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Seminole County, Florida

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
29th of 67highest risk in Florida
$129Mexpected losses a year
37federal declarations
1 in 25homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Seminole County, Florida has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 91% of US counties. It ranks 29th of 67 counties in Florida. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and hurricanes. FEMA estimates about $129 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $275 per resident. Since 1977 it has been included in 37 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (22 major disasters). The most recent was in October 2024 (Hurricane Milton). About 1 in 25 homes here carry federal flood insurance (6,283 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $54 million on 1,562 claims here, including $41 million for floods in 2022.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Seminole County

$66.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$25.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 4 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
$24.6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 4 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate92.7
$66M
TornadoHigh97.6
$26M
HurricaneHigh94.7
$25M
Strong windHigh96.5
$5M
LightningHigh95.8
$3M
WildfireModerate92.3
$2M
Heat waveLow77.8
$2M
EarthquakeLow65.9
$786K
Cold waveLow28.8
$484K
HailVery Low21.3
$96K
DroughtVery Low18.1
$3K
LandslideVery Low19.8
$140

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Seminole County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane20
Freezing5
Severe Storm4
Fire4
Tropical Storm4

Most recent

Oct 11, 2024Hurricane MiltonMajor disaster
Oct 7, 2024Hurricane MiltonEmergency
Aug 10, 2024Hurricane DebbyMajor disaster
Aug 3, 2024Tropical Storm DebbyEmergency
Aug 31, 2023Hurricane IdaliaMajor disaster
Aug 28, 2023Tropical Storm IdaliaEmergency
Dec 13, 2022Hurricane NicoleMajor disaster
Nov 8, 2022Tropical Storm NicoleEmergency
Sep 29, 2022Hurricane IanMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2022Tropical Storm IanEmergency
Show all 37
Aug 1, 2020Hurricane IsaiasEmergency
Oct 21, 2019Hurricane DorianMajor disaster
Aug 30, 2019Hurricane DorianEmergency
Sep 10, 2017Hurricane IrmaMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2017Hurricane IrmaEmergency
Oct 8, 2016Hurricane MatthewMajor disaster
Oct 6, 2016Hurricane MatthewEmergency
Aug 24, 2008Tropical Storm FayMajor disaster
Aug 21, 2008Tropical Storm FayEmergency
May 2, 2007Deland Fire ComplexFire management
Feb 3, 2007Severe Storms and TornadoesMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 26, 2004Hurricane JeanneMajor disaster
Sep 16, 2004Hurricane IvanMajor disaster
Sep 4, 2004Hurricane FrancesMajor disaster
Aug 13, 2004Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane CharleyMajor disaster
Feb 5, 2001Severe FreezeMajor disaster
Oct 20, 1999Fl-Hurricane Irene-Dr-ReqMajor disaster
Oct 15, 1999Tropical Storm Irene - FloridaEmergency
Apr 27, 1999Fl-Fires 04/15/99Emergency
Apr 15, 1999Fl-Fires 04/13/99Fire management
Jun 18, 1998Extreme Fire HazardMajor disaster
Jan 6, 1998Severe Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 15, 1990Severe FreezeMajor disaster
Mar 18, 1985Severe FreezeMajor disaster
Mar 29, 1984Freezing TemperaturesMajor disaster
Jan 31, 1977Severe Winter WeatherMajor disaster

Florida also had 39 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1966

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 356 storm reports in Seminole County since 1966, with 17 deaths and 72 injuries and about $343 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on February 23, 1998 near Longwood.

31tornadoes
135hail reports, largest 3 inches
153damaging thunderstorm winds
15floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Feb 23, 1998F3Longwood36 / 12
Mar 10, 2025EF2Forest City0 / 0
Jan 8, 1978F2–0 / 0
Mar 18, 1981F2–1 / 0
Apr 8, 1982F2–10 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Sep 28, 2022FloodBear Lake$241M
Feb 23, 1998TornadoLongwood$30M
Jul 1, 1998WildfireCountywide$30M
Oct 9, 2024FloodChuluota$27M
Mar 10, 2025TornadoForest City$4M
Jan 8, 1978Tornado–$3M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 5, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1852, 26 hurricanes and 43 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Seminole County, 32 of them since 1950. The strongest was Hurricane Matthew (2016), with top winds near 125 mph about 64 miles away.

26hurricanes
3major hurricanes (Category 3+)
43tropical storms
2024most recent: Milton

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 7, 2016MatthewCategory 3, 125 mph64 mi
Aug 27, 1893UnnamedCategory 3, 120 mph61 mi
Oct 12, 1893UnnamedCategory 3, 120 mph60 mi
Jul 28, 1926UnnamedCategory 2, 105 mph58 mi
Aug 24, 1885UnnamedCategory 2, 105 mph59 mi
Aug 29, 1880UnnamedCategory 2, 105 mph60 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 10, 2024MiltonCategory 1, 85 mph54 mi
Nov 10, 2022NicoleTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi
Sep 29, 2022IanCategory 1, 75 mph64 mi
Oct 7, 2016MatthewCategory 3, 125 mph64 mi
Sep 13, 2016JuliaTropical storm, 50 mph22 mi
Aug 21, 2008FayTropical storm, 65 mph43 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Seminole County

Check your address flood zone ›
4%of homes have federal flood insurance (6,283 policies)
47.1%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$54 millionpaid on 1,562 flood claims since 1978
2022costliest year, with $41.1 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Seminole County

$386,900median home value (Florida $359,000, US $332,700)
1988median year homes were built (Florida 1988, US 1980)
29%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
2.1%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 199,565 housing units.

Compare in Florida

All 67 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Miami-Dade CountyVery HighInland flooding
Broward CountyHighInland flooding
Palm Beach CountyHighHurricane
Hillsborough CountyHighHurricane
Orange CountyHighInland flooding
Duval CountyHighInland flooding
Pinellas CountyHighHurricane
Lee CountyHighHurricane

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Orange CountyHigh37
Brevard CountyHigh43
Volusia CountyHigh42
Lake CountyModerate35

Common questions about Seminole County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Seminole County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Seminole County, about $66.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $25.8 million.

How many federal disasters has Seminole County had?

Seminole County has been included in 37 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1977, including 22 major disasters. The most recent was Hurricane Milton in October 2024.

Is Seminole County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 29th highest of 67 in Florida. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Seminole County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 25 homes in Seminole County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Seminole County had?

NOAA records list 31 tornadoes in Seminole County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on February 23, 1998 near Longwood. The weather service has also logged 135 hail reports and 15 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Seminole County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 26 hurricanes and 43 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Seminole County, including 3 major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger). The strongest was Hurricane Matthew (2016), with winds near 125 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.