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Nelson County, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
57th of 133highest risk in Virginia
$9Mexpected losses a year
26federal declarations
1 in 250homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Nelson County, Virginia has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 66% of US counties. It ranks 57th of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, drought and hurricanes. FEMA estimates about $8.9 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $602 per resident. Since 1969 it has been included in 26 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (18 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (51 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $238,000 on 31 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Nelson County

$6.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Drought

Moderate
$489,607 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 5 times a year.
  • Check local water restrictions.
  • Choose drought-tolerant plants.
$389,525 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 15 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow58.2
$7M
DroughtModerate72.5
$490K
HurricaneLow67.6
$390K
Strong windLow31.3
$246K
TornadoVery Low19.7
$183K
EarthquakeVery Low45.4
$171K
Cold waveVery Low14.2
$113K
LightningLow35.7
$111K
Heat waveVery Low27.4
$93K
HailVery Low23.3
$69K
WildfireVery Low46.7
$31K
Winter weatherLow25.6
$19K
Ice stormVery Low24.0
$18K
LandslideLow75.8
$8K
AvalancheVery Low66.8
$2K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Nelson County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane8
Snowstorm5
Flood4
Severe Storm4
Drought2
Fire1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Oct 1, 2024Tropical Storm HeleneMajor disaster
Mar 11, 2022Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Oct 15, 2018Hurricane FlorenceMajor disaster
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Nov 26, 2012Hurricane SandyMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Jul 27, 2012Severe Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Apr 27, 2010Severe Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disaster
Feb 16, 2010Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Show all 26
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Nov 20, 2001Va - Heard Mountain Fire Complex - 11/20/2001Fire management
Feb 28, 2000Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Sep 6, 1996Hurricane Fran and Associated Severe Storm CondMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Apr 11, 1994Severe Winter Ice StormMajor disaster
Mar 10, 1994Severe Ice Storms, FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency
May 19, 1992Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 9, 1985Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 23, 1977DroughtEmergency
Oct 15, 1976DroughtEmergency
Oct 10, 1972Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster
Aug 23, 1969Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1961

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 412 storm reports in Nelson County since 1961, with 1 death and 1 injury and about $2.8 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF1 tornado on April 19, 2019 near Elma.

3tornadoes
47hail reports, largest 2.5 inches
209damaging thunderstorm winds
126floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 19, 2019EF1Elma0 / 0
May 8, 2008EF0Shipman0 / 0
Jun 9, 1995F0–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Sep 6, 1996Flash FloodCountywide$1M
Aug 21, 2022Flash FloodSchuyler$500K
Jul 14, 1999LightningLovingston$100K
Jun 5, 2001LightningFaber$100K
Sep 18, 2003Flash FloodCountywide$70K
Apr 7, 2006Thunderstorm WindGreenfield$60K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 21, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1878, 2 hurricanes and 9 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Nelson County, 5 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 80 mph about 40 miles away.

2hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
9tropical storms
2003most recent: Isabel

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 13, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph40 mi
Sep 30, 1896UnnamedCategory 1, 75 mph57 mi
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 70 mph53 mi
Aug 29, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph57 mi
Aug 29, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph35 mi
Sep 13, 1878UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph53 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 19, 2003IsabelTropical storm, 70 mph53 mi
Sep 6, 1996FranTropical storm, 45 mph61 mi
Sep 5, 1979DavidTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi
Aug 18, 1955DianeTropical storm, 55 mph60 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 55 mph48 mi
Aug 29, 1949UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph35 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Nelson County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (51 policies)
4.8%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$237,967paid on 31 flood claims since 1978
2011costliest year, with $81,450 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Nelson County

$321,700median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1986median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
37%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
7.9%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 9,995 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Albemarle CountyLow23
Augusta CountyLow22
Amherst CountyVery Low21
Rockbridge CountyVery Low21
Buckingham CountyVery Low21
Appomattox CountyVery Low24

Common questions about Nelson County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Nelson County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Nelson County, about $6.9 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Drought is second at $489,607.

How many federal disasters has Nelson County had?

Nelson County has been included in 26 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1969, including 18 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Nelson County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 57th highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Nelson County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in Nelson County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Nelson County had?

NOAA records list 3 tornadoes in Nelson County since 1950. The strongest was an EF1 tornado on April 19, 2019 near Elma. The weather service has also logged 47 hail reports and 126 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Nelson County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 2 hurricanes and 9 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Nelson County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 80 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.