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Jefferson County, Pennsylvania

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
47th of 67highest risk in Pennsylvania
$14Mexpected losses a year
12federal declarations
1 in 250homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Jefferson County, Pennsylvania has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 58% of US counties. It ranks 47th of 67 counties in Pennsylvania. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, lightning and cold waves. FEMA estimates about $14 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $315 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 12 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (8 major disasters). The most recent was in October 2013 (severe storms, tornadoes and flooding). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (117 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $7.7 million on 373 claims here, including $5.5 million for floods in 1996.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Jefferson County

$11.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$716,943 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 38 times a year.
  • Go indoors when you hear thunder.
  • Use surge protectors for electronics.
$587,431 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 4 times a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate74.5
$11M
LightningHigh86.8
$717K
Cold waveLow46.6
$587K
HurricaneLow69.8
$404K
TornadoLow31.2
$386K
Strong windLow48.0
$369K
Winter weatherModerate80.2
$150K
EarthquakeVery Low35.4
$81K
HailVery Low17.4
$43K
Heat waveVery Low13.7
$22K
Ice stormVery Low26.1
$18K
LandslideLow79.9
$11K
WildfireVery Low16.4
$4K
AvalancheVery Low15.5
$14

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is relatively high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Jefferson County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Flood5
Hurricane3
Snowstorm2
Severe Storm2

Most recent

Oct 1, 2013Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Sep 10, 2005Hurricane KatrinaEmergency
Sep 19, 2004Severe Storms and Flooding Associated With Tropical Depression FrancesMajor disaster
Sep 19, 2004Tropical Depression IvanMajor disaster
Jul 26, 1996Severe Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Jan 21, 1996Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 16, 1993Severe Snowfall & Winter StormEmergency
Jun 15, 1981Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 21, 1977Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 12
Jan 29, 1977SnowstormsEmergency
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster

Pennsylvania also had 7 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1955

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 626 storm reports in Jefferson County since 1955, with 1 death and 8 injuries and about $111 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on July 11, 1976.

19tornadoes
79hail reports, largest 2 inches
399damaging thunderstorm winds
117floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Jul 11, 1976F2–7 / 1
Jun 14, 2026EF2Oliveburg0 / 0
Jul 19, 1996F2Langville0 / 0
Oct 2, 2018EF2Harlan0 / 0
Oct 16, 2021EF1Sigel0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jul 19, 1996Flash FloodPunxsutawney$100M
Jun 27, 2013FloodRathmel$3M
Aug 6, 2024Thunderstorm WindSigel$2M
Oct 16, 2021TornadoSigel$900K
Jul 11, 1976Tornado–$250K
Jun 7, 1978Tornado–$250K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 18, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1876, 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County, 2 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1876, with top winds near 60 mph about 53 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
3tropical storms
1979most recent: Frederic

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 18, 1876UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph53 mi
Aug 13, 1955ConnieTropical storm, 50 mph52 mi
Sep 14, 1979FredericTropical storm, 40 mph47 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 14, 1979FredericTropical storm, 40 mph47 mi
Aug 13, 1955ConnieTropical storm, 50 mph52 mi
Sep 18, 1876UnnamedTropical storm, 60 mph53 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Jefferson County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (117 policies)
9.6%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$7.7 millionpaid on 373 flood claims since 1978
1996costliest year, with $5.5 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Jefferson County

$139,700median home value (Pennsylvania $254,500, US $332,700)
1961median year homes were built (Pennsylvania 1965, US 1980)
73%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
7.7%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 22,085 housing units.

Compare in Pennsylvania

All 67 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Philadelphia CountyVery HighInland flooding
Allegheny CountyHighInland flooding
Montgomery CountyHighInland flooding
Bucks CountyHighInland flooding
Delaware CountyModerateInland flooding
Lancaster CountyHighInland flooding
Chester CountyModerateInland flooding
York CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Indiana CountyLow16
Clearfield CountyLow15
Armstrong CountyLow15
Clarion CountyVery Low12
Elk CountyLow8
Forest CountyVery Low10

Common questions about Jefferson County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Jefferson County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Jefferson County, about $11.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Lightning is second at $716,943.

How many federal disasters has Jefferson County had?

Jefferson County has been included in 12 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 8 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding in October 2013.

Is Jefferson County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 47th highest of 67 in Pennsylvania. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Jefferson County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in Jefferson County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Jefferson County had?

NOAA records list 19 tornadoes in Jefferson County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on July 11, 1976. The weather service has also logged 79 hail reports and 117 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Jefferson County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Jefferson County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1876, with winds near 60 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.