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Carter County, Missouri

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
55th of 115highest risk in Missouri
$11Mexpected losses a year
20federal declarations
1 in 83homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Carter County, Missouri has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 54% of US counties. It ranks 55th of 115 counties in Missouri. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, cold waves and earthquakes. FEMA estimates about $11 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $2,059 per resident. Since 1976 it has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (14 major disasters). The most recent was in May 2025 (severe storms, straight-line winds, tornadoes and wildfires). Only 37 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $5.4 million on 123 claims here, including $4.1 million for floods in 2017.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Carter County

$5.5 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Cold wave

Moderate
$2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Insulate pipes in outside walls, crawl spaces and garages.
  • Know how to shut off the main water valve.
$1.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 130 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingLow60.6
$6M
Cold waveModerate79.2
$2M
EarthquakeLow82.2
$1M
TornadoLow40.1
$518K
Strong windModerate62.8
$471K
Heat waveLow65.0
$439K
LightningModerate59.8
$198K
Ice stormModerate72.2
$149K
Winter weatherLow41.9
$29K
WildfireVery Low47.5
$25K
HailVery Low9.9
$19K
HurricaneVery Low30.9
$9K
LandslideLow78.8
$8K
DroughtVery Low16.8
$960

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very high and community resilience is very low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Carter County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm12
Flood3
Severe Ice Storm3
Drought1
Hurricane1

Most recent

May 21, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and WildfiresMajor disaster
May 21, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 1, 2025Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 23, 2024Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 9, 2020Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 2, 2017Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 2, 2016Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingEmergency
May 9, 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 3, 2011Severe Winter StormEmergency
Feb 17, 2009Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Show all 20
Jan 30, 2009Severe Winter StormEmergency
Nov 13, 2008Severe Storms, Flooding, and A TornadoMajor disaster
Mar 19, 2008Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 12, 2008Severe Winter Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 12, 2007Severe Winter StormsEmergency
Sep 10, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
May 6, 2002Severe Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 1, 1993Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 10, 1982Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 24, 1976DroughtEmergency

Missouri also had 5 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 266 storm reports in Carter County since 1957, with 10 deaths and 91 injuries and about $39.6 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on May 21, 1957.

22tornadoes
95hail reports, largest 3 inches
79damaging thunderstorm winds
60floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 21, 1957F4–75 / 7
Apr 24, 2002F4Van Buren2 / 0
Dec 24, 1982F4–0 / 0
Mar 14, 2025EF3Fremont0 / 0
May 25, 2011EF3Grandin0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 24, 2002TornadoVan Buren$15M
May 1, 2017FloodVan Buren$10M
Dec 24, 1982Tornado–$3M
Dec 24, 1982Tornado–$3M
Apr 29, 1984Tornado–$3M
Mar 14, 2025TornadoFremont$2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Apr 28, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1906, 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Carter County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1923, with top winds near 50 mph about 54 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
3tropical storms
1941most recent: unnamed storm

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Oct 17, 1923UnnamedTropical storm, 50 mph54 mi
Sep 25, 1941UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph36 mi
Sep 28, 1906UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph58 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 25, 1941UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph36 mi
Oct 17, 1923UnnamedTropical storm, 50 mph54 mi
Sep 28, 1906UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph58 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Carter County

Check your address flood zone ›
1.2%of homes have federal flood insurance (37 policies)
0%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$5.4 millionpaid on 123 flood claims since 1978
2017costliest year, with $4.1 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Carter County

$159,400median home value (Missouri $230,300, US $332,700)
1983median year homes were built (Missouri 1978, US 1980)
46%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
20.6%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 2,676 housing units.

Compare in Missouri

All 115 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
St. Louis CountyHighHeat wave
Jackson CountyHighInland flooding
St. Charles CountyModerateInland flooding
St. Louis CityHighHeat wave
Greene CountyModerateInland flooding
Clay CountyModerateInland flooding
Jefferson CountyModerateInland flooding
Boone CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Butler CountyModerate21
Wayne CountyLow26
Ripley CountyLow22
Oregon CountyLow23
Shannon CountyLow25
Reynolds CountyLow25

Common questions about Carter County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Carter County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Carter County, about $5.5 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Cold wave is second at $2 million.

How many federal disasters has Carter County had?

Carter County has been included in 20 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1976, including 14 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Wildfires in May 2025.

Is Carter County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 55th highest of 115 in Missouri. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Carter County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 83 homes in Carter County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Carter County had?

NOAA records list 22 tornadoes in Carter County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on May 21, 1957. The weather service has also logged 95 hail reports and 60 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Carter County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Carter County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1923, with winds near 50 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.