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Lincoln County, Montana

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
10th of 56highest risk in Montana
$16Mexpected losses a year
12federal declarations
1 in 250homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Lincoln County, Montana has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 64% of US counties. It ranks 10th of 56 counties in Montana. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, wildfires and avalanches. FEMA estimates about $16 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $798 per resident. Since 1974 it has been included in 12 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (6 major disasters). The most recent was in April 2026 (severe storms and flooding). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (51 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $447,000 on 39 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Lincoln County

$7.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Wildfire

Moderate
$4.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 145 years.
  • Clear dry plants and debris within 5 feet of the house.
  • Get home insurance quotes early; availability varies by area.
$1.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 8 years.
  • Check avalanche forecasts before backcountry trips.
  • Ask about slide paths near mountain homes.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow65.5
$7M
WildfireModerate96.6
$4M
AvalancheHigh94.3
$2M
Cold waveModerate72.8
$2M
EarthquakeLow63.5
$363K
Winter weatherHigh87.0
$211K
Heat waveVery Low37.1
$131K
LightningLow28.6
$68K
LandslideModerate92.0
$49K
Strong windVery Low10.0
$47K
Ice stormLow41.6
$37K
TornadoVery Low6.0
$18K
HailVery Low4.1
$6K
DroughtVery Low15.2
$440

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Lincoln County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Fire4
Flood3
Severe Storm2
Drought1
Hurricane1
Straight-Line Winds1

Most recent

Apr 7, 2026Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 7, 2026Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Dec 19, 2025Severe Storms and FloodingEmergency
Sep 10, 2017Moose Peak FireFire management
Sep 9, 2017West Fork FireFire management
Sep 13, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Aug 30, 2000WildfiresMajor disaster
Aug 14, 2000Mt - Northwestern Zone 1 Fire ComplexFire management
Jul 25, 1997Severe Storms,Ice Jams, Snow Melt, FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 23, 1996Severe Storms, Flooding, and Ice JamsMajor disaster
Show all 12
Aug 22, 1977DroughtEmergency
Jan 29, 1974Severe Storms, Flooding & LandslidesMajor disaster

Montana also had 36 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1964

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 68 storm reports in Lincoln County since 1964, with 0 deaths and 7 injuries and about $32.7 million in reported damage. No tornadoes are on record here.

0tornadoes
14hail reports, largest 3 inches
38damaging thunderstorm winds
8floods and flash floods

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Dec 11, 2025FloodYakt$31M
Jul 21, 1997Thunderstorm WindLibby$2M
Jul 18, 2007Thunderstorm WindLibby$35K
Jun 29, 2007Thunderstorm WindLibby$30K
Mar 17, 2017Heavy RainLibby$20K
Jun 24, 2020Thunderstorm WindEureka$20K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through May 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Lincoln County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (51 policies)
0%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$446,923paid on 39 flood claims since 1978
1996costliest year, with $176,351 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Lincoln County

$296,500median home value (Montana $375,800, US $332,700)
1982median year homes were built (Montana 1981, US 1980)
48%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
15%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 11,006 housing units.

Compare in Montana

All 56 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Yellowstone CountyModerateInland flooding
Gallatin CountyModerateEarthquake
Missoula CountyLowInland flooding
Flathead CountyModerateInland flooding
Cascade CountyModerateInland flooding
Lewis and Clark CountyLowCold wave
Ravalli CountyLowWildfire
Silver Bow CountyVery LowCold wave

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Flathead CountyModerate13
Bonner County, IDLow16
Sanders CountyLow14
Boundary County, IDVery Low10

Common questions about Lincoln County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Lincoln County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Lincoln County, about $7.1 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Wildfire is second at $4.1 million.

How many federal disasters has Lincoln County had?

Lincoln County has been included in 12 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1974, including 6 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms and Flooding in April 2026.

Is Lincoln County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 10th highest of 56 in Montana. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Lincoln County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in Lincoln County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Lincoln County had?

NOAA records list 0 tornadoes in Lincoln County since 1950. The weather service has also logged 14 hail reports and 8 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.