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Forsyth County, North Carolina

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
9th of 100highest risk in North Carolina
$104Mexpected losses a year
23federal declarations
1 in 250homes with flood insurance
Photo: Indy beetle, CC0

Forsyth County, North Carolina has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 92% of US counties. It ranks 9th of 100 counties in North Carolina. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $104 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $272 per resident. Since 1977 it has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (10 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (541 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $4.7 million on 440 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Forsyth County

$71.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$7.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 7 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
$7.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 1 years.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingHigh94.7
$72M
TornadoHigh90.9
$8M
Cold waveHigh90.3
$7M
HurricaneModerate86.5
$5M
EarthquakeLow88.1
$4M
Ice stormVery High97.8
$3M
Strong windHigh85.9
$2M
Heat waveModerate80.3
$2M
HailModerate85.9
$1M
LightningHigh86.8
$1M
Winter weatherHigh91.6
$454K
DroughtLow53.6
$187K
WildfireVery Low35.8
$20K
LandslideLow71.3
$7K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Forsyth County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane11
Snowstorm4
Tropical Storm3
Severe Ice Storm2
Drought1
Tornado1

Most recent

Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Sep 28, 2024Tropical Storm HeleneMajor disaster
Sep 26, 2024Hurricane HeleneEmergency
Aug 6, 2024Tropical Storm DebbyEmergency
Oct 1, 2022Hurricane IanEmergency
Aug 2, 2020Hurricane IsaiasEmergency
Sep 3, 2019Hurricane DorianEmergency
Jan 31, 2019Tropical Storm MichaelMajor disaster
Sep 10, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Oct 7, 2016Hurricane MatthewEmergency
Show all 23
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2004Hurricane IvanMajor disaster
Mar 27, 2003Ice StormMajor disaster
Dec 12, 2002Severe Ice StormMajor disaster
Sep 16, 1999Hurricane Floyd Major Disaster DeclarationsMajor disaster
Sep 15, 1999Hurricane Floyd Emergency DeclarationsEmergency
Feb 23, 1996Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96Major disaster
Mar 17, 1993Severe Snowfall & Winter StormEmergency
Sep 25, 1989Hurricane HugoMajor disaster
May 17, 1989TornadoesMajor disaster
Aug 11, 1977DroughtEmergency
Mar 2, 1977Drought & FreezingEmergency

North Carolina also had 22 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1958

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 597 storm reports in Forsyth County since 1958, with 1 death and 61 injuries and about $88.2 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on May 7, 1998 near Clemmons.

16tornadoes
109hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
406damaging thunderstorm winds
60floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 7, 1998F3Clemmons5 / 0
May 5, 1989F3–30 / 0
May 22, 1985F3–0 / 0
May 8, 2008EF3Clemmons Station2 / 0
May 5, 1989F2–10 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
May 7, 1998TornadoClemmons$50M
May 5, 1989Tornado–$25M
May 22, 1985Tornado–$3M
May 5, 1989Tornado–$3M
May 5, 1989Tornado–$3M
May 8, 2008TornadoClemmons Station$3M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 5, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1859, 1 hurricane and 13 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Forsyth County, 4 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 75 mph about 52 miles away.

1hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
13tropical storms
2018most recent: Michael

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 28, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 75 mph52 mi
Sep 12, 1878UnnamedTropical storm, 65 mph63 mi
Aug 28, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph53 mi
Oct 11, 2018MichaelTropical storm, 55 mph59 mi
Sep 5, 1979DavidTropical storm, 50 mph56 mi
Sep 17, 1859UnnamedTropical storm, 50 mph61 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 11, 2018MichaelTropical storm, 55 mph59 mi
Jul 25, 1985BobTropical storm, 45 mph51 mi
Sep 5, 1979DavidTropical storm, 50 mph56 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 45 mph59 mi
Aug 28, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph53 mi
Oct 3, 1927UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph61 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Forsyth County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (541 policies)
44.5%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$4.7 millionpaid on 440 flood claims since 1978
2018costliest year, with $722,831 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Forsyth County

$250,400median home value (North Carolina $288,900, US $332,700)
1984median year homes were built (North Carolina 1991, US 1980)
44%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
3.3%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 175,631 housing units.

Compare in North Carolina

All 100 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Wake CountyHighInland flooding
Mecklenburg CountyHighInland flooding
Guilford CountyModerateInland flooding
Forsyth CountyModerateInland flooding
Cumberland CountyModerateInland flooding
Durham CountyModerateInland flooding
Buncombe CountyModerateInland flooding
Union CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Guilford CountyModerate26
Davidson CountyModerate27
Rockingham CountyLow23
Surry CountyLow18
Stokes CountyVery Low23
Davie CountyVery Low20
Yadkin CountyVery Low19

Common questions about Forsyth County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Forsyth County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Forsyth County, about $71.9 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $7.7 million.

How many federal disasters has Forsyth County had?

Forsyth County has been included in 23 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1977, including 10 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Forsyth County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 9th highest of 100 in North Carolina. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Forsyth County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in Forsyth County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Forsyth County had?

NOAA records list 16 tornadoes in Forsyth County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on May 7, 1998 near Clemmons. The weather service has also logged 109 hail reports and 60 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Forsyth County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 1 hurricane and 13 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Forsyth County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 75 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.