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Middlesex County, Massachusetts

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively High overall risk
1st of 14highest risk in Massachusetts
$322Mexpected losses a year
31federal declarations
1 in 100homes with flood insurance
Photo: Daderot, CC0

Middlesex County, Massachusetts has a relatively high overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 97% of US counties. It ranks 1st of 14 counties in Massachusetts. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hurricanes and earthquakes. FEMA estimates about $322 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $198 per resident. Since 1985 it has been included in 31 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (18 major disasters). The most recent was in September 2023 (Hurricane Lee). About 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (4,000 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $36 million on 3,752 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Middlesex County

$224 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 4 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$30.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 6 years.
  • Know your evacuation zone and route before June 1.
  • Ask about roof age, shutters and the separate wind or hurricane deductible on your home policy.

Earthquake

Moderate
$24.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 505 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingHigh98.5
$224M
HurricaneHigh95.5
$30M
EarthquakeModerate96.1
$24M
Cold waveHigh90.2
$9M
TornadoModerate90.1
$9M
Heat waveModerate95.7
$9M
Ice stormVery High99.7
$8M
Strong windHigh94.1
$3M
LightningHigh96.3
$3M
DroughtModerate86.8
$2M
Coastal floodingLow56.2
$418K
WildfireLow72.8
$268K
Winter weatherModerate67.2
$147K
HailVery Low23.6
$107K
LandslideVery Low54.6
$2K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Middlesex County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm9
Snowstorm8
Hurricane7
Flood5
Coastal Storm1
Severe Ice Storm1

Most recent

Sep 15, 2023Hurricane LeeEmergency
Jul 19, 2018Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Apr 13, 2015Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 19, 2013Severe Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 28, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Jan 6, 2012Severe Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Nov 1, 2011Severe StormEmergency
Aug 26, 2011Hurricane IreneEmergency
Mar 7, 2011Severe Winter Storm and SnowstormMajor disaster
Sep 2, 2010Hurricane EarlEmergency
Show all 31
Mar 29, 2010Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 5, 2009Severe Winter Storm and FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 13, 2008Severe Winter StormEmergency
May 25, 2006Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Nov 10, 2005Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Sep 13, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Feb 17, 2005Record And/Or Near Record SnowEmergency
Apr 21, 2004FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 15, 2004SnowEmergency
Mar 11, 2003SnowEmergency
Apr 10, 2001Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 28, 2001SnowEmergency
Jun 23, 1998Heavy Rains and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 25, 1996Extreme Weather Conditons and FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 23, 1996Extreme Weather Conditions and FloodingEmergency
Jan 24, 1996Blizzard of 96Major disaster
Mar 16, 1993Blizzards, High Winds & Record SnowfallEmergency
Dec 21, 1992Winter Coastal StormMajor disaster
Aug 26, 1991Hurricane BobMajor disaster
Apr 18, 1987Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Oct 28, 1985Hurricane GloriaMajor disaster

Massachusetts also had 10 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1955

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 1,143 storm reports in Middlesex County since 1955, with 2 deaths and 72 injuries and about $70.1 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F3 tornado on October 3, 1970.

21tornadoes
183hail reports, largest 2.25 inches
636damaging thunderstorm winds
225floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Oct 3, 1970F3–0 / 1
Sep 29, 1974F3–1 / 0
Jul 21, 1972F2–4 / 0
Jul 11, 1958F2–0 / 0
Aug 28, 1965F2–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Mar 14, 2010FloodHolliston$26M
Jul 10, 2010Flash FloodWatertown$11M
Mar 29, 2010FloodFarm Hill$9M
May 13, 2006FloodCountywide$5M
Jul 21, 1972Tornado–$3M
Aug 22, 2016TornadoConcord$1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 16, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1851, 8 hurricanes and 23 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Middlesex County, 14 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1869, with top winds near 110 mph about 60 miles away.

8hurricanes
1major hurricanes (Category 3+)
23tropical storms
2021most recent: Elsa

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Sep 8, 1869UnnamedCategory 3, 110 mph60 mi
Aug 31, 1954CarolCategory 2, 105 mph45 mi
Oct 4, 1869UnnamedCategory 2, 105 mph62 mi
Aug 19, 1991BobCategory 1, 95 mph49 mi
Sep 15, 1944UnnamedCategory 1, 90 mph61 mi
Sep 12, 1960DonnaCategory 1, 85 mph56 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Jul 9, 2021ElsaTropical storm, 55 mph61 mi
Aug 31, 2004HermineTropical storm, 40 mph57 mi
Sep 17, 1999FloydTropical storm, 60 mph65 mi
Jul 13, 1996BerthaTropical storm, 70 mph37 mi
Aug 19, 1991BobCategory 1, 95 mph49 mi
Sep 27, 1985GloriaCategory 1, 80 mph48 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Middlesex County

Check your address flood zone ›
1%of homes have federal flood insurance (4,000 policies)
53.5%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$36.4 millionpaid on 3,752 flood claims since 1978
2010costliest year, with $10.3 million paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Middlesex County

$727,800median home value (Massachusetts $562,100, US $332,700)
1962median year homes were built (Massachusetts 1964, US 1980)
68%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
0.4%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 664,267 housing units.

Compare in Massachusetts

All 14 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Middlesex CountyHighInland flooding
Worcester CountyModerateInland flooding
Essex CountyHighInland flooding
Suffolk CountyModerateInland flooding
Norfolk CountyModerateInland flooding
Bristol CountyModerateInland flooding
Plymouth CountyModerateInland flooding
Hampden CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Worcester CountyModerate30
Essex CountyHigh36
Suffolk CountyModerate33
Norfolk CountyModerate33
Hillsborough County, NHModerate29

Common questions about Middlesex County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Middlesex County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Middlesex County, about $224 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hurricane is second at $30.1 million.

How many federal disasters has Middlesex County had?

Middlesex County has been included in 31 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1985, including 18 major disasters. The most recent was Hurricane Lee in September 2023.

Is Middlesex County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively High, 1st highest of 14 in Massachusetts. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Middlesex County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 100 homes in Middlesex County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Middlesex County had?

NOAA records list 21 tornadoes in Middlesex County since 1950. The strongest was an F3 tornado on October 3, 1970. The weather service has also logged 183 hail reports and 225 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Middlesex County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 8 hurricanes and 23 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Middlesex County, including 1 major hurricane (Category 3 or stronger). The strongest was an unnamed hurricane in 1869, with winds near 110 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.