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Guthrie County, Iowa

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
74th of 99highest risk in Iowa
$14Mexpected losses a year
15federal declarations
1 in 500homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Guthrie County, Iowa has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 74% of US counties. It ranks 74th of 99 counties in Iowa. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, drought and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $14 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $1,310 per resident. Since 1974 it has been included in 15 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (13 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2022 (severe storms, straight-line winds and tornadoes). Only 17 homes here carry federal flood insurance. Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $157,000 on 10 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Guthrie County

$4.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 10 times a year.
  • Check local water restrictions.
  • Choose drought-tolerant plants.
$3.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingVery Low22.0
$4M
DroughtHigh94.9
$4M
TornadoLow64.1
$3M
Cold waveLow31.7
$721K
Strong windLow42.8
$704K
HailLow59.9
$601K
Heat waveVery Low30.0
$213K
Ice stormLow35.1
$66K
Winter weatherLow34.6
$58K
WildfireVery Low39.1
$39K
LightningVery Low7.3
$37K
EarthquakeVery Low9.3
$14K
LandslideLow73.7
$13K
HurricaneVery Low10.1
$3K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is very low and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Guthrie County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm8
Flood4
Severe Ice Storm1
Hurricane1
Snowstorm1

Most recent

Feb 23, 2022Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Aug 17, 2020Severe StormsMajor disaster
Mar 23, 2019Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 31, 2015Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 29, 2010Severe Storms, Flooding, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Mar 2, 2010Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Feb 25, 2010Severe Winter Storms and SnowstormMajor disaster
May 27, 2008Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 30, 2007SnowEmergency
Sep 10, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Show all 15
May 25, 2004Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 2, 1998Severe Storms, Tornadoes and FloodingMajor disaster
Jul 9, 1993Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster
Dec 26, 1991Ice StormMajor disaster
Jun 24, 1974Severe Storms & FloodingMajor disaster

Iowa also had 11 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1963

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 510 storm reports in Guthrie County since 1963, with 0 deaths and 1 injury and about $39.7 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on May 27, 1995 near Bayard.

31tornadoes
223hail reports, largest 4.5 inches
155damaging thunderstorm winds
55floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 27, 1995F4Bayard1 / 0
Jun 29, 1986F2–0 / 0
May 11, 2014EF2Monteith0 / 0
Dec 15, 2021EF2North Branch0 / 0
Jun 29, 1986F2–0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jun 12, 2010FloodBayard$20M
Jun 29, 1986Tornado–$3M
Jul 10, 2002Thunderstorm WindPanora$2M
May 27, 1995TornadoBayard$2M
May 11, 2014TornadoMonteith$1M
Jul 10, 2002Thunderstorm WindPanora$1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Sep 16, 2025. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Guthrie County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.2%of homes have federal flood insurance (17 policies)
11.4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$156,933paid on 10 flood claims since 1978
2019costliest year, with $115,997 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Guthrie County

$180,100median home value (Iowa $208,000, US $332,700)
1968median year homes were built (Iowa 1972, US 1980)
67%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
1.6%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 5,808 housing units.

Compare in Iowa

All 99 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Polk CountyModerateInland flooding
Linn CountyModerateInland flooding
Scott CountyModerateInland flooding
Johnson CountyModerateTornado
Black Hawk CountyLowInland flooding
Woodbury CountyModerateInland flooding
Dallas CountyLowInland flooding
Dubuque CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Dallas CountyLow18
Carroll CountyLow14
Madison CountyVery Low18
Cass CountyLow17
Greene CountyVery Low17
Adair CountyLow15
Audubon CountyVery Low20

Common questions about Guthrie County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Guthrie County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Guthrie County, about $4.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Drought is second at $4 million.

How many federal disasters has Guthrie County had?

Guthrie County has been included in 15 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1974, including 13 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes in February 2022.

Is Guthrie County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 74th highest of 99 in Iowa. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Guthrie County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 500 homes in Guthrie County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Guthrie County had?

NOAA records list 31 tornadoes in Guthrie County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on May 27, 1995 near Bayard. The weather service has also logged 223 hail reports and 55 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.