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Erie County, Pennsylvania

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Relatively Moderate overall risk
19th of 67highest risk in Pennsylvania
$48Mexpected losses a year
9federal declarations
1 in 333homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Erie County, Pennsylvania has a moderate overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is higher than 84% of US counties. It ranks 19th of 67 counties in Pennsylvania. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, strong wind and tornadoes. FEMA estimates about $48 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $176 per resident. Since 1972 it has been included in 9 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (5 major disasters). The most recent was in October 2012 (Hurricane Sandy). Fewer than 1 in 100 homes here carry federal flood insurance (290 policies). Since 1978, federal flood insurance has paid about $6.0 million on 512 claims here.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Erie County

$38.2 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 2 times a year.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.
$2.4 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once a year.
  • Secure outdoor furniture and trash bins before storms.
  • Have trees near the house checked.

Tornado

Moderate
$2.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 3 years.
  • Pick a shelter spot: a basement, or an inside room on the lowest floor with no windows.
  • Turn on emergency alerts on your phone and keep a weather radio.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingModerate90.7
$38M
Strong windHigh93.7
$2M
TornadoModerate66.6
$2M
LightningHigh96.0
$2M
Winter weatherHigh95.0
$614K
HurricaneLow71.1
$598K
Cold waveLow38.9
$580K
EarthquakeLow60.1
$417K
HailLow51.9
$259K
Heat waveLow40.6
$216K
Ice stormModerate70.1
$202K
WildfireVery Low36.9
$20K
Coastal floodingVery Low36.4
$8K
LandslideVery Low44.8
$862

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively moderate and community resilience is very high in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Erie County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Hurricane3
Flood2
Snowstorm2
Tornado1
Severe Storm1

Most recent

Oct 29, 2012Hurricane SandyEmergency
Sep 10, 2005Hurricane KatrinaEmergency
Sep 19, 2004Severe Storms and Flooding Associated With Tropical Depression FrancesMajor disaster
Sep 19, 2004Tropical Depression IvanMajor disaster
Jan 21, 1996Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Mar 16, 1993Severe Snowfall & Winter StormEmergency
Jun 3, 1985Severe Storms, High Winds & TornadoesMajor disaster
Jan 29, 1977SnowstormsEmergency
Jun 23, 1972Tropical Storm AgnesMajor disaster

Pennsylvania also had 7 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1952

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 721 storm reports in Erie County since 1952, with 15 deaths and 155 injuries and about $76 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an F4 tornado on May 31, 1985.

24tornadoes
207hail reports, largest 4 inches
405damaging thunderstorm winds
66floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 31, 1985F4–82 / 12
May 31, 1985F4–0 / 0
May 31, 1985F4–0 / 0
Jun 2, 1971F3–0 / 0
Sep 18, 1977F2–7 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
May 31, 1985Tornado–$25M
Jun 30, 2009Flash FloodGoddard$6M
Sep 9, 2004Flash FloodCountywide$6M
Sep 17, 1996Flash FloodNorthern Portion$5M
Mar 1, 2020FloodStateline$5M
Jun 18, 2017Flash FloodSpringfield Station$3M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 21, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Hurricane risk by county ›

Since 1955, 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm have passed within 65 miles of the center of Erie County, 1 of them since 1950. The strongest was Tropical Storm Connie (1955), with top winds near 50 mph about 44 miles away.

0hurricanes
0major hurricanes (Category 3+)
1tropical storms
1955most recent: Connie

Strongest storms nearby

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 13, 1955ConnieTropical storm, 50 mph44 mi

Most recent storms

DateStormStrengthClosest
Aug 13, 1955ConnieTropical storm, 50 mph44 mi

Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center best-track records (HURDAT2), 1851 to 2025 for the Atlantic and 1949 to 2025 for the eastern Pacific. A storm counts if its track passed within 65 miles of the county's center while it was a tropical storm or hurricane. Strength is the storm's top sustained wind at that point, not the wind measured in the county. Older storms over the open sea were sometimes missed.

Flood insurance in Erie County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.3%of homes have federal flood insurance (290 policies)
27.4%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$6 millionpaid on 512 flood claims since 1978
1985costliest year, with $611,006 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Erie County

$177,000median home value (Pennsylvania $254,500, US $332,700)
1964median year homes were built (Pennsylvania 1965, US 1980)
71%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
4.6%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 120,111 housing units.

Compare in Pennsylvania

All 67 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Philadelphia CountyVery HighInland flooding
Allegheny CountyHighInland flooding
Montgomery CountyHighInland flooding
Bucks CountyHighInland flooding
Delaware CountyModerateInland flooding
Lancaster CountyHighInland flooding
Chester CountyModerateInland flooding
York CountyModerateInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Chautauqua County, NYModerate20
Ashtabula County, OHLow12
Crawford CountyLow13
Warren CountyLow8

Cities in Erie County

Common questions about Erie County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Erie County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Erie County, about $38.2 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Strong wind is second at $2.4 million.

How many federal disasters has Erie County had?

Erie County has been included in 9 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 1972, including 5 major disasters. The most recent was Hurricane Sandy in October 2012.

Is Erie County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Relatively Moderate, 19th highest of 67 in Pennsylvania. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Erie County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 333 homes in Erie County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Erie County had?

NOAA records list 24 tornadoes in Erie County since 1950. The strongest was an F4 tornado on May 31, 1985. The weather service has also logged 207 hail reports and 66 floods here.

How many hurricanes have hit Erie County?

NOAA's hurricane records show 0 hurricanes and 1 tropical storm passing within 65 miles of the center of Erie County. The strongest was Tropical Storm Connie (1955), with winds near 50 mph.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.