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Warren County, Tennessee

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
35th of 95highest risk in Tennessee
$18Mexpected losses a year
20federal declarations
1 in 500homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Warren County, Tennessee has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 64% of US counties. It ranks 35th of 95 counties in Tennessee. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $18 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $451 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (16 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2026 (severe winter storm). Only 28 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $311,000 on 28 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Warren County

$6.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Tornado

Moderate
$4.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 3 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.

Cold wave

Moderate
$3.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow57.0
$6M
TornadoModerate85.0
$4M
Cold waveModerate82.2
$3M
EarthquakeLow83.1
$2M
DroughtModerate83.1
$882K
Strong windModerate74.2
$868K
LightningModerate61.5
$279K
HailLow56.6
$266K
Winter weatherModerate80.6
$170K
HurricaneVery Low53.5
$84K
Ice stormLow47.7
$61K
Heat waveVery Low20.7
$53K
WildfireVery Low23.6
$8K
LandslideVery Low28.7
$222

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Warren County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm10
Flood4
Winter Storm2
Tornado1
Snowstorm1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Feb 6, 2026Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 2, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
Jun 17, 2024Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 17, 2019Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Apr 2, 2015Severe Winter Storm and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 5, 2006Severe Storms and TornadoesMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
May 8, 2003Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 13, 2002Severe Storms and TornadosMajor disaster
Show all 20
Apr 5, 2002Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 19, 1999Severe Storms, Tornadoes and High WindsMajor disaster
Jan 15, 1999Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1998Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 28, 1994Severe Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 14, 1993Severe Snowfall, Winter StormEmergency
Jan 4, 1991Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 4, 1974TornadoesMajor disaster
Jun 28, 1973Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 21, 1973Heavy Rains & FloodingMajor disaster

Tennessee also had 1 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1950

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 265 storm reports in Warren County since 1950, with 4 deaths and 8 injuries and about $6.2 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on March 13, 1961.

19tornadoes
53hail reports, largest 1.75 inches
170damaging thunderstorm winds
21floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Mar 13, 1961F3–0 / 0
Apr 3, 1974F2–1 / 1
Mar 11, 1963F2–0 / 0
Feb 29, 1952F2–0 / 0
Jan 20, 1953F2–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 11, 2008TornadoMc Minnville$1M
Feb 20, 2019Flash FloodMorrison$541K
Apr 7, 2006TornadoMc Minnville$500K
May 8, 2024Thunderstorm WindHiawasee$500K
Apr 3, 1974Tornado–$250K
Mar 13, 1961Tornado–$250K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Apr 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1892, 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Warren County, 2 of them since 1950. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with top winds near 45 mph about 47 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
3tropical storms
1979most recent: Frederic

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 14, 1979FredericTropical storm, 45 mph47 mi
Sep 13, 1892UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph28 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph58 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 14, 1979FredericTropical storm, 45 mph47 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph58 mi
Sep 13, 1892UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph28 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Warren County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.2%of homes have federal flood insurance (28 policies)
11.6%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$311,268paid on 28 flood claims since 1978
1990costliest year, with $125,695 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Warren County

$192,900median home value (Tennessee $286,700, US $332,700)
1979median year homes were built (Tennessee 1987, US 1980)
52%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
13.3%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 18,537 housing units.

Compare in Tennessee

All 95 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Shelby CountyHighEarthquake
Davidson CountyHighInland flooding
Knox CountyModerateInland flooding
Hamilton CountyModerateInland flooding
Rutherford CountyModerateInland flooding
Williamson CountyModerateInland flooding
Montgomery CountyModerateInland flooding
Sumner CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Coffee CountyLow19
White CountyVery Low16
DeKalb CountyVery Low18
Sequatchie CountyVery Low19
Cannon CountyVery Low20
Grundy CountyVery Low20
Van Buren CountyVery Low18

Common questions about Warren County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Warren County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Warren County, about $6.5 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $4.2 million.

How many federal disasters has Warren County had?

Warren County has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 16 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in February 2026.

Is Warren County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 35th highest of 95 in Tennessee. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Warren County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 500 homes in Warren County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Warren County had?

NOAA records list 19 tornadoes in Warren County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on March 13, 1961. The weather service has also logged 53 hail reports and 21 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Warren County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Warren County. The strongest was Tropical Storm Frederic (1979), with winds near 45 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.