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Carbon County, Montana

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
12th of 56highest risk in Montana
$16Mexpected losses a year
11federal declarations
1 in 125homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Carbon County, Montana has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 60% of US counties. It ranks 12th of 56 counties in Montana. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, wildfires and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $16 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $1,560 per resident. Since 1978 it has been included in 11 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (8 major disasters). The most recent was in April 2026 (severe winter storm and straight-line winds). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (65 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $2.7 million on 59 claims here, including $2.4 million for floods in 2022.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Carbon County

$11 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Wildfire

Moderate
$1.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 315 years.
  • Clear dry plants and debris within 5 feet of the house.
  • Get home insurance quotes early; availability varies by area.
$1.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow72.3
$11M
WildfireModerate93.3
$2M
Cold waveLow62.8
$1M
LandslideHigh98.8
$854K
LightningModerate76.8
$490K
EarthquakeVery Low53.6
$254K
HailLow46.1
$174K
TornadoVery Low17.1
$141K
Winter weatherModerate67.7
$93K
Strong windVery Low11.1
$65K
Heat waveVery Low20.9
$52K
DroughtLow37.4
$41K
Ice stormVery Low10.4
$4K
AvalancheLow68.7
$3K
Volcanic activityVery Low26.1
$1

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Carbon County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Flood4
Fire3
Severe Storm2
Hurricane1
Straight-Line Winds1

Most recent

Apr 7, 2026Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Oct 11, 2023FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 16, 2022Severe Storm and FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 16, 2021Robertson Draw FireFire management
Oct 31, 2018FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 17, 2011Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 13, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Aug 30, 2000WildfiresMajor disaster
Aug 28, 2000Mt - Willie FireFire management
Jul 25, 1997Severe Storms,Ice Jams, Snow Melt, FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 11
May 29, 1978Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Montana also had 36 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 194 storm reports in Carbon County since 1957, with 2 deaths and 0 injuries and about $2.2 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF2 tornado on June 16, 2010 near Warren.

3tornadoes
118hail reports, largest 4 inches
38damaging thunderstorm winds
20floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Jun 16, 2010EF2Warren0 / 0
May 24, 1990F1–0 / 0
Mar 23, 1988F0–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
May 20, 2011FloodWashoe$1M
Jul 1, 2011FloodFox$600K
Jul 17, 1998WildfireRed Lodge$525K
Jun 13, 1994Thunderstorm WindRed Lodge$50K
Jun 16, 2010TornadoWarren$12K
Jun 16, 2010Thunderstorm WindWarren$2K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 29, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Carbon County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.8%of homes have federal flood insurance (65 policies)
6.4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$2.7 millionpaid on 59 flood claims since 1978
2022costliest year, with $2.4 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Carbon County

$420,800median home value (Montana $375,800, US $332,700)
1977median year homes were built (Montana 1981, US 1980)
54%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
7.8%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 6,455 housing units.

Compare in Montana

All 56 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Yellowstone CountyModerateInland flooding
Gallatin CountyModerateEarthquake
Missoula CountyLowInland flooding
Flathead CountyModerateInland flooding
Cascade CountyModerateInland flooding
Lewis and Clark CountyLowCold wave
Ravalli CountyLowWildfire
Silver Bow CountyVery LowCold wave

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Yellowstone CountyModerate12
Park County, WYLow2
Park CountyLow12
Big Horn CountyLow7
Big Horn County, WYVery Low2
Stillwater CountyVery Low14

Common questions about Carbon County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Carbon County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Carbon County, about $11 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Wildfire is second at $1.9 million.

How many federal disasters has Carbon County had?

Carbon County has been included in 11 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1978, including 8 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds in April 2026.

Is Carbon County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 12th highest of 56 in Montana. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Carbon County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 125 homes in Carbon County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Carbon County had?

NOAA records list 3 tornadoes in Carbon County since 1950. The strongest was an EF2 tornado on June 16, 2010 near Warren. The weather service has also logged 118 hail reports and 20 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.