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Manassas Park City, Virginia

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
124th of 133highest risk in Virginia
$3Mexpected losses a year
12federal declarations
1 in 333homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Manassas Park City, Virginia has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 95% of US counties. It ranks 124th of 133 counties in Virginia. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, strong wind and heat waves. FEMA estimates about $3.3 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $191 per resident. Since 1993 it has been included in 12 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (7 major disasters). The most recent was in January 2026 (severe winter storm). Only 12 homes here carry federal flood insurance.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Manassas Park City

$2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 9 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$332,563 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 7 times a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
$288,018 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 6 times a year.
  • Check that cooling works before summer.
  • Know where the nearest cooling center is.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingVery Low15.1
$2M
Strong windLow31.6
$333K
Heat waveLow43.2
$288K
TornadoVery Low16.6
$188K
LightningLow32.8
$131K
HurricaneVery Low54.9
$131K
EarthquakeVery Low32.8
$104K
Cold waveVery Low9.0
$67K
HailVery Low10.0
$34K
Winter weatherVery Low22.9
$22K
Ice stormVery Low8.9
$5K
WildfireVery Low0.4
$137
LandslideVery Low3.0
$4

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Manassas Park City. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Snowstorm5
Hurricane4
Severe Storm2
Winter Storm1

Most recent

Jan 23, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Sep 11, 2018Hurricane FlorenceEmergency
Mar 7, 2016Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Jul 27, 2012Severe Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Apr 27, 2010Severe Winter Storms and SnowstormsMajor disaster
Feb 16, 2010Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Sep 12, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Sep 18, 2003Hurricane IsabelMajor disaster
Mar 27, 2003Severe Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and MudslideMajor disaster
Show all 12
Jan 13, 1996Blizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)Major disaster
Mar 25, 1993Severe Winter StormEmergency

Virginia also had 6 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1999

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 14 storm reports in Manassas Park City since 1999, with 0 deaths and 5 injuries and about $10,000 in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F1 tornado on September 17, 2004 near Manassas Park.

1tornadoes
4hail reports, largest 1 inches
0damaging thunderstorm winds
3floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Sep 17, 2004F1Manassas Park0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 5, 2000Strong WindManassas Park$10K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jun 2, 2022. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1876, 2 hurricanes and 14 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Manassas Park City, 6 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with top winds near 95 mph about 62 miles away.

2hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
14tropical storms
2020most recent: Isaias

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 23, 1878UnnamedCategory 2, 95 mph62 mi
Oct 13, 1893UnnamedCategory 1, 80 mph62 mi
Aug 23, 1933UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph56 mi
Sep 17, 1876UnnamedTropical storm, 70 mph40 mi
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi
Aug 13, 1955ConnieTropical storm, 65 mph62 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 4, 2020IsaiasTropical storm, 70 mph62 mi
Sep 6, 1979DavidTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi
Jun 3, 1963UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi
Aug 18, 1955DianeTropical storm, 50 mph63 mi
Aug 13, 1955ConnieTropical storm, 65 mph62 mi
Sep 1, 1952AbleTropical storm, 60 mph54 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Manassas Park City

Check your address flood zone ›
0.3%of homes have federal flood insurance (12 policies)
0%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$9,145paid on 5 flood claims since 1978
2019costliest year, with $4,890 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Manassas Park City

$395,900median home value (Virginia $383,700, US $332,700)
1997median year homes were built (Virginia 1984, US 1980)
25%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
1%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 5,569 housing units.

Compare in Virginia

All 133 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Fairfax CountyHighInland flooding
Prince William CountyModerateInland flooding
Virginia Beach CityLowHurricane
Loudoun CountyLowInland flooding
Chesterfield CountyModerateInland flooding
Henrico CountyModerateInland flooding
Chesapeake CityLowInland flooding
Arlington CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Prince William CountyModerate18
Manassas CityVery Low13

Common questions about Manassas Park City

What is the biggest natural hazard in Manassas Park City?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Manassas Park City, about $2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Strong wind is second at $332,563.

How many federal disasters has Manassas Park City had?

Manassas Park City has been included in 12 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1993, including 7 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in January 2026.

Is Manassas Park City a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 124th highest of 133 in Virginia. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Manassas Park City?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 333 homes in Manassas Park City has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Manassas Park City had?

NOAA records list 1 tornadoes in Manassas Park City since 1950. The strongest was an F1 tornado on September 17, 2004 near Manassas Park. The weather service has also logged 4 hail reports and 3 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Manassas Park City?

NOAA's hurricane records show 2 hurricanes and 14 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Manassas Park City. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1878, with winds near 95 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole city, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.