Cole County, Missouri
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Cole County, Missouri has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 73% of US counties. It ranks 27th of 115 counties in Missouri. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, heat waves and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $43 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $554 per resident. Since 1973 it has been included in 24 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (17 major disasters). The most recent was in July 2019 (severe storms, tornadoes and flooding). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (83 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $7.6 million on 416 claims here, including $2.3 million for floods in 1993.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Cole County
- Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
- Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
- Check that cooling works before summer.
- Know where the nearest cooling center is.
- Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
- Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | 73.5 | $20M | ||
| Heat wave | 94.3 | $7M | ||
| Tornado | 84.3 | $7M | ||
| Earthquake | 82.3 | $3M | ||
| Cold wave | 56.3 | $2M | ||
| Strong wind | 76.9 | $2M | ||
| Ice storm | 90.7 | $1M | ||
| Lightning | 73.7 | $748K | ||
| Hail | 48.3 | $323K | ||
| Winter weather | 80.3 | $282K | ||
| Wildfire | 71.7 | $262K | ||
| Drought | 39.3 | $81K | ||
| Landslide | 78.4 | $18K | ||
| Hurricane | 17.9 | $7K |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Cole County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 24
Missouri also had 5 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1956
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 348 storm reports in Cole County since 1956, with 1 death and 34 injuries and about $183 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF3 tornado on May 22, 2019 near Scrivner.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2019 | EF3 | Scrivner | 32 / 0 |
| Oct 3, 1986 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
| May 12, 1980 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
| Apr 15, 1994 | F1 | Elston To Frankenstei | 0 / 0 |
| May 1, 1983 | F1 | – | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2019 | Tornado | Scrivner | $170M |
| Apr 15, 1994 | Tornado | Elston To Frankenstei | $5M |
| Mar 27, 2020 | Hail | Lohman | $3M |
| Oct 3, 1986 | Tornado | – | $3M |
| Aug 7, 1999 | Thunderstorm Wind | Jefferson City | $1M |
| Jul 1, 2015 | Flash Flood | St Thomas | $750K |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 4, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Hurricanes and tropical storms
Hurricane risk by county ›Since 1923, 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm have passed within 65 miles of the center of Cole County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1923, with top winds near 40 mph about 59 miles away.
Strongest storms nearby
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 1923 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 59 mi |
Most recent storms
| Date | Storm | Strength | Closest |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 1923 | Unnamed | Tropical storm, 40 mph | 59 mi |
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.
Flood insurance in Cole County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Cole County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 33,533 housing units.
Compare in Missouri
All 115 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis County | Heat wave | |
| Jackson County | Inland flooding | |
| St. Charles County | Inland flooding | |
| St. Louis City | Heat wave | |
| Greene County | Inland flooding | |
| Clay County | Inland flooding | |
| Jefferson County | Inland flooding | |
| Boone County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Boone County | 25 | |
| Callaway County | 27 | |
| Miller County | 28 | |
| Moniteau County | 21 | |
| Osage County | 28 |
Cities in Cole County
Common questions about Cole County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Cole County?
Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Cole County, about $20.1 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Heat wave is second at $6.9 million.
How many federal disasters has Cole County had?
Cole County has been included in 24 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1973, including 17 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding in July 2019.
Is Cole County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 27th highest of 115 in Missouri. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Cole County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 333 homes in Cole County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Cole County had?
NOAA records list 12 tornadoes in Cole County since 1950. The strongest was an EF3 tornado on May 22, 2019 near Scrivner. The weather service has also logged 147 hail reports and 37 floods here.
How many hurricanes have hit Cole County?
NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm passing within 65 miles of the center of Cole County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1923, with winds near 40 mph.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.