Jefferson County, New York
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Jefferson County, New York has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 64% of US counties. It ranks 38th of 62 counties in New York. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, cold waves and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $26 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $221 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (11 major disasters). The most recent was in September 2024 (remnants of tropical storm debby). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (253 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $2.4 million on 250 claims here, including $752,000 for floods in 2017.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Jefferson County
- Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
- Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
- Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
- Know how to shut off the main water valve.
- Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
- Have trees near the house checked.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | 78.0 | $19M | ||
| Cold wave | 64.5 | $2M | ||
| Strong wind | 78.7 | $1M | ||
| Earthquake | 71.5 | $952K | ||
| Winter weather | 93.5 | $618K | ||
| Ice storm | 81.5 | $502K | ||
| Tornado | 27.9 | $485K | ||
| Lightning | 46.2 | $222K | ||
| Heat wave | 33.6 | $179K | ||
| Hurricane | 53.2 | $111K | ||
| Hail | 7.6 | $24K | ||
| Wildfire | 28.0 | $14K | ||
| Landslide | 47.5 | $1K | ||
| Coastal flooding | 16.2 | $0 |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Jefferson County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 17
New York also had 12 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1958
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 353 storm reports in Jefferson County since 1958, with 1 death and 3 injuries and about $24.4 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F1 tornado on August 28, 1983.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 1983 | F1 | – | 1 / 0 |
| Jul 1, 1959 | F1 | – | 0 / 0 |
| Aug 5, 2003 | F0 | Le Raysville | 0 / 0 |
| Sep 9, 2024 | EFU | Frederick Corner | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 1995 | Thunderstorm Wind | – | $15M |
| Aug 28, 1983 | Tornado | – | $3M |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Flood | Woodville | $2M |
| Jul 1, 2019 | Flood | Woodville | $1M |
| Jul 13, 2023 | Thunderstorm Wind | Belleville | $600K |
| May 17, 2019 | Flood | Ellisburg | $500K |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 1, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
Hurricane risk by county ›Since 1893, 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm have passed within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1893, with top winds near 70 mph about 61 miles away.
Strongest storms nearby
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 1893 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 61 mi |
Most recent storms
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 1893 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 70 mph | 61 mi |
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.
Flood insurance in Jefferson County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Jefferson County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 61,862 housing units.
Compare in New York
All 62 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| Kings County | Inland flooding | |
| Queens County | Inland flooding | |
| New York County | Inland flooding | |
| Suffolk County | Inland flooding | |
| Bronx County | Inland flooding | |
| Nassau County | Inland flooding | |
| Westchester County | Inland flooding | |
| Erie County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Oswego County | 17 | |
| St. Lawrence County | 15 | |
| Cayuga County | 15 | |
| Lewis County | 24 |
Common questions about Jefferson County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Jefferson County?
Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Jefferson County, about $19.4 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Cold wave is second at $1.8 million.
How many federal disasters has Jefferson County had?
Jefferson County has been included in 17 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 11 major disasters. The most recent was Remnants of Tropical Storm Debby in September 2024.
Is Jefferson County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 38th highest of 62 in New York. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Jefferson County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 167 homes in Jefferson County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Jefferson County had?
NOAA records list 4 tornadoes in Jefferson County since 1950. The strongest was an F1 tornado on August 28, 1983. The weather service has also logged 27 hail reports and 23 floods here.
How many hurricanes have hit Jefferson County?
NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm passing within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1893, with winds near 70 mph.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.