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Keith County, Nebraska

Natural disaster risk, federal disaster history and flood insurance facts.

Very Low overall risk
59th of 93highest risk in Nebraska
$6Mexpected losses a year
7federal declarations
1 in 333homes with flood insurance
Photo: U.S. Geological Survey, public domain

Keith County, Nebraska has a very low overall risk from natural hazards in FEMA's National Risk Index. Its risk score is lower than 86% of US counties. It ranks 59th of 93 counties in Nebraska. The costliest hazards here are inland flooding, hail and drought. FEMA estimates about $6.4 million a year in expected losses, or roughly $775 per resident. Since 2001 it has been included in 7 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events (5 major disasters). The most recent was in March 2026 (Morrill-Cottonwood Fire). Only 17 homes here carry federal flood insurance.

FEMA National Risk Index December 2025; OpenFEMA declarations to Nov 6, 2026; NFIP records. Updated November 6, 2026.

Top risks in Keith County

$2.1 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about once every 2 years.
  • Check the FEMA flood map for your address, and ask the seller or landlord about past flooding.
  • Price a flood policy now. Most new federal policies take 30 days to start.

Hail

Moderate
$1.3 million a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 7 times a year.
  • Ask about the roof age and any impact-rated shingles.
  • Check your home policy for a separate wind and hail deductible.

Drought

Moderate
$820,972 a yearExpected losses. Damaging events about 98 times a year.
  • Check local water restrictions.
  • Choose drought-tolerant plants.
HazardRatingScoreExpected loss a year
Inland floodingVery Low15.3
$2M
HailModerate84.4
$1M
DroughtModerate75.9
$821K
Cold waveLow36.9
$656K
TornadoLow27.4
$483K
Strong windLow36.3
$413K
LightningModerate58.7
$358K
WildfireLow66.8
$153K
Winter weatherLow53.8
$83K
Heat waveVery Low16.1
$47K
EarthquakeVery Low16.8
$24K
Ice stormVery Low16.6
$13K
LandslideVery Low20.3
$136

Scores are percentiles: a score of 90 means higher risk than about 90% of US counties for that hazard. Hazards FEMA does not rate here are left out. Social vulnerability is relatively low and community resilience is relatively low in FEMA's measures.

Federal disaster history

Recent disasters nationwide ›

Declarations by decade

Federal declarations for natural events that included Keith County. 2020s bar runs to November 2026.

By type

Severe Storm4
Hurricane1
Snowstorm1
Fire1

Most recent

Mar 13, 2026Morrill-Cottonwood FireFire management
Aug 20, 2024Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and FloodingMajor disaster
Jun 29, 2018Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line WindsMajor disaster
Aug 29, 2007Severe Storms and FloodingMajor disaster
Jan 7, 2007Severe Winter StormsMajor disaster
Sep 13, 2005Hurricane Katrina EvacueesEmergency
May 16, 2001Severe Winter Storms, Flooding and TornadoesMajor disaster

Nebraska also had 14 statewide declarations that did not name single counties.

Storm history since 1957

Tornado risk by county ›

The National Weather Service has logged 798 storm reports in Keith County since 1957, with 2 deaths and 17 injuries and about $33.9 million in reported damage. The strongest on record here was an EF2 tornado on May 23, 2024 near Lake Mc Conaghy.

53tornadoes
458hail reports, largest 4.25 inches
264damaging thunderstorm winds
17floods and flash floods

Strongest tornadoes

DateStrengthNearHurt / killed
May 23, 2024EF2Lake Mc Conaghy0 / 0
Jul 15, 1983F2–0 / 0
Jun 25, 1970F2–0 / 0
May 23, 2024EF1Brule0 / 0
Jul 19, 1999F1Ogallala0 / 0

Most damaging storms

DateTypeNearDamage
Jul 25, 1996HailPaxton$11M
May 23, 2024TornadoLake Mc Conaghy$4M
Jun 5, 1996HailOgallala$2M
Jun 27, 1999HailOgallala$1M
Jul 21, 2003HailOgallala$1M
Aug 8, 2011HailKeystone$1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database, county-based reports through Jul 4, 2026. Tornado records start in 1950, hail and wind in 1955, and floods and other storm types in 1996, so older decades undercount. Damage is in dollars of the year it happened and is often an estimate. Winter storms, heat and hurricanes are logged by forecast zone, not county, so they are not counted here.

Flood insurance in Keith County

Check your address flood zone ›
0.3%of homes have federal flood insurance (17 policies)
7.6%of homes in mapped high-risk flood zones are insured
$38,552paid on 7 flood claims since 1978
2015costliest year, with $27,085 paid

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) records only; private flood policies are not included. Home counts as of Aug 3, 2026. Since 2021 NFIP prices each home separately under Risk Rating 2.0, so your price depends on the building, not the county. Ask an agent for a quote.

Homes in Keith County

$168,000median home value (Nebraska $238,600, US $332,700)
1973median year homes were built (Nebraska 1975, US 1980)
69%of homes built before 1980, before many modern wind, quake and flood building rules
18.9%of homes are mobile homes, which are the least safe in tornadoes and high winds

Older homes and mobile homes usually suffer more damage in storms, floods and earthquakes, and can cost more to insure. If you are buying, ask about roof age, foundation bolting and any retrofits. Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year estimates; 5,435 housing units.

Compare in Nebraska

All 93 ›
Largest countiesOverall riskTop hazard
Douglas CountyHighInland flooding
Lancaster CountyModerateTornado
Sarpy CountyModerateTornado
Hall CountyLowInland flooding
Buffalo CountyLowHail
Dodge CountyLowInland flooding
Scotts Bluff CountyLowHail
Madison CountyLowInland flooding

Neighboring counties

CountyOverall riskDeclarations
Lincoln CountyLow18
Perkins CountyVery Low8
Garden CountyVery Low11
Deuel CountyVery Low7
Arthur CountyVery Low10
McPherson CountyVery Low8

Common questions about Keith County

What is the biggest natural hazard in Keith County?

Inland flooding has the highest expected yearly losses in Keith County, about $2.1 million a year in FEMA's estimate. Hail is second at $1.3 million.

How many federal disasters has Keith County had?

Keith County has been included in 7 federal disaster or emergency declarations for natural events since 2001, including 5 major disasters. The most recent was Morrill-Cottonwood Fire in March 2026.

Is Keith County a high-risk place to live?

Its overall rating is Very Low, 59th highest of 93 in Nebraska. A county rating covers the whole area. Risk at one address can be much higher or lower, so check the FEMA flood map and ask about the home's history.

Do I need flood insurance in Keith County?

Standard home insurance does not cover flooding. About 1 in 333 homes in Keith County has federal flood insurance. Lenders require it in mapped high-risk zones, but many flood claims come from outside those zones.

How many tornadoes has Keith County had?

NOAA records list 53 tornadoes in Keith County since 1950. The strongest was an EF2 tornado on May 23, 2024 near Lake Mc Conaghy. The weather service has also logged 458 hail reports and 17 floods here.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025), OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries, and NFIP policy and claims data. Hazard Compass is independent and not affiliated with FEMA. These figures describe the whole county, not a single property, and are not insurance or safety advice. Report a problem.