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Dukes County, Massachusetts

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
14th of 14highest risk in Massachusetts
$7Mexpected losses a year
19federal declarations
1 in 19homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Dukes County, Massachusetts has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 83% of US counties. It ranks 14th of 14 counties in Massachusetts. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and coastal flooding. FEMA estimates about $7.3 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $356 per resident. Since 1978 it has been included in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (11 major disasters). The most recent was in September 2023 (Hurricane Lee). About 1 in 19 homes here carry federal flood insurance (716 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $1.7 million on 160 claims here, including $1.1 million for floods in 1991.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Dukes County

$4.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 6 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$2.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 6 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.
$348,024 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 4 times a year.
  • Learn your evacuation zone; it is set by surge risk, not by distance from the beach.
  • Ask about flood insurance even outside a mapped high-risk zone.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingVery Low32.0
$4M
HurricaneLow80.8
$2M
Coastal floodingLow55.4
$348K
EarthquakeVery Low33.5
$113K
TornadoVery Low10.7
$83K
Strong windVery Low7.4
$60K
LightningVery Low12.8
$50K
Cold waveVery Low5.6
$27K
Heat waveVery Low8.2
$14K
WildfireVery Low27.9
$14K
Ice stormVery Low11.5
$7K
DroughtVery Low19.9
$4K
Winter weatherVery Low2.9
$2K
HailVery Low1.1
$1K
LandslideVery Low13.3
$54

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Dukes County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane9
Snowstorm4
Severe Storm3
Coastal Storm2
Flood1

Most recent

Sep 15, 2023Hurricane LeeEmergency
Apr 13, 2015Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 19, 2013Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 19, 2012Hurricane SandyMajor disaster
Oct 28, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Sep 3, 2011Tropical Storm IreneMajor disaster
Aug 26, 2011Hurricane IreneEmergency
Sep 2, 2010Hurricane EarlEmergency
May 16, 2007Severe Storms and Inland and Coastal FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 13, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Show all 19
Feb 17, 2005Record And/Or Near Record SnowEmergency
Mar 11, 2003SnowEmergency
Jan 24, 1996Blizzard of 96Major disaster
Mar 16, 1993Blizzards, High Winds & Record SnowfallEmergency
Dec 21, 1992Winter Coastal StormMajor disaster
Nov 4, 1991Coastal StormMajor disaster
Aug 26, 1991Hurricane BobMajor disaster
Oct 28, 1985Hurricane GloriaMajor disaster
Feb 10, 1978Coastal Storms, Flood, Ice & SnowMajor disaster

Massachusetts also had 10 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1951

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 51 storm reports in Dukes County since 1951 and about $39,300 in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F2 tornado on December 18, 1951.

1tornadoes
10hail reports, largest 2 inches
19damaging thunderstorm winds
8floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Dec 18, 1951F2–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Apr 6, 2017LightningTisbury$15K
Aug 2, 2011Thunderstorm WindEdgartown$5K
Nov 17, 2014Thunderstorm WindChilmark$5K
Jul 1, 2015FloodEdgartown$5K
Jul 23, 2011Thunderstorm WindTisbury$3K
Jul 2, 2009HailTisbury$2K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through May 22, 2025. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1851, 12 hurricanes and 25 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Dukes County, 12 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1869, with top winds near 115 mph about 64 miles away.

12hurricanes
3major hurricanes (Category 3+)
25tropical storms
2021most recent: Henri

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 8, 1869UnnamedCategory 3, 115 mph64 mi
Aug 31, 1954CarolCategory 3, 110 mph64 mi
Sep 11, 1954EdnaCategory 3, 110 mph56 mi
Aug 19, 1991BobCategory 2, 105 mph48 mi
Oct 4, 1869UnnamedCategory 2, 105 mph47 mi
Sep 15, 1944UnnamedCategory 2, 100 mph64 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 22, 2021HenriTropical storm, 65 mph56 mi
Jul 9, 2021ElsaTropical storm, 60 mph63 mi
Jul 21, 2006BerylTropical storm, 50 mph55 mi
Aug 31, 2004HermineTropical storm, 40 mph51 mi
Jul 25, 1997DannyTropical storm, 60 mph63 mi
Aug 19, 1991BobCategory 2, 105 mph48 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Dukes County

Check your address flood zone ›
5.3%of homes have federal flood insurance (716 policies)
53.2%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$1.7 millionpaid on 160 flood claims since 1978
1991costliest year, with $1.1 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Dukes County

$1.2 millionmedian home value (Massachusetts $562,100, US $332,700)
1982median year homes were built (Massachusetts 1964, US 1980)
45%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
0%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 17,822 housing units.

Compare in Massachusetts

All 14 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Middlesex CountyHighInland flooding
Worcester CountyModerateInland flooding
Essex CountyHighInland flooding
Suffolk CountyModerateInland flooding
Norfolk CountyModerateInland flooding
Bristol CountyModerateInland flooding
Plymouth CountyModerateInland flooding
Hampden CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Bristol CountyModerate26
Barnstable CountyModerate21
Nantucket CountyVery Low17

Common questions about Dukes County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Dukes County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Dukes County, about $4.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $2.4 million.

How many federal disasters has Dukes County had?

Dukes County has been included in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1978, including 11 major disasters. The most recent was Hurricane Lee in September 2023.

Is Dukes County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 14th highest of 14 in Massachusetts. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Dukes County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 19 homes in Dukes County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Dukes County had?

NOAA records list 1 tornadoes in Dukes County since 1950. The strongest was an F2 tornado on December 18, 1951. The weather service has also logged 10 hail reports and 8 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Dukes County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 12 hurricanes and 25 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Dukes County, including 3 major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger). The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1869, with winds near 115 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.