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Lakeville, Minnesota: natural disaster risk

How exposed Lakeville is to floods, storms and other hazards, from FEMA and NOAA records for Dakota County.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
74,354people
Inland floodingtop hazard
14federal declarations, Dakota County
41tornadoes in the county since 1950
Photo: Tony Webster from Minneapolis, Minnesota, United States, CC BY 2.0

Lakeville is a city of 74,354 people in Dakota County, Minnesota. FEMA's National Risk Index rates Dakota County relatively moderate for natural hazards overall, about average for the US. The costliest hazards there are inland flooding, tornado and strong wind, with about $134 million in expected losses a year across the county. The weather service has logged 653 storm reports in the county since 1957, including 41 tornadoes and 24 floods. About 0.1% of homes in the county carry federal flood insurance.

Risk figures are for Dakota County. FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; NOAA Storm Events; US Census Bureau ACS 2020 to 2024. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Lakeville

Full Dakota County report ›
$56.6 million a year in the county
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$32 million a year in the county
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.

Strong wind

Very High
$18.8 million a year in the county
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.

All hazards

HazardRatingA year
Inland floodingModerate$57M
TornadoHigh$32M
Strong windVery High$19M
Cold waveHigh$12M
HailHigh$8M
Heat waveModerate$3M
LightningHigh$2M
Winter weatherHigh$771K
Ice stormLow$184K
EarthquakeVery Low$53K
DroughtLow$50K
WildfireVery Low$42K

Homes in Lakeville

Median home value$452,500
Dakota County median$381,000
Median year built1999
Built before 198015%
Mobile homes2.8%

Older homes and mobile homes usually take more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes. Ask about roof age, flood history and retrofits before you buy or rent.

Strongest tornadoes in Dakota County

2001F2 near Northfield
1968F21 hurt
1998F2 near Castle Rock

Common questions about Lakeville

Is Lakeville safe from natural disasters?

Lakeville is in Dakota County, which FEMA's National Risk Index rates relatively moderate overall, about average for the US. The biggest hazards are inland flooding, tornado, strong wind. No place is free of risk, so check the flood map and insurance for any home you consider.

What natural disasters happen in Lakeville?

By expected yearly losses in Dakota County, the top hazards are inland flooding (Moderate), tornado (High), strong wind (Very High). Dakota County has been part of 14 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events.

Does Lakeville get tornadoes?

Yes. NOAA records list 41 tornadoes in Dakota County since 1950; the strongest was an F2 tornado on May 9, 2001 near Northfield. FEMA rates tornado risk in the county high.

Do I need flood insurance in Lakeville?

Standard home insurance does not cover floods. In Dakota County, about 0.1% of homes have federal flood insurance, and FEMA rates inland flooding risk moderate. Check the FEMA flood map for your address and get a quote even outside a high-risk zone.