Carroll County, Missouri
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Carroll County, Missouri has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 67% of US counties. It ranks 79th of 115 counties in Missouri. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $9.4 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $1,114 per resident. Since 1965 it has been included in 27 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (21 major disasters). The most recent was in June 2026 (severe storms, tornadoes and flooding). Only 15 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $3.7 million on 179 claims here.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Carroll County
- Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
- Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
- Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
- Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
- Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
- Know how to shut off the main water valve.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | 45.4 | $5M | ||
| Tornado | 56.8 | $1M | ||
| Cold wave | 53.5 | $972K | ||
| Drought | 81.6 | $919K | ||
| Heat wave | 53.8 | $399K | ||
| Strong wind | 19.8 | $159K | ||
| Hail | 33.4 | $123K | ||
| Earthquake | 36.5 | $111K | ||
| Lightning | 27.2 | $88K | ||
| Winter weather | 35.4 | $34K | ||
| Wildfire | 43.9 | $29K | ||
| Ice storm | 28.8 | $27K | ||
| Landslide | 52.4 | $1K |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Carroll County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 27
Missouri also had 5 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1955
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 234 storm reports in Carroll County since 1955, with 0 deaths and 1 injury and about $3.7 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on May 4, 1977.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 1977 | F4 | – | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 8, 1999 | F2 | Bosworth | 0 / 0 |
| May 7, 1961 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
| May 7, 1961 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 20, 1973 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 1977 | Tornado | – | $3M |
| Apr 8, 1999 | Tornado | Bosworth | $400K |
| Mar 12, 2006 | Tornado | Norborne | $250K |
| Oct 14, 2000 | Thunderstorm Wind | Hale | $200K |
| Jun 25, 1994 | Hail | Hale | $51K |
| May 26, 1955 | Tornado | – | $25K |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through May 4, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Flood insurance in Carroll County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Carroll County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 4,381 housing units.
Compare in Missouri
All 115 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis County | Heat wave | |
| Jackson County | Inland flooding | |
| St. Charles County | Inland flooding | |
| St. Louis City | Heat wave | |
| Greene County | Inland flooding | |
| Clay County | Inland flooding | |
| Jefferson County | Inland flooding | |
| Boone County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Lafayette County | 23 | |
| Saline County | 24 | |
| Ray County | 31 | |
| Livingston County | 21 | |
| Caldwell County | 22 | |
| Chariton County | 26 |
Common questions about Carroll County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Carroll County?
Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Carroll County, about $5.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $1.4 million.
How many federal disasters has Carroll County had?
Carroll County has been included in 27 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1965, including 21 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding in June 2026.
Is Carroll County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Very Low, 79th highest of 115 in Missouri. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Carroll County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 333 homes in Carroll County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Carroll County had?
NOAA records list 16 tornadoes in Carroll County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on May 4, 1977. The weather service has also logged 113 hail reports and 33 floods here.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.