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San Juan County, Colorado

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
52nd of 64highest risk in Colorado
$7Mexpected losses a year
4federal declarations
1 in 250homes with flood insurance
Photo: Richard Allaway, CC BY 2.0

San Juan County, Colorado has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 89% of US counties. It ranks 52nd of 64 counties in Colorado. The costliest hazards here are avalanches, inland flooding and lightning. FEMA estimates about $6.9 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $9,933 per resident. Since 1970 it has been included in 4 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (3 major disasters). The most recent was in September 2005 (Hurricane Katrina Evacuation). Only 2 homes here carry federal flood insurance.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in San Juan County

Avalanche

Very High
$5.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check avalanche forecasts before backcountry trips.
  • Ask about slide paths near mountain homes.
$860,481 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 6 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$196,084 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 55 times a year.
  • Go indoors when you hear thunder.
  • Use surge protectors for electronics.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
AvalancheVery High95.8
$6M
Inland floodingVery Low4.0
$860K
LightningLow36.4
$196K
WildfireVery Low33.6
$25K
EarthquakeVery Low11.0
$15K
LandslideLow64.3
$5K
Winter weatherVery Low4.6
$5K
TornadoVery Low1.6
$2K
Strong windVery Low1.0
$1K
HailVery Low1.0
$834
Ice stormVery Low0.4
$405

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included San Juan County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Flood2
Fire1
Coastal Storm1

Most recent

Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Jun 19, 2002WildfiresMajor disaster
Jul 6, 1973Flooding & LandslidesMajor disaster
Sep 22, 1970Heavy Rains & FloodingMajor disaster

Colorado also had 15 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1996

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 18 storm reports in San Juan County since 1996, with 0 deaths and 4 injuries and about $50,500 in reported damage. No tornadoes are on record here.

0tornadoes
0hail reports
3damaging thunderstorm winds
6floods and flash floods

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Aug 27, 1999Flash FloodSilverton$10K
Jul 23, 2021Debris FlowEureka$10K
Jul 30, 2021Debris FlowElk Park$10K
Jul 21, 2007Flash FloodSilverton$5K
Aug 2, 2011Flash FloodElk Park$5K
Jun 21, 2024Debris FlowElk Park$5K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Oct 11, 2025. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in San Juan County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (2 policies)
0%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$1,144paid on 1 flood claims since 1978
1980costliest year, with $1,144 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in San Juan County

$432,500median home value (Colorado $539,400, US $332,700)
1979median year homes were built (Colorado 1988, US 1980)
51%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
9.5%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 738 housing units.

Compare in Colorado

All 64 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
El Paso CountyModerateInland flooding
Denver CountyHighInland flooding
Arapahoe CountyModerateHail
Jefferson CountyHighInland flooding
Adams CountyModerateHail
Larimer CountyModerateInland flooding
Douglas CountyModerateInland flooding
Boulder CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
La Plata CountyLow8
Montezuma CountyLow6
San Miguel CountyVery Low7
Ouray CountyVery Low8
Dolores CountyVery Low7
Hinsdale CountyVery Low6

Common questions about San Juan County

What is the biggest natural hazard in San Juan County?

Avalanche has the highest expected yearly losses in San Juan County, about $5.8 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $860,481.

How many federal disasters has San Juan County had?

San Juan County has been included in 4 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1970, including 3 major disasters. The most recent was Hurricane Katrina Evacuation in September 2005.

Is San Juan County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 52nd highest of 64 in Colorado. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in San Juan County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in San Juan County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has San Juan County had?

NOAA records list 0 tornadoes in San Juan County since 1950. The weather service has also logged 0 hail reports and 6 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.