, 1977DroughtEmergency
Mar 2, 1977Drought & FreezingEmergency

North Carolina also had 22 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1955

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 522 storm reports in Durham County since 1955, with 3 deaths and 13 injuries and about $47.3 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on May 5, 1989.

11tornadoes
127hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
272damaging thunderstorm winds
96floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 5, 1989F2–0 / 0
Apr 4, 1984F2–4 / 0
Mar 20, 1998F2Bahama1 / 0
May 15, 2014EF1Hope Vly0 / 0
Feb 24, 2016EF1Huckleberry Spg0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
May 5, 1989Tornado–$25M
Sep 17, 2018FloodGenlee$16M
Apr 4, 1984Tornado–$3M
Mar 20, 1998TornadoBahama$600K
Jun 13, 2013Thunderstorm WindQuail Roost$250K
May 15, 2014TornadoHope Vly$250K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1854, 4 hurricanes and 29 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Durham County, 11 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 90 mph about 35 miles away.

4hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
29tropical storms
2021most recent: Elsa

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 13, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 90 mph35 mi
Sep 29, 1896UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph29 mi
Sep 6, 1996FranCategory 1, 75 mph58 mi
Oct 31, 1899UnnamedCategory 1, 75 mph49 mi
Aug 28, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph61 mi
Sep 14, 1904UnnamedTropical storm, 65 mph55 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Jul 8, 2021ElsaTropical storm, 50 mph38 mi
Jun 21, 2021ClaudetteTropical storm, 45 mph61 mi
Oct 11, 2018MichaelTropical storm, 55 mph22 mi
Sep 6, 2008HannaTropical storm, 55 mph59 mi
Sep 23, 2000HeleneTropical storm, 40 mph63 mi
Sep 5, 1999DennisTropical storm, 40 mph63 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Durham County

Check your address flood zone ›
1.3%of homes have federal flood insurance (1,257 policies)
64.4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$11 millionpaid on 443 flood claims since 1978
2025costliest year, with $5 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Durham County

$389,400median home value (North Carolina $288,900, US $332,700)
1993median year homes were built (North Carolina 1991, US 1980)
31%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
1.2%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 153,022 housing units.

Compare in North Carolina

All 100 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Wake CountyHighInland flooding
Mecklenburg CountyHighInland flooding
Guilford CountyModerateInland flooding
Forsyth CountyModerateInland flooding
Cumberland CountyModerateInland flooding
Durham CountyModerateInland flooding
Buncombe CountyModerateInland flooding
Union CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Wake CountyHigh24
Orange CountyLow24
Chatham CountyLow20
Granville CountyLow24
Person CountyVery Low25

Common questions about Durham County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Durham County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Durham County, about $57.3 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $10.8 million.

How many federal disasters has Durham County had?

Durham County has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1977, including 10 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Durham County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 14th highest of 100 in North Carolina. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Durham County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 77 homes in Durham County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Durham County had?

NOAA records list 11 tornadoes in Durham County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on May 5, 1989. The weather service has also logged 127 hail reports and 96 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Durham County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 4 hurricanes and 29 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Durham County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 90 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.