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Lincoln County, New Mexico

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
12th of 33highest risk in New Mexico
$28Mexpected losses a year
33federal declarations
1 in 48homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Lincoln County, New Mexico has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 80% of US counties. It ranks 12th of 33 counties in New Mexico. The costliest hazards here are wildfires, inland flooding and lightning. FEMA estimates about $28 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $1,386 per resident. Since 1965 it has been included in 33 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (17 major disasters). The most recent was in July 2025 (severe storms, flooding and landslides). About 1 in 48 homes here carry federal flood insurance (267 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $17 million on 269 claims here, including $7.9 million for floods in 2025.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Lincoln County

$14.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 70 years.
  • Clear dry plants and debris within 5 feet of the house.
  • Get home insurance quotes early; availability varies by area.
$11.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$638,599 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 59 times a year.
  • Go indoors when you hear thunder.
  • Use surge protectors for electronics.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
WildfireHigh98.8
$15M
Inland floodingModerate77.6
$12M
LightningHigh85.2
$639K
Winter weatherHigh86.3
$204K
Ice stormModerate68.8
$140K
HailLow39.4
$117K
Strong windVery Low16.6
$96K
Cold waveVery Low11.6
$69K
TornadoVery Low10.3
$47K
EarthquakeVery Low25.5
$31K
Heat waveVery Low7.7
$8K
LandslideLow76.3
$7K
HurricaneVery Low15.0
$3K
DroughtVery Low17.9
$2K
AvalancheVery Low37.1
$123
Volcanic activityVery Low47.6
$7

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Lincoln County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Fire17
Flood9
Severe Storm6
Hurricane1

Most recent

Jul 22, 2025Severe Storms, Flooding, and LandslidesMajor disaster
Jul 10, 2025Severe Storms, Flooding, and LandslidesEmergency
Jun 20, 2024South Fork Fire, Salt Fire, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 18, 2024Salt FireFire management
Jun 17, 2024South Fork FireFire management
May 26, 2024Blue 2 FireFire management
May 4, 2022Wildfires, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Mudflows, and Debris FlowsMajor disaster
Apr 12, 2022Nogal Canyon FireFire management
Apr 12, 2022Mcbride FireFire management
Apr 27, 2021Three Rivers FireFire management
Show all 33
Oct 29, 2014Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 6, 2014Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2013Severe Storms, Flooding, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Aug 24, 2012FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 9, 2012Little Bear FireFire management
Jun 30, 2011Donaldson FireFire management
Apr 3, 2011White FireFire management
Mar 24, 2011Severe Winter Storm and Extreme Cold TemperaturesMajor disaster
Aug 14, 2008Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 30, 2006Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 7, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
May 25, 2004Peppin FireFire management
Mar 23, 2002Nm-Kokopelli Fire Complex-3-23-02Fire management
Jun 3, 2001Nm -Trap and Skeet Fire - 06/02/2001Fire management
May 13, 2000Severe Forest FireMajor disaster
May 10, 2000Severe Fire ThreatsEmergency
May 8, 2000Cree FireFire management
Jan 29, 1998Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 18, 1985Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 6, 1984Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1979Severe Storms, Snowmelt & FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 29, 1979FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 1, 1965Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

New Mexico also had 42 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 349 storm reports in Lincoln County since 1957, with 7 deaths and 7 injuries and about $97.5 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF1 tornado on June 8, 2014 near Encinoso.

23tornadoes
135hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
38damaging thunderstorm winds
126floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Jun 8, 2014EF1Encinoso0 / 0
Sep 17, 1971F1–0 / 0
May 16, 1987F1–0 / 0
May 18, 1964F1–0 / 0
Jun 17, 1972F1–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jul 8, 2025Debris FlowAlto$50M
Jul 26, 2008FloodHollywood$25M
Jun 29, 2024Debris FlowRuidoso$10M
Mar 24, 2002WildfireAlto$5M
May 7, 2000WildfireRuidoso$2M
Jul 6, 2021Flash FloodRuidoso$750K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 31, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Lincoln County

Check your address flood zone ›
2.1%of homes have federal flood insurance (267 policies)
41.4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$17.1 millionpaid on 269 flood claims since 1978
2025costliest year, with $7.9 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Lincoln County

$233,200median home value (New Mexico $248,100, US $332,700)
1985median year homes were built (New Mexico 1985, US 1980)
39%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
24.4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 17,871 housing units.

Compare in New Mexico

All 33 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Bernalillo CountyHighInland flooding
Doña Ana CountyHighInland flooding
Santa Fe CountyModerateInland flooding
Sandoval CountyLowInland flooding
San Juan CountyModerateInland flooding
Valencia CountyModerateInland flooding
Lea CountyModerateInland flooding
McKinley CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Otero CountyModerate22
Chaves CountyModerate7
Socorro CountyLow10
Torrance CountyLow12
Sierra CountyLow11
Guadalupe CountyVery Low7
De Baca CountyVery Low5

Common questions about Lincoln County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Lincoln County?

Wildfire has the highest expected yearly losses in Lincoln County, about $14.5 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $11.9 million.

How many federal disasters has Lincoln County had?

Lincoln County has been included in 33 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1965, including 17 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Flooding, and Landslides in July 2025.

Is Lincoln County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 12th highest of 33 in New Mexico. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Lincoln County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 48 homes in Lincoln County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Lincoln County had?

NOAA records list 23 tornadoes in Lincoln County since 1950. The strongest was an EF1 tornado on June 8, 2014 near Encinoso. The weather service has also logged 135 hail reports and 126 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.