Orange County, North Carolina
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Orange County, North Carolina has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 79% of US counties. It ranks 37th of 100 counties in North Carolina. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and hurricanes. FEMA estimates about $50 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $335 per resident. Since 1977 it has been included in 24 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (11 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). About 1 in 67 homes here carry federal flood insurance (621 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $36 million on 568 claims here, including $21 million for floods in 2025.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Orange County
- Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
- Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
- Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
- Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
- Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
- Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | 85.5 | $33M | ||
| Tornado | 81.5 | $5M | ||
| Hurricane | 81.9 | $3M | ||
| Heat wave | 84.1 | $2M | ||
| Strong wind | 74.5 | $1M | ||
| Lightning | 85.3 | $1M | ||
| Hail | 76.5 | $906K | ||
| Earthquake | 64.9 | $744K | ||
| Cold wave | 36.1 | $691K | ||
| Winter weather | 86.2 | $373K | ||
| Ice storm | 73.5 | $331K | ||
| Drought | 54.5 | $249K | ||
| Wildfire | 28.4 | $16K | ||
| Landslide | 41.7 | $911 |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Orange County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 24
North Carolina also had 22 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1956
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 477 storm reports in Orange County since 1956, with 7 deaths and 16 injuries and about $79.3 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on November 23, 1992.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 1992 | F3 | – | 10 / 2 |
| Apr 19, 2019 | EF2 | Teer | 0 / 0 |
| Mar 29, 1991 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
| Oct 27, 2010 | EF1 | Carr | 0 / 0 |
| May 6, 2022 | EF1 | Miles | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2018 | Flood | Teer | $31M |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Flash Flood | Chapel Hill Wllms Ar | $30M |
| Jul 23, 2000 | Flash Flood | Chapel Hill | $6M |
| Jun 30, 2013 | Flash Flood | Chapel Hill Wllms Ar | $4M |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Tornado | Teer | $2M |
| Dec 11, 2008 | Lightning | Chapel Hill | $2M |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
Hurricane risk by county ›Since 1854, 4 hurricanes and 29 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Orange County, 10 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with top winds near 90 mph about 46 miles away.
Strongest storms nearby
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 1893 | Unnamed | Category 1, 90 mph | 46 mi |
| Sep 29, 1896 | Unnamed | Category 1, 80 mph | 25 mi |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Fran | Category 1, 75 mph | 64 mi |
| Oct 31, 1899 | Unnamed | Category 1, 75 mph | 56 mi |
| Aug 28, 1893 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 62 mi |
| Sep 14, 1904 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 65 mph | 59 mi |
Most recent storms
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 8, 2021 | Elsa | Tropical storm, 50 mph | 39 mi |
| Oct 11, 2018 | Michael | Tropical storm, 55 mph | 13 mi |
| Sep 6, 2008 | Hanna | Tropical storm, 50 mph | 62 mi |
| Sep 5, 1999 | Dennis | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 64 mi |
| Sep 6, 1996 | Fran | Category 1, 75 mph | 64 mi |
| Sep 5, 1979 | David | Tropical storm, 45 mph | 60 mi |
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.
Flood insurance in Orange County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Orange County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 62,858 housing units.
Compare in North Carolina
All 100 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| Wake County | Inland flooding | |
| Mecklenburg County | Inland flooding | |
| Guilford County | Inland flooding | |
| Forsyth County | Inland flooding | |
| Cumberland County | Inland flooding | |
| Durham County | Inland flooding | |
| Buncombe County | Inland flooding | |
| Union County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Durham County | 23 | |
| Alamance County | 25 | |
| Chatham County | 20 | |
| Person County | 25 | |
| Caswell County | 23 |
Cities in Orange County
Common questions about Orange County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Orange County?
Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Orange County, about $33.3 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $5.2 million.
How many federal disasters has Orange County had?
Orange County has been included in 24 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1977, including 11 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.
Is Orange County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 37th highest of 100 in North Carolina. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Orange County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 67 homes in Orange County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Orange County had?
NOAA records list 12 tornadoes in Orange County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on November 23, 1992. The weather service has also logged 84 hail reports and 79 floods here.
How many hurricanes have hit Orange County?
NOAA's hurricane records show 4 hurricanes and 29 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Orange County. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1893, with winds near 90 mph.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.