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Madison County, Tennessee

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
5th of 95highest risk in Tennessee
$91Mexpected losses a year
22federal declarations
1 in 250homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, CC0

Madison County, Tennessee has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 92% of US counties. It ranks 5th of 95 counties in Tennessee. The costliest hazards here are earthquakes, tornadoes and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $91 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $919 per resident. Since 1975 it has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (19 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (166 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $3.4 million on 173 claims here, including $1.6 million for floods in 2010.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Madison County

$46.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 125 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
$14.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 3 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
$12 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
EarthquakeHigh98.2
$46M
TornadoHigh97.2
$15M
Cold waveHigh96.8
$12M
Inland floodingLow72.6
$11M
Heat waveModerate91.6
$3M
Strong windHigh88.2
$1M
LightningHigh90.2
$962K
Ice stormHigh88.1
$614K
HurricaneLow62.2
$205K
DroughtLow55.2
$166K
Winter weatherLow51.9
$54K
HailVery Low16.3
$44K
WildfireVery Low43.3
$25K
LandslideLow80.2
$13K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Madison County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm15
Tornado2
Winter Storm2
Flood1
Hurricane1
Severe Ice Storm1

Most recent

Feb 6, 2026Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Jun 19, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 2, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
May 17, 2023Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoMajor disaster
May 8, 2021Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 9, 2020Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 13, 2014Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 11, 2014Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
May 9, 2011Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 22
May 1, 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Associated FloodingMajor disaster
May 4, 2010Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Feb 7, 2008Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
May 8, 2003Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 13, 2002Severe Storms and TornadosMajor disaster
Jan 19, 1999Severe Storms, Tornadoes and High WindsMajor disaster
Apr 20, 1998Severe Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1998Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 7, 1997Heavy Rains, Tornadoes, Flooding, Hail, High WindsMajor disaster
Feb 28, 1994Severe Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 22, 1975Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Tennessee also had 1 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1953

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 496 storm reports in Madison County since 1953, with 21 deaths and 281 injuries and about $200 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on May 4, 2003 near Denmark.

35tornadoes
156hail reports, largest 4 inches
213damaging thunderstorm winds
81floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 4, 2003F4Denmark66 / 11
Jan 17, 1999F4Bemis106 / 6
Feb 5, 2008EF4Gilmore51 / 0
Feb 5, 2008EF3Leighton14 / 2
Jan 17, 1999F3Mercer0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Feb 5, 2008TornadoGilmore$100M
May 4, 2003TornadoDenmark$30M
Jan 17, 1999TornadoMercer$25M
May 1, 2010Flash FloodFairview$11M
Jan 17, 1999TornadoBemis$10M
Feb 5, 2008TornadoLeighton$10M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 19, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1860, 0 hurricanes and 6 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Madison County, 3 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1888, with top winds near 60 mph about 62 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
6tropical storms
1969most recent: Camille

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 21, 1888UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph62 mi
Oct 3, 1860UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph63 mi
Aug 31, 1950BakerTropical storm, 40 mph56 mi
Jun 17, 1934UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph58 mi
Aug 19, 1969CamilleTropical storm, 40 mph62 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 19, 1969CamilleTropical storm, 40 mph62 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph63 mi
Aug 31, 1950BakerTropical storm, 40 mph56 mi
Jun 17, 1934UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph58 mi
Aug 21, 1888UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph62 mi
Oct 3, 1860UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Madison County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (166 policies)
21.6%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$3.4 millionpaid on 173 flood claims since 1978
2010costliest year, with $1.6 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Madison County

$211,800median home value (Tennessee $286,700, US $332,700)
1986median year homes were built (Tennessee 1987, US 1980)
41%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
5.2%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 44,091 housing units.

Compare in Tennessee

All 95 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Shelby CountyHighEarthquake
Davidson CountyHighInland flooding
Knox CountyModerateInland flooding
Hamilton CountyModerateInland flooding
Rutherford CountyModerateInland flooding
Williamson CountyModerateInland flooding
Montgomery CountyModerateInland flooding
Sumner CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Gibson CountyModerate26
Carroll CountyLow22
Henderson CountyLow25
Hardeman CountyLow16
Haywood CountyLow19
Chester CountyLow14
Crockett CountyLow17

Cities in Madison County

Common questions about Madison County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Madison County?

Earthquake has the highest expected yearly losses in Madison County, about $46.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $14.8 million.

How many federal disasters has Madison County had?

Madison County has been included in 22 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1975, including 19 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in February 2026.

Is Madison County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 5th highest of 95 in Tennessee. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Madison County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in Madison County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Madison County had?

NOAA records list 35 tornadoes in Madison County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on May 4, 2003 near Denmark. The weather service has also logged 156 hail reports and 81 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Madison County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 6 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Madison County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1888, with winds near 60 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.