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Clay County, Florida

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
39th of 67highest risk in Florida
$57Mexpected losses a year
37federal declarations
1 in 20homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Clay County, Florida has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 81% of US counties. It ranks 39th of 67 counties in Florida. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $57 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $262 per resident. Since 1992 it has been included in 37 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (20 major disasters). The most recent was in April 2026 (Railroad Complex Fire). About 1 in 20 homes here carry federal flood insurance (4,005 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $76 million on 1,744 claims here, including $61 million for floods in 2017.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Clay County

$35.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Hurricane

Moderate
$9.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 5 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.

Tornado

Moderate
$6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 3 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate85.9
$35M
HurricaneModerate89.8
$9M
TornadoModerate83.2
$6M
Heat waveModerate82.5
$2M
LightningHigh92.3
$2M
EarthquakeLow64.6
$764K
WildfireLow82.9
$716K
Coastal floodingLow57.0
$464K
Strong windLow32.2
$406K
Cold waveVery Low15.7
$206K
HailVery Low5.9
$21K
Winter weatherVery Low8.4
$8K
DroughtVery Low17.8
$3K
LandslideVery Low27.4
$316

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Clay County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane18
Severe Storm8
Fire6
Tropical Storm4
Freezing1

Most recent

Apr 22, 2026Railroad Complex FireFire management
Oct 11, 2024Hurricane MiltonMajor disaster
Oct 7, 2024Hurricane MiltonEmergency
Sep 28, 2024Hurricane HeleneMajor disaster
Aug 10, 2024Hurricane DebbyMajor disaster
Aug 3, 2024Tropical Storm DebbyEmergency
Aug 31, 2023Hurricane IdaliaMajor disaster
Aug 28, 2023Tropical Storm IdaliaEmergency
Dec 13, 2022Hurricane NicoleMajor disaster
Nov 8, 2022Tropical Storm NicoleEmergency
Show all 37
Sep 29, 2022Hurricane IanMajor disaster
Sep 24, 2022Tropical Storm IanEmergency
Jul 4, 2021Tropical Storm ElsaEmergency
Aug 1, 2020Hurricane IsaiasEmergency
Aug 30, 2019Hurricane DorianEmergency
Sep 10, 2017Hurricane IrmaMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2017Hurricane IrmaEmergency
Oct 8, 2016Hurricane MatthewMajor disaster
Oct 6, 2016Hurricane MatthewEmergency
Jul 3, 2012Tropical Storm DebbyMajor disaster
May 27, 2009Severe Storms, Flooding, Tornadoes, and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Aug 24, 2008Tropical Storm FayMajor disaster
Aug 21, 2008Tropical Storm FayEmergency
May 7, 2007Suwannee Fire ComplexFire management
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 26, 2004Hurricane JeanneMajor disaster
Sep 16, 2004Hurricane IvanMajor disaster
Sep 4, 2004Hurricane FrancesMajor disaster
Aug 13, 2004Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane CharleyMajor disaster
Feb 5, 2001Severe FreezeMajor disaster
Jun 2, 2000Fl, Jacksonville Fire ComplexFire management
May 14, 1999Jacksonville District FireFire management
Apr 27, 1999Fl-Fires 04/15/99Emergency
Jun 18, 1998Extreme Fire HazardMajor disaster
Jan 6, 1998Severe Storms, High Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 15, 1996Tropical Storm JosephineMajor disaster
Oct 8, 1992Severe Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster

Florida also had 39 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1953

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 592 storm reports in Clay County since 1953, with 2 deaths and 21 injuries and about $6.4 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on March 29, 2001 near Green Cove Spgs.

27tornadoes
120hail reports, largest 2 inches
305damaging thunderstorm winds
26floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Mar 29, 2001F2Green Cove Spgs0 / 0
Feb 27, 1984F2–2 / 0
Jun 8, 1957F2–0 / 0
Feb 7, 1971F2–0 / 0
Jun 4, 1960F2–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 23, 1983Tornado–$3M
Mar 29, 2001TornadoGreen Cove Spgs$1M
Jun 9, 2018LightningLake Geneva$1M
Feb 6, 1975Tornado–$250K
Feb 27, 1984Tornado–$250K
Jul 31, 2023LightningBellair West$240K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 20, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1867, 18 hurricanes and 47 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Clay County, 26 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1896, with top winds near 115 mph about 45 miles away.

18hurricanes
1major hurricanes (Category 3+)
47tropical storms
2024most recent: Debby

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 29, 1896UnnamedCategory 3, 115 mph45 mi
Sep 10, 1964DoraCategory 2, 110 mph34 mi
Oct 11, 1888UnnamedCategory 2, 100 mph45 mi
Sep 4, 1979DavidCategory 2, 100 mph61 mi
Sep 11, 1878UnnamedCategory 1, 90 mph64 mi
Oct 19, 1968GladysCategory 1, 90 mph55 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 5, 2024DebbyTropical storm, 55 mph63 mi
Nov 12, 2020EtaTropical storm, 50 mph62 mi
Sep 11, 2017IrmaTropical storm, 60 mph62 mi
Sep 13, 2016JuliaTropical storm, 50 mph60 mi
Jun 7, 2016ColinTropical storm, 50 mph62 mi
Jun 7, 2013AndreaTropical storm, 45 mph53 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Clay County

Check your address flood zone ›
5.1%of homes have federal flood insurance (4,005 policies)
48.5%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$76.1 millionpaid on 1,744 flood claims since 1978
2017costliest year, with $61 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Clay County

$312,500median home value (Florida $359,000, US $332,700)
1996median year homes were built (Florida 1988, US 1980)
22%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
11.1%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 88,969 housing units.

Compare in Florida

All 67 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Miami-Dade CountyVery HighInland flooding
Broward CountyHighInland flooding
Palm Beach CountyHighHurricane
Hillsborough CountyHighHurricane
Orange CountyHighInland flooding
Duval CountyHighInland flooding
Pinellas CountyHighHurricane
Lee CountyHighHurricane

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Duval CountyHigh39
St. Johns CountyModerate32
Putnam CountyLow39
Bradford CountyVery Low32
Baker CountyVery Low38

Common questions about Clay County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Clay County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Clay County, about $35.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $9.3 million.

How many federal disasters has Clay County had?

Clay County has been included in 37 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1992, including 20 major disasters. The most recent was Railroad Complex Fire in April 2026.

Is Clay County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 39th highest of 67 in Florida. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Clay County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 20 homes in Clay County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Clay County had?

NOAA records list 27 tornadoes in Clay County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on March 29, 2001 near Green Cove Spgs. The weather service has also logged 120 hail reports and 26 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Clay County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 18 hurricanes and 47 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Clay County, including 1 major hurricane (Category 3 or stronger). The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1896, with winds near 115 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.