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Jefferson County, Tennessee

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
61st of 95highest risk in Tennessee
$12Mexpected losses a year
19federal declarations
1 in 333homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Jefferson County, Tennessee has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 55% of US counties. It ranks 61st of 95 counties in Tennessee. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, earthquakes and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $12 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $226 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (15 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (83 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $268,000 on 24 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Jefferson County

$7.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$1.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 245 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
$1.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 15 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow56.8
$7M
EarthquakeLow82.6
$2M
TornadoLow59.6
$2M
Cold waveLow42.0
$612K
LightningModerate71.9
$463K
Strong windLow42.9
$389K
HailVery Low25.8
$83K
Ice stormLow50.6
$76K
Heat waveVery Low22.1
$64K
LandslideModerate88.6
$43K
Winter weatherLow39.3
$39K
HurricaneVery Low42.9
$33K
DroughtLow33.0
$30K
WildfireVery Low42.9
$27K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Jefferson County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm8
Flood4
Winter Storm2
Tornado1
Snowstorm1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Feb 6, 2026Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Apr 2, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
Oct 2, 2024Tropical Storm HeleneMajor disaster
Sep 27, 2023Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoMajor disaster
Apr 17, 2019Severe Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and MudslidesMajor disaster
Jun 23, 2017Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 2, 2015Severe Winter Storm and FloodingMajor disaster
May 1, 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Associated FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 31, 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 19
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
May 8, 2003Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 20, 1998Severe Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 13, 1998Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 14, 1994Extensive Rainfall and Flash FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 14, 1993Severe Snowfall, Winter StormEmergency
May 25, 1984Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 4, 1974TornadoesMajor disaster
Mar 21, 1973Heavy Rains & FloodingMajor disaster

Tennessee also had 1 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1955

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 311 storm reports in Jefferson County since 1955, with 0 deaths and 5 injuries and about $4.3 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on March 25, 1955.

10tornadoes
51hail reports, largest 2 inches
231damaging thunderstorm winds
14floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Mar 25, 1955F2–0 / 0
Jun 13, 2013EF1Hodges0 / 0
Apr 4, 1974F0–0 / 0
Jul 4, 1997F0New Market0 / 0
Apr 27, 2011EF0Kansas0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Feb 28, 2011FloodJefferson City$2M
Oct 24, 2001Thunderstorm WindCountywide$270K
May 24, 1996Thunderstorm WindDumplin$105K
Feb 17, 1998Thunderstorm WindJefferson City$82K
Aug 24, 2010LightningDandridge$80K
May 13, 1999Thunderstorm WindWhite Pine$60K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 11, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1975, 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County, 3 of them since 1950. The strongest was Tropical Storm Zeta (2020), with top winds near 50 mph about 52 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
3tropical storms
2024most recent: Helene

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 29, 2020ZetaTropical storm, 50 mph52 mi
Sep 27, 2024HeleneTropical storm, 50 mph61 mi
Sep 24, 1975EloiseTropical storm, 40 mph45 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 27, 2024HeleneTropical storm, 50 mph61 mi
Oct 29, 2020ZetaTropical storm, 50 mph52 mi
Sep 24, 1975EloiseTropical storm, 40 mph45 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Jefferson County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.3%of homes have federal flood insurance (83 policies)
29.8%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$268,240paid on 24 flood claims since 1978
2019costliest year, with $90,938 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Jefferson County

$229,300median home value (Tennessee $286,700, US $332,700)
1991median year homes were built (Tennessee 1987, US 1980)
34%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
22.2%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 25,632 housing units.

Compare in Tennessee

All 95 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Shelby CountyHighEarthquake
Davidson CountyHighInland flooding
Knox CountyModerateInland flooding
Hamilton CountyModerateInland flooding
Rutherford CountyModerateInland flooding
Williamson CountyModerateInland flooding
Montgomery CountyModerateInland flooding
Sumner CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Knox CountyModerate17
Sevier CountyLow21
Hamblen CountyLow13
Cocke CountyLow22
Grainger CountyVery Low18

Cities in Jefferson County

Common questions about Jefferson County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Jefferson County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Jefferson County, about $7.1 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Earthquake is second at $1.9 million.

How many federal disasters has Jefferson County had?

Jefferson County has been included in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 15 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in February 2026.

Is Jefferson County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 61st highest of 95 in Tennessee. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Jefferson County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 333 homes in Jefferson County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Jefferson County had?

NOAA records list 10 tornadoes in Jefferson County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on March 25, 1955. The weather service has also logged 51 hail reports and 14 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Jefferson County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County. The strongest was Tropical Storm Zeta (2020), with winds near 50 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.