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Jefferson County, New York

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
38th of 62highest risk in New York
$26Mexpected losses a year
17federal declarations
1 in 167homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Jefferson County, New York has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 64% of US counties. It ranks 38th of 62 counties in New York. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, cold waves and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $26 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $221 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (11 major disasters). The most recent was in September 2024 (remnants of tropical storm debby). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (253 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $2.4 million on 250 claims here, including $752,000 for floods in 2017.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Jefferson County

$19.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 5 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.

Strong wind

Moderate
$1.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate78.0
$19M
Cold waveLow64.5
$2M
Strong windModerate78.7
$1M
EarthquakeLow71.5
$952K
Winter weatherHigh93.5
$618K
Ice stormModerate81.5
$502K
TornadoLow27.9
$485K
LightningLow46.2
$222K
Heat waveVery Low33.6
$179K
HurricaneVery Low53.2
$111K
HailVery Low7.6
$24K
WildfireVery Low28.0
$14K
LandslideVery Low47.5
$1K
Coastal floodingVery Low16.2
$0

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Jefferson County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Snowstorm7
Flood3
Severe Storm2
Hurricane2
Fire1
Winter Storm1

Most recent

Sep 24, 2024Remnants of Tropical Storm DebbyMajor disaster
Nov 20, 2022Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormEmergency
Dec 19, 2019Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 14, 2017FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 22, 2014Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 28, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Sep 30, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Aug 3, 2004Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 11, 2001Fires and ExplosionsMajor disaster
Jan 15, 1999SnowEmergency
Show all 17
Jan 6, 1998Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 24, 1996Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 17, 1993Severe BlizzardEmergency
Mar 21, 1991Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Feb 5, 1977SnowstormsMajor disaster
Jan 29, 1977SnowstormsEmergency
Mar 21, 1973High Winds, Wave Action & FloodingMajor disaster

New York also had 12 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1958

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 353 storm reports in Jefferson County since 1958, with 1 death and 3 injuries and about $24.4 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F1 tornado on August 28, 1983.

4tornadoes
27hail reports, largest 1.75 inches
296damaging thunderstorm winds
23floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Aug 28, 1983F1–1 / 0
Jul 1, 1959F1–0 / 0
Aug 5, 2003F0Le Raysville0 / 0
Sep 9, 2024EFUFrederick Corner0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jul 15, 1995Thunderstorm Wind–$15M
Aug 28, 1983Tornado–$3M
Jun 1, 2019FloodWoodville$2M
Jul 1, 2019FloodWoodville$1M
Jul 13, 2023Thunderstorm WindBelleville$600K
May 17, 2019FloodEllisburg$500K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 1, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1893, 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm have passed within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1893, with top winds near 70 mph about 61 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
1tropical storms
1893most recent: unnamed storm

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 14, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph61 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 14, 1893UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph61 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Jefferson County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.6%of homes have federal flood insurance (253 policies)
5566.7%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$2.4 millionpaid on 250 flood claims since 1978
2017costliest year, with $752,243 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Jefferson County

$188,200median home value (New York $423,800, US $332,700)
1972median year homes were built (New York 1959, US 1980)
56%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
10.1%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 61,862 housing units.

Compare in New York

All 62 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Kings CountyHighInland flooding
Queens CountyHighInland flooding
New York CountyHighInland flooding
Suffolk CountyHighInland flooding
Bronx CountyHighInland flooding
Nassau CountyHighInland flooding
Westchester CountyHighInland flooding
Erie CountyHighInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Oswego CountyLow17
St. Lawrence CountyLow15
Cayuga CountyLow15
Lewis CountyVery Low24

Common questions about Jefferson County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Jefferson County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Jefferson County, about $19.4 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Cold wave is second at $1.8 million.

How many federal disasters has Jefferson County had?

Jefferson County has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 11 major disasters. The most recent was Remnants of Tropical Storm Debby in September 2024.

Is Jefferson County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 38th highest of 62 in New York. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Jefferson County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 167 homes in Jefferson County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Jefferson County had?

NOAA records list 4 tornadoes in Jefferson County since 1950. The strongest was an F1 tornado on August 28, 1983. The weather service has also logged 27 hail reports and 23 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Jefferson County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm passing within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1893, with winds near 70 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.