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Memphis, Tennessee: natural disaster risk

How exposed Memphis is to floods, storms and other hazards, from FEMA and NOAA records for Shelby County.

Relatively High overall risk
618,980people
Earthquaketop hazard
26federal declarations, Shelby County
56tornadoes in the county since 1950
Photo: Quintin Soloviev, CC BY 4.0

Memphis is a city of 618,980 people in Shelby County, Tennessee. FEMA's National Risk Index rates Shelby County relatively high for natural hazards overall, higher than most of the US. The costliest hazards there are earthquake, inland flooding and tornado, with about $555 million in expected losses a year across the county. The weather service has logged 1,197 storm reports in the county since 1950, including 56 tornadoes and 224 floods. NOAA hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 6 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the county's center. About 0.7% of homes in the county carry federal flood insurance.

Risk figures are for Shelby County. FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; NOAA Storm Events; US Census Bureau ACS 2020 to 2024. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Memphis

Full Shelby County report ›
$215 million a year in the county
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
$154 million a year in the county
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Tornado

Very High
$70.1 million a year in the county
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.

All hazards

HazardRatingA year
EarthquakeHigh$215M
Inland floodingHigh$154M
TornadoVery High$70M
Cold waveVery High$62M
Heat waveHigh$49M
LightningHigh$2M
Strong windHigh$1M
Ice stormHigh$818K
HurricaneLow$350K
Winter weatherHigh$290K
WildfireLow$145K
LandslideModerate$63K

Homes in Memphis

Median home value$169,000
Shelby County median$249,100
Median year built1970
Built before 198067%
Mobile homes1.1%

Older homes and mobile homes usually take more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes. Ask about roof age, flood history and retrofits before you buy or rent.

Strongest tornadoes in Shelby County

1994F33 killed
1968F34 hurt
1970F35 hurt

Common questions about Memphis

Is Memphis safe from natural disasters?

Memphis is in Shelby County, which FEMA's National Risk Index rates relatively high overall, higher than most of the US. The biggest hazards are earthquake, inland flooding, tornado. No place is free of risk, so check the flood map and insurance for any home you consider.

What natural disasters happen in Memphis?

By expected yearly losses in Shelby County, the top hazards are earthquake (High), inland flooding (High), tornado (Very High). Shelby County has been part of 26 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events.

Does Memphis get tornadoes?

Yes. NOAA records list 56 tornadoes in Shelby County since 1950; the strongest was an F3 tornado on November 27, 1994. FEMA rates tornado risk in the county very high.

Do I need flood insurance in Memphis?

Standard home insurance does not cover floods. In Shelby County, about 0.7% of homes have federal flood insurance, and FEMA rates inland flooding risk high. Check the FEMA flood map for your address and get a quote even outside a high-risk zone.