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Johnson City, Tennessee: natural disaster risk

How exposed Johnson City is to floods, storms and other hazards, from FEMA and NOAA records for Sullivan County.

Relatively Low overall risk
72,222people
Inland floodingtop hazard
10federal declarations, Sullivan County
3tornadoes in the county since 1950
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Johnson City is a city of 72,222 people in Sullivan County, Tennessee. Parts of Johnson City also reach into Washington County and Carter County. FEMA's National Risk Index rates Sullivan County relatively low for natural hazards overall, lower than most of the US. The costliest hazards there are inland flooding, earthquake and strong wind, with about $28.5 million in expected losses a year across the county. The weather service has logged 424 storm reports in the county since 1957, including 3 tornadoes and 46 floods. NOAA hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 3 tropical storms passing within 65 miles of the county's center. About 0.4% of homes in the county carry federal flood insurance.

Risk figures are for Sullivan County, the county with most of the population Johnson City sits in. FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; NOAA Storm Events; US Census Bureau ACS 2020 to 2024. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Johnson City

Full Sullivan County report ›
$20.2 million a year in the county
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$3.3 million a year in the county
  • Ask whether an older house is bolted to its foundation.
  • Consider separate earthquake insurance where risk is high.
$1.7 million a year in the county
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.

All hazards

HazardRatingA year
Inland floodingModerate$20M
EarthquakeLow$3M
Strong windHigh$2M
TornadoLow$1M
LightningHigh$911K
Cold waveLow$859K
HailLow$145K
HurricaneVery Low$113K
LandslideModerate$105K
Winter weatherLow$80K
Heat waveVery Low$51K
Ice stormLow$26K

Homes in Johnson City

Median home value$268,200
Sullivan County median$213,300
Median year built1983
Built before 198046%
Mobile homes3.8%

Older homes and mobile homes usually take more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes. Ask about roof age, flood history and retrofits before you buy or rent.

Strongest tornadoes in Sullivan County

1977F110 hurt
2014EF1 near Rock Spgs
1974F02 hurt

Common questions about Johnson City

Is Johnson City safe from natural disasters?

Johnson City is in Sullivan County, which FEMA's National Risk Index rates relatively low overall, lower than most of the US. The biggest hazards are inland flooding, earthquake, strong wind. No place is free of risk, so check the flood map and insurance for any home you consider.

What natural disasters happen in Johnson City?

By expected yearly losses in Sullivan County, the top hazards are inland flooding (Moderate), earthquake (Low), strong wind (High). Sullivan County has been part of 10 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events.

Does Johnson City get tornadoes?

Yes. NOAA records list 3 tornadoes in Sullivan County since 1950; the strongest was an F1 tornado on October 1, 1977. FEMA rates tornado risk in the county low.

Do I need flood insurance in Johnson City?

Standard home insurance does not cover floods. In Sullivan County, about 0.4% of homes have federal flood insurance, and FEMA rates inland flooding risk moderate. Check the FEMA flood map for your address and get a quote even outside a high-risk zone.