Madison County, Tennessee
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Madison County, Tennessee has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 92% of US counties. It ranks 5th of 95 counties in Tennessee. The costliest hazards here are earthquakes, tornadoes and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $91 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $919 per resident. Since 1975 it has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (19 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (166 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $3.4 million on 173 claims here, including $1.6 million for floods in 2010.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Madison County
- Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
- Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
- Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
- Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
- Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
- Know how to shut off the main water valve.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquake | 98.2 | $46M | ||
| Tornado | 97.2 | $15M | ||
| Cold wave | 96.8 | $12M | ||
| Inland flooding | 72.6 | $11M | ||
| Heat wave | 91.6 | $3M | ||
| Strong wind | 88.2 | $1M | ||
| Lightning | 90.2 | $962K | ||
| Ice storm | 88.1 | $614K | ||
| Hurricane | 62.2 | $205K | ||
| Drought | 55.2 | $166K | ||
| Winter weather | 51.9 | $54K | ||
| Hail | 16.3 | $44K | ||
| Wildfire | 43.3 | $25K | ||
| Landslide | 80.2 | $13K |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Madison County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 22
Tennessee also had 1 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1953
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 496 storm reports in Madison County since 1953, with 21 deaths and 281 injuries and about $200 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on May 4, 2003 near Denmark.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2003 | F4 | Denmark | 66 / 11 |
| Jan 17, 1999 | F4 | Bemis | 106 / 6 |
| Feb 5, 2008 | EF4 | Gilmore | 51 / 0 |
| Feb 5, 2008 | EF3 | Leighton | 14 / 2 |
| Jan 17, 1999 | F3 | Mercer | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2008 | Tornado | Gilmore | $100M |
| May 4, 2003 | Tornado | Denmark | $30M |
| Jan 17, 1999 | Tornado | Mercer | $25M |
| May 1, 2010 | Flash Flood | Fairview | $11M |
| Jan 17, 1999 | Tornado | Bemis | $10M |
| Feb 5, 2008 | Tornado | Leighton | $10M |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 19, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
Hurricane risk by county ›Since 1860, 0 hurricanes and 6 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Madison County, 3 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1888, with top winds near 60 mph about 62 miles away.
Strongest storms nearby
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 1888 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 60 mph | 62 mi |
| Oct 3, 1860 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 45 mph | 64 mi |
| Jun 28, 1957 | Audrey | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 63 mi |
| Aug 31, 1950 | Baker | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 56 mi |
| Jun 17, 1934 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 58 mi |
| Aug 19, 1969 | Camille | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 62 mi |
Most recent storms
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 1969 | Camille | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 62 mi |
| Jun 28, 1957 | Audrey | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 63 mi |
| Aug 31, 1950 | Baker | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 56 mi |
| Jun 17, 1934 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 58 mi |
| Aug 21, 1888 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 60 mph | 62 mi |
| Oct 3, 1860 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 45 mph | 64 mi |
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.
Flood insurance in Madison County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Madison County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 44,091 housing units.
Compare in Tennessee
All 95 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| Shelby County | Earthquake | |
| Davidson County | Inland flooding | |
| Knox County | Inland flooding | |
| Hamilton County | Inland flooding | |
| Rutherford County | Inland flooding | |
| Williamson County | Inland flooding | |
| Montgomery County | Inland flooding | |
| Sumner County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Gibson County | 26 | |
| Carroll County | 22 | |
| Henderson County | 25 | |
| Hardeman County | 16 | |
| Haywood County | 19 | |
| Chester County | 14 | |
| Crockett County | 17 |
Cities in Madison County
Common questions about Madison County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Madison County?
Earthquake has the highest expected yearly losses in Madison County, about $46.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $14.8 million.
How many federal disasters has Madison County had?
Madison County has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1975, including 19 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in February 2026.
Is Madison County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 5th highest of 95 in Tennessee. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Madison County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in Madison County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Madison County had?
NOAA records list 35 tornadoes in Madison County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on May 4, 2003 near Denmark. The weather service has also logged 156 hail reports and 81 floods here.
How many hurricanes have hit Madison County?
NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 6 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Madison County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1888, with winds near 60 mph.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.