Guthrie County, Iowa
Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.
Guthrie County, Iowa has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 74% of US counties. It ranks 74th of 99 counties in Iowa. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, drought and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $14 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $1,310 per resident. Since 1974 it has been included in 15 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (13 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2022 (severe storms, straight-line winds and tornadoes). Only 17 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $157,000 on 10 claims here.
FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.
Top risks in Guthrie County
- Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
- Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
- Check local water restrictions.
- Choose drought-tolerant plants.
- Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
- Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
All 18 hazards
What the ratings mean ›| Hazard | Rating | Score | Expected loss a year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inland flooding | 22.0 | $4M | ||
| Drought | 94.9 | $4M | ||
| Tornado | 64.1 | $3M | ||
| Cold wave | 31.7 | $721K | ||
| Strong wind | 42.8 | $704K | ||
| Hail | 59.9 | $601K | ||
| Heat wave | 30.0 | $213K | ||
| Ice storm | 35.1 | $66K | ||
| Winter weather | 34.6 | $58K | ||
| Wildfire | 39.1 | $39K | ||
| Lightning | 7.3 | $37K | ||
| Earthquake | 9.3 | $14K | ||
| Landslide | 73.7 | $13K | ||
| Hurricane | 10.1 | $3K |
Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.
Federal disaster history
Recent disasters nationwide ›Declarations by decade
Federal declarations for natural events that included Guthrie County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.
By type
Most recent
Show all 15
Iowa also had 11 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.
Storm history since 1963
Tornado risk by county ›The National Weather Service has logged 510 storm reports in Guthrie County since 1963, with 0 deaths and 1 injury and about $39.7 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on May 27, 1995 near Bayard.
Strongest tornadoes
| Date | Strength | Near | Hurt / killed |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 1995 | F4 | Bayard | 1 / 0 |
| Jun 29, 1986 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
| May 11, 2014 | EF2 | Monteith | 0 / 0 |
| Dec 15, 2021 | EF2 | North Branch | 0 / 0 |
| Jun 29, 1986 | F2 | – | 0 / 0 |
Most damaging storms
| Date | Type | Near | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2010 | Flood | Bayard | $20M |
| Jun 29, 1986 | Tornado | – | $3M |
| Jul 10, 2002 | Thunderstorm Wind | Panora | $2M |
| May 27, 1995 | Tornado | Bayard | $2M |
| May 11, 2014 | Tornado | Monteith | $1M |
| Jul 10, 2002 | Thunderstorm Wind | Panora | $1M |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Sep 16, 2025. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.
Flood insurance in Guthrie County
Check your address flood zone ›National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.
Homes in Guthrie County
Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 5,808 housing units.
Compare in Iowa
All 99 ›| Largest counties | Overall risk | Top hazard |
|---|---|---|
| Polk County | Inland flooding | |
| Linn County | Inland flooding | |
| Scott County | Inland flooding | |
| Johnson County | Tornado | |
| Black Hawk County | Inland flooding | |
| Woodbury County | Inland flooding | |
| Dallas County | Inland flooding | |
| Dubuque County | Inland flooding |
Neighboring counties
| County | Overall risk | Declarations |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas County | 18 | |
| Carroll County | 14 | |
| Madison County | 18 | |
| Cass County | 17 | |
| Greene County | 17 | |
| Adair County | 15 | |
| Audubon County | 20 |
Common questions about Guthrie County
What is the biggest natural hazard in Guthrie County?
Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Guthrie County, about $4.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Drought is second at $4 million.
How many federal disasters has Guthrie County had?
Guthrie County has been included in 15 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1974, including 13 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes in February 2022.
Is Guthrie County a high-risk place to live?
Its overall rating is Very Low, 74th highest of 99 in Iowa. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.
Do I need flood insurance in Guthrie County?
Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 500 homes in Guthrie County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.
How many tornadoes has Guthrie County had?
NOAA records list 31 tornadoes in Guthrie County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on May 27, 1995 near Bayard. The weather service has also logged 223 hail reports and 55 floods here.
Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.