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Fayette County, Tennessee

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Low overall risk
18th of 95highest risk in Tennessee
$30Mexpected losses a year
19federal declarations
1 in 250homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, CC0

Fayette County, Tennessee has a relatively low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 76% of US counties. It ranks 18th of 95 counties in Tennessee. The costliest hazards here are earthquakes, inland flooding and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $30 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $710 per resident. Since 1994 it has been included in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (16 major disasters). The most recent was in February 2026 (severe winter storm). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (75 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $830,000 on 26 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Fayette County

Earthquake

Moderate
$12.9 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 125 years.
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
$5.8 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Tornado

Moderate
$5.7 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
EarthquakeModerate95.3
$13M
Inland floodingLow51.6
$6M
TornadoModerate89.4
$6M
Cold waveModerate74.9
$2M
Heat waveModerate82.6
$1M
LightningModerate75.2
$505K
Strong windLow39.9
$347K
Ice stormModerate78.6
$305K
DroughtLow58.0
$209K
HailVery Low25.4
$80K
WildfireVery Low61.4
$78K
HurricaneVery Low50.2
$62K
Winter weatherVery Low12.8
$9K
LandslideLow68.6
$4K

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively high and community resilience is relatively moderate in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Fayette County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm15
Winter Storm2
Hurricane1
Severe Ice Storm1

Most recent

Feb 6, 2026Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jan 24, 2026Severe Winter StormEmergency
Jun 19, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 2, 2025Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingEmergency
Sep 4, 2023Severe Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Aug 17, 2023Severe Storms and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Mar 11, 2022Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
Jun 23, 2017Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 11, 2014Severe Winter StormMajor disaster
May 1, 2011Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Associated FloodingMajor disaster
Show all 19
May 4, 2010Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and TornadoesMajor disaster
Jul 13, 2009Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Feb 7, 2008Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and FloodingMajor disaster
Apr 5, 2006Severe Storms and TornadoesMajor disaster
Sep 5, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacuationEmergency
Jul 29, 2003Severe Storms, High Winds, and Heavy RainMajor disaster
May 8, 2003Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 19, 1999Severe Storms, Tornadoes and High WindsMajor disaster
Feb 28, 1994Severe Winter Ice Storm,Flash FloodingMajor disaster

Tennessee also had 1 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1952

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 358 storm reports in Fayette County since 1952, with 14 deaths and 108 injuries and about $7.8 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on March 21, 1952.

23tornadoes
110hail reports, largest 2.75 inches
190damaging thunderstorm winds
31floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
Mar 21, 1952F4–50 / 7
Jan 19, 1988F3–24 / 3
Feb 5, 2008EF3Yum Yum0 / 1
Apr 3, 2025EF2Forty Five3 / 2
May 24, 1971F2–22 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jan 19, 1988Tornado–$3M
Jul 22, 2003Thunderstorm WindCountywide$1M
Jun 14, 2009Flash FloodOakland$300K
Mar 21, 1952Tornado–$250K
May 24, 1971Tornado–$250K
Nov 27, 1973Tornado–$250K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 4, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1860, 0 hurricanes and 8 tropical storms have passed within 65 miles of the center of Fayette County, 3 of them since 1950. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1888, with top winds near 65 mph about 65 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
8tropical storms
1969most recent: Camille

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 20, 1888UnnamedTropical storm, 65 mph65 mi
Sep 28, 1906UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi
Oct 3, 1860UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph62 mi
Aug 18, 1969CamilleTropical storm, 45 mph60 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph51 mi
Aug 31, 1950BakerTropical storm, 40 mph63 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 18, 1969CamilleTropical storm, 45 mph60 mi
Jun 28, 1957AudreyTropical storm, 40 mph51 mi
Aug 31, 1950BakerTropical storm, 40 mph63 mi
Jun 17, 1934UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph60 mi
Sep 20, 1932UnnamedTropical storm, 40 mph65 mi
Sep 28, 1906UnnamedTropical storm, 45 mph64 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Fayette County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.4%of homes have federal flood insurance (75 policies)
25.8%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$830,131paid on 26 flood claims since 1978
2023costliest year, with $350,000 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Fayette County

$340,800median home value (Tennessee $286,700, US $332,700)
1999median year homes were built (Tennessee 1987, US 1980)
26%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
9.6%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 18,494 housing units.

Compare in Tennessee

All 95 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Shelby CountyHighEarthquake
Davidson CountyHighInland flooding
Knox CountyModerateInland flooding
Hamilton CountyModerateInland flooding
Rutherford CountyModerateInland flooding
Williamson CountyModerateInland flooding
Montgomery CountyModerateInland flooding
Sumner CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Shelby CountyHigh26
Tipton CountyModerate23
Marshall County, MSLow16
Hardeman CountyLow16
Haywood CountyLow19
Benton County, MSVery Low15

Common questions about Fayette County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Fayette County?

Earthquake has the highest expected yearly losses in Fayette County, about $12.9 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Inland flooding is second at $5.8 million.

How many federal disasters has Fayette County had?

Fayette County has been included in 19 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1994, including 16 major disasters. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm in February 2026.

Is Fayette County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Low, 18th highest of 95 in Tennessee. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Fayette County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 250 homes in Fayette County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Fayette County had?

NOAA records list 23 tornadoes in Fayette County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on March 21, 1952. The weather service has also logged 110 hail reports and 31 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Fayette County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 8 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the center of Fayette County. The strongest was an unnamed storm in 1888, with winds near 65 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.