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Jefferson County, Missouri

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
5th of 115highest risk in Missouri
$114Mexpected losses a year
28federal declarations
1 in 143homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Jefferson County, Missouri has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 90% of US counties. It ranks 5th of 115 counties in Missouri. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and earthquakes. FEMA estimates about $114 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $505 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 28 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (21 major disasters). The most recent was in May 2025 (severe storms, straight-line winds, tornadoes and wildfires). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (591 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $69 million on 4,592 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Jefferson County

$58.6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$15.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.

Earthquake

Moderate
$12.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 170 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate91.4
$59M
TornadoHigh95.1
$16M
EarthquakeModerate93.4
$12M
Strong windVery High98.6
$9M
Cold waveModerate88.9
$8M
Heat waveModerate92.1
$5M
HailModerate93.9
$3M
LightningHigh91.2
$2M
Winter weatherModerate84.1
$339K
Ice stormModerate69.4
$280K
LandslideModerate95.9
$224K
WildfireVery Low53.1
$72K
HurricaneVery Low23.7
$11K
DroughtVery Low22.3
$9K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Jefferson County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm16
Flood7
Severe Ice Storm2
Drought1
Tornado1
Hurricane1

Most recent

May 21, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and WildfiresMajor disaster
Jul 9, 2019Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 2, 2017Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 21, 2016Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 2, 2016Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingEmergency
Aug 7, 2015Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 3, 2011Severe Winter StormEmergency
Jun 19, 2009Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 30, 2009Severe Winter StormEmergency
Nov 13, 2008Severe Storms, Flooding, and A TornadoMajor disaster
Show all 28
Jun 25, 2008Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 19, 2008Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 12, 2007Severe Winter StormsEmergency
Jul 21, 2006Severe StormsEmergency
Mar 16, 2006Severe Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 10, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
May 6, 2003Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
May 6, 2002Severe Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingMajor disaster
May 12, 2000Severe Thunderstorms and Flash FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 2, 1995Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Hail, FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 21, 1994Severe Storms, Tornadoes, FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 1, 1993Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 9, 1993Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
May 11, 1993Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 10, 1982Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 21, 1979Tornadoes, Torrential Rain & FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 24, 1976DroughtEmergency
Apr 19, 1973Heavy Rains, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster

Missouri also had 5 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 655 storm reports in Jefferson County since 1957, with 9 deaths and 4 injuries and about $17.6 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on April 22, 1981.

44tornadoes
312hail reports, largest 4.5 inches
237damaging thunderstorm winds
50floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Apr 22, 1981F3–0 / 1
Mar 11, 2006F3Festus0 / 0
Mar 14, 2025EF2Morse Mill0 / 0
May 28, 1967F2–0 / 0
Jun 10, 1967F2–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 15, 1994TornadoBarnhart To$5M
Jul 1, 2015Flash FloodKimmswick$4M
Apr 22, 1981Tornado–$3M
Dec 28, 2015FloodWickes$2M
Mar 14, 2025TornadoMorse Mill$825K
Apr 15, 1994TornadoCedar Hill To$505K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 4, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Jefferson County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.7%of homes have federal flood insurance (591 policies)
19.5%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$69.2 millionpaid on 4,592 flood claims since 1978
1993costliest year, with $15 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Jefferson County

$237,200median home value (Missouri $230,300, US $332,700)
1987median year homes were built (Missouri 1978, US 1980)
41%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
9%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 93,955 housing units.

Compare in Missouri

All 115 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
St. Louis CountyHighHeat wave
Jackson CountyHighInland flooding
St. Charles CountyModerateInland flooding
St. Louis CityHighHeat wave
Greene CountyModerateInland flooding
Clay CountyModerateInland flooding
Jefferson CountyModerateInland flooding
Boone CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
St. Louis CountyHigh32
Franklin CountyModerate22
St. Francois CountyLow19
Monroe County, ILVery Low18
Washington CountyLow26
Ste. Genevieve CountyLow29

Common questions about Jefferson County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Jefferson County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Jefferson County, about $58.6 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $15.8 million.

How many federal disasters has Jefferson County had?

Jefferson County has been included in 28 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 21 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Wildfires in May 2025.

Is Jefferson County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 5th highest of 115 in Missouri. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Jefferson County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 143 homes in Jefferson County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Jefferson County had?

NOAA records list 44 tornadoes in Jefferson County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on April 22, 1981. The weather service has also logged 312 hail reports and 50 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.