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Dakota County, Minnesota

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
4th of 87highest risk in Minnesota
$134Mexpected losses a year
14federal declarations
1 in 1000homes with flood insurance
Photo: Tony Webster from Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States, CC BY 2.0

Dakota County, Minnesota has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 90% of US counties. It ranks 4th of 87 counties in Minnesota. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, tornadoes and strong wind. FEMA estimates about $134 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $304 per resident. Since 1965 it has been included in 14 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (11 major disasters). The most recent was in July 2012 (severe storms and flooding). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (161 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $3.8 million on 181 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Dakota County

$56.6 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$32 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.

Strong wind

Very High
$18.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 5 times a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate88.7
$57M
TornadoHigh97.4
$32M
Strong windVery High99.4
$19M
Cold waveHigh90.1
$12M
HailHigh97.5
$8M
Heat waveModerate84.6
$3M
LightningHigh84.8
$2M
Winter weatherHigh91.9
$771K
Ice stormLow55.8
$184K
EarthquakeVery Low21.2
$53K
DroughtLow31.5
$50K
WildfireVery Low39.6
$42K
LandslideLow70.2
$10K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Dakota County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Flood6
Severe Storm5
Drought1
Tornado1
Hurricane1

Most recent

Jul 6, 2012Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 19, 2010FloodingEmergency
Sep 13, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
May 16, 2001Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Jun 27, 2000Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 23, 1998Severe Storms, Straight Line Winds, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Apr 8, 1997Severe Flooding, High Winds,Severe StormsMajor disaster
Jun 1, 1996Flooding and Severe StormsMajor disaster
Jun 11, 1993Severe Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster
Aug 6, 1987Severe Storms, Tornadoes & FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 14
Jul 8, 1978Severe Storms, Flooding, Hail & TornadoesMajor disaster
Jun 17, 1976DroughtEmergency
Apr 18, 1969FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 11, 1965FloodingMajor disaster

Minnesota also had 26 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 653 storm reports in Dakota County since 1957, with 2 deaths and 38 injuries and about $341 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on May 9, 2001 near Northfield.

41tornadoes
310hail reports, largest 3 inches
244damaging thunderstorm winds
24floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 9, 2001F2Northfield0 / 0
May 15, 1968F2–1 / 0
Mar 29, 1998F2Castle Rock0 / 0
May 9, 1973F1–11 / 1
Aug 13, 2010EF1Farmington1 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
May 30, 1998Thunderstorm WindBurnsville$140M
May 15, 1998HailBurnsville$100M
May 30, 1998Thunderstorm WindEagan$24M
Jul 7, 2000Flash FloodEagan$20M
Jun 20, 2007HailHastings$12M
May 30, 1998Thunderstorm WindApple Vly$10M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Apr 17, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Dakota County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.1%of homes have federal flood insurance (161 policies)
6.6%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$3.8 millionpaid on 181 flood claims since 1978
2019costliest year, with $673,350 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Dakota County

$381,000median home value (Minnesota $329,300, US $332,700)
1988median year homes were built (Minnesota 1979, US 1980)
35%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
1.6%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 178,879 housing units.

Compare in Minnesota

All 87 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Hennepin CountyHighInland flooding
Ramsey CountyHighInland flooding
Dakota CountyModerateInland flooding
Anoka CountyModerateInland flooding
Washington CountyModerateInland flooding
St. Louis CountyModerateCold wave
Olmsted CountyModerateInland flooding
Stearns CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Hennepin CountyHigh15
Ramsey CountyHigh17
Washington CountyModerate15
Scott CountyLow14
Rice CountyLow12
Goodhue CountyLow16
Pierce County, WIVery Low11

Common questions about Dakota County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Dakota County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Dakota County, about $56.6 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Tornado is second at $32 million.

How many federal disasters has Dakota County had?

Dakota County has been included in 14 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1965, including 11 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms and Flooding in July 2012.

Is Dakota County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 4th highest of 87 in Minnesota. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Dakota County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 1000 homes in Dakota County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Dakota County had?

NOAA records list 41 tornadoes in Dakota County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on May 9, 2001 near Northfield. The weather service has also logged 310 hail reports and 24 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.